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Here again is my new weekly weather quiz question. One of the most important discoveries in modern Meteorology occurred during World War II. In 1944 our bombers taking part in the first raid on Japan had many of the planes run out of fuel much sooner than expected and many of them had to ditch in the ocean. What caused them to use up so much more fuel and later became one of the major tools in weather forecasting? Please post your answer as a comment after the forecasts on this page. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. Good luck.
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The upper air flow (yellow jet stream and dark colors for winds) shows a small high pressure ridge (“arch” shape in the yellow line) will give us a short period of drier weather through most of Friday. A trough of low pressure (“U” shape offshore) will quickly move behind the ridge pushing lots of moisture our way to set us up for some more wet weather. A new frontal system, still offshore will bring the rain back. A strong surface low pressure area will help spin more Pacific moisture our way.
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Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.
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Here are your detailed forecasts. **
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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly clear with areas of patchy fog tonight and early Friday AM with possible scattered areas of freezing fog and frost, then a mix of clouds and sun Friday afternoon, increasing clouds with a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday evening, rain late at night (0.50 in. of rain possible) and Saturday (0.25 in. of rain possible), showers Saturday night (0.25 in. of rain possible), showers likely (60%) Sunday, and rain likely (60%) Sunday night lows 32-39 highs 45-50. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Monday through Thursday highs 44-48 lows near 38. (seasonal averages highs 45 low 33)
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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with areas of fog and freezing fog late tonight and Friday AM, a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow Friday afternoon (snow level 2,000 ft. in the afternoon), cloudy with a (40%) chance of evening rain, rain late Friday night (snow level 3,000 ft. falling to 2,500 ft late), rain Saturday (snow level 3,500 ft. falling to 3,000 ft. in the afternoon), rain Saturday night (snow level 3,000 ft.), rain Sunday and Sunday evening, rain and snow late Sunday night lows 32-40 highs 48-43. Mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely (60%) Monday, rain Monday night through Tuesday night, then rain likely (60%-70%) Wednesday through Thursday highs 44-49 lows 37-43. (seasonal averages high 49 low 35)
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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of coastal rain tonight, patchy late night and early AM fog, mostly cloudy Friday with a slight (20%) chance of coastal rain and a (30%) chance of afternoon rain inland (snow level 2,000 ft. in the afternoon), cloudy Friday night, evening coastal rain likely (60%) and a good (50%) chance of evening rain inland, then rain both areas late Friday night, AM coastal rain with afternoon and evening rain and isolated thunderstorms Saturday, then rain late at night, rain inland Saturday and Saturday night, mostly cloudy with more rain Sunday and Sunday night lows 35-43 highs 48-44. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Monday, rain Monday night through Tuesday night, then rain likely (60%) Wednesday through Thursday highs bouncing back and forth between 45-50 lows 39-46. (seasonal averages high 53 lows 39).
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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Partly cloudy tonight, a mix of clouds and sun Friday and breezy (wind: E 15-25 mph), mostly cloudy with snow likely (60%) Friday evening, snow and rain late at night (1-4 in. of snow possible), snow and breezy (wind: SE 10-15 mph shifting S 15-25 mph in the afternoon) Saturday (3-6 in. of snow possible), snow showers Saturday night (3-6 in. of snow possible), snow showers likely (60%) Sunday, and snow likely (60%) Sunday night snow level 3,500 ft. falling to 3,000 ft. late tonight, 3,500 ft. rising to 4,000 ft. Friday afternoon, 3,500 ft. Friday night, 2,500 ft. rising to 3,000 ft. Saturday, 2,500 ft. Saturday evening through Sunday night lows 18-27 highs holding near 33. Mostly cloudy with snow likely (60%-70%) Monday through Wednesday, then snow and rain likely (60%) Wednesday night and Thursday snow level 2,500 ft. Monday night, 3,000 ft. Wednesday and Wednesday night, and 3,500 ft. Thursday highs 30-34 lows between 23-27.
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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.