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Tim Chuey Weather

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No takers for this week’s question. Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Here is the correct answer. Scientists use a wide variety of techniques to monitor volcanoes, including seismographic detection of the earthquakes and tremor that almost always precede eruptions, precise measurements of ground deformation that often accompanies the rise of magma, changes in volcanic gas emissions, and changes in gravity and magnetic fields. Although not diagnostic individually, these techniques, when used in combination at well-monitored volcanoes, have resulted in successful predictions. At Pinatubo volcano (Philippines) in 1991, a successful forecast saved thousands of lives. For more on predicting volcanic eruptions go to The Global Vulcanism Program website. The USGS website also discusses these monitoring techniques in more detail. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you next Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

 

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A trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows) has moved over us sending waves of moisture our way. Today will be the “calm before the storm” so-to-speak because we are on the backside of the trough and a high pressure ridge (Shaded  “Arch” shape) will take over for just a short time. The rain returns Sunday as a frontal system approaches. A frontal system will push through the Pacific Northwest Monday continuing a parade of storms that will increase the rain chances again.

 

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Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

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Here are your College Football Weather Forecasts for today’s games:

 

Beavers vs Stanford at Stanford: Kickoff 12:00 PM Sunny 55 warming to 58 by the end of the game, wind-NW 10 mph.

 

Ducks vs. California at Berkeley: Kickoff 7:30 PM Clear 51 cooling to 48 by the end of the game, wind-NW 5 mph.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Patchy AM fog, a mix of clouds and sun this afternoon with a slight (20%) chance of an isolated shower, partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy with patchy fog and freezing fog late tonight and Sunday AM, rain likely (60%) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain likely (70%) in the afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), rain and breezy (wind: SE 15-25 mph) Sunday night (0.35 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with rain (0.40 in. of rain possible) Monday (Veterans Day Federal Holiday), then showers likely (70%) Monday night highs 45-53 lows 34-42. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday, a (40%) chance of  showers Tuesday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Thursday, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Thursday night and Friday highs near 52 lows 39-36 warming to 42 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 54 low 38)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with patchy fog and a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers this AM, partly cloudy with patchy fog late tonight, AM fog with a slight (20%) chance of rain, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain Sunday night (0.20 in. of rain possible) through Monday night highs 48-55 lows 33-45. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday, a (30%) chance of showers Thursday evening, a (40%) chance of rain late Thursday night, then mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Friday highs 53-58 cooling to 54 Friday lows 43-47 cooling to 44 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 55 low 41)

 

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers this AM, mostly cloudy this afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy with patchy fog late tonight, AM fog with a slight (20%) chance of showers, cloudy with rain (0.15 in. of rain possible) likely (70%) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain Sunday night (0.50 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph), rain (0.50 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph) Monday (Veterans Day Federal Holiday), then rain Monday night highs 50-55 lows 39-48. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of rain Tuesday night and Wednesday, a good (50%) chance of rain late Thursday and Thursday night, then rain likely (70%) Friday highs 57-53 lows 48-50 cooling to 43 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 56 low 44)

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: AM clouds, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of isolated snow showers this afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, just partly cloudy late tonight, a mix of clouds and sun Sunday AM (Veterans Day), cloudy with a (40%) chance of snow in the afternoon, rain and snow Sunday night and breezy (wind: Se 15-25 mph gusts to 40 mph), rain Monday (Veterans Day Federal Holiday), then rain and snow showers Monday night snow level at the surface today through Sunday, snow level 5,000 ft. Sunday night, 6,000 ft. Monday, then 6,500 ft. Monday night highs 29-40 lows 21-28. Mostly cloudy with  showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night, a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday through Friday snow level 6,000 ft. Tuesday, 4,500 ft. Tuesday night, 5,000 ft. Wednesday, 5,500 ft. Wednesday night, 4,500 ft. Thursday, then 5,500 ft. Thursday night and 5,000 ft. Friday highs 40-42 lows 24-30.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

 

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

 

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