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Tim Chuey Weather

Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column It’s The Last Time I’ll Talk About It, This Year.

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Here is my weekly weather quiz question. What is a “Capping Inversion?”  The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs.  Good luck.

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An Upper Level Low Pressure Trough takes over enhancing the rain chances again. The graphics for days 1-3 show the warm front that pushed northward through the Pacific Northwest today and the cold front following it. The graphics for days 3-7 show complex frontal systems approaching Saturday and Sunday, then another next Wednesday.

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene-Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 18 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 15 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 33 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

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  • A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING NEAR THE BEACHES AND HEADLANDS FOR THE NORTH OREGON COAST AND THE COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON.
  • A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY UNTIL 10 PM FRIDAY FOR THE NORTH OREGON COAST AND THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST.
  • A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THURSDAY UNTIL 11 PM FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST AND CURRY COUNTY COAST.
  • A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE CURRY COUNTY COAST, EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM UNTIL 11 PM THURSDAY FOR THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for the Link and Klamath from Keno Dam to J.C. Boyle Dam (downstream from Keno Dam). Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area.
  • Health Advisory remains in effect for Willow Creek Reservoir, located just east of the town of Heppner in Morrow County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in the reservoir. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Willow Creek Reservoir at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • Health Advisory remains in effect for Howard Bay (also known locally as Howards Bay or Howard’s Bay), located in the southwest corner of Upper Klamath Lake including Shoalwater Bay to the north and all of Upper Klamath Lake. These areas of Upper Klamath Lake are located off Oregon Route 140, 15 miles west of Klamath Falls in Klamath County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in Howard Bay. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue green or brownish red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Howard Bay and Shoalwater Bay at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for Agency Lake, located just north of Klamath Falls along U.S. Highway 97 in Klamath County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in the lake. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue green or brownish red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Agency Lake at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for Willow Creek Reservoir, located just east of the town of Heppner in Morrow County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in the reservoir. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue green or brownish red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Willow Creek Reservoir at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • Health Advisory remains in effect for Coffenbury Lake, located at Fort Stevens State Park about five miles northwest of US-101 ALT, Northwest Ridgefield Road near Warrenton in Clatsop County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae that can produce toxins in Coffenbury Lake. These blue-green algae levels are likely to be associated with dangerous cyanotoxin concentrations in the water that can be harmful to humans and animals.  People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur are discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins that can be produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people with skin sensitivities who come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Coffenbury Lake at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • A Permanent Health Advisory remains in effect for the South Umpqua River and Lawson Bar. Pools in the bedrock along the rivers edge are known to develop Blue-green Algae (cyanobacterial) blooms that can be harmful to pets and people if accidental ingestion occurs. Signs have been posted along several access areas along the river.

 

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Your College Football Forecast:

Saturday October 21st:

Ducks vs UCLA, at the Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California – Kickoff: 1 PM PDT – Preliminary weather forecast- Sunny 80, warming to 86 then cooling by the end of the game, Wind ESE 5 mph.

Beavers have a bye week

Next game scheduled:

Thursday October 26th:

Beavers vs Stanford, at Reser Stadium – Kickoff: 6:00 PM PDT –Way too soon for a preliminary weather forecast.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • Cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain through late this evening, rain likely (70%) late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with AM rain, showers and a bit cooler Thursday afternoon (0.75 in. of rain possible), showers Thursday night (0.50 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with showers Friday (0.25 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of evening showers, rain and a bit warmer late Friday night (0.25 in. of rain possible) and  Saturday, rain likely (70%) Saturday night.
  • lows 52-44 warming back to 52 Saturday night highs 55-53 warming to 60 Saturday.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain likely (70%) Sunday and at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday, partly cloudy Monday night through Tuesday night,
  • Then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers and a bit warmer Wednesday.
  • highs 63-67 lows 50-45. (seasonal averages high 63 low 41)

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Forecast for Roseburg:

  • Partly cloudy this evening,  increasing clouds to mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance  of rain late tonight,
  • Cloudy with rain and a bit cooler Thursday (0.50 in. of rain possible), showers Thursday night (0.50 in. of rain possible),
  • Showers and a bit cooler Friday (0.25 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of evening showers, showers late Friday night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit warmer Saturday, then cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday night.
  • lows 48-45 warming to 53 Saturday night highs 59-54 warming to 62 Saturday.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of showers Sunday, a (30%) chance of showers at night with patchy fog late,
  • Areas of AM and late night fog partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday, mostly clear with areas of fog Monday night,
  • Areas of AM fog, mostly sunny and a bit warmer Tuesday afternoon, mostly clear with areas of fog late at night,
  • Areas of AM fog, then partly cloudy Wednesday afternoon.
  • highs 66-69 lows 50-46. (seasonal averages high 65 low 44)

 

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening coastal rain with rain tonight while a good (50%) chance of inland rain late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy and breezy (Wind: S 15-25 mph gusts to 40 mph) with rain and a bit cooler Thursday (0.75 in. of rain possible), showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Thursday night (0.50 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy with AM showers, showers likely (70%) and a bit cooler Friday afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible), evening coastal showers likely (70%) while a good (50%) chance of evening inland showers, showers late Friday night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy with rain and breezy and a bit warmer Saturday, then rain likely (70%) and breezy Saturday night.
  • lows 54-48 warming to 56 Saturday night highs 59-55 warming to 62.
  • Cloudy with showers likely (70%) and a bit warmer Sunday, mostly cloudy with areas of fog and a (40%) chance of showers at night,
  • Areas of AM fog, partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday afternoon, mostly clear with areas of fog Monday night and Tuesday AM, mostly sunny in the afternoon, mostly clear with areas of fog Tuesday night,
  • Areas of morning fog, then partly cloudy and a bit cooler Wednesday afternoon.
  • highs 63-66 cooling to 64 Wednesday lows 53-49. (seasonal averages high 61 Low 46)

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

  • Partly cloudy tonight,
  • Becoming cloudy and much cooler with rain Thursday AM, showers in the afternoon (0.75 in. of rain possible) and in the evening, rain and snow showers and a bit cooler late Thursday night and Friday, rain and snow Friday night,
  • Cloudy and a bit warmer with rain and snow Saturday AM, rain and a bit warmer in the afternoon, then rain likely (70%) Saturday night.
  • free air freezing level 12,000 ft. falling to 11,000 ft. late tonight, snow level above 8,000 ft. falling to 8,000 ft. Thursday afternoon, 6,500 ft. falling to 5,000 ft. late Thursday night, 4,500 ft. Friday, 4,000 ft. Friday night, 5,500 ft. rising to above 8,000 ft. Saturday, then above 8,000 ft. Saturday night.
  • lows 40-30 warming to 39 Saturday night highs 45-34 warming to 42 Saturday.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain likely (70%) Sunday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday, just partly cloudy at night,
  • Mostly sunny and a bit warmer Tuesday, partly cloudy Tuesday night,
  • Then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday.
  • snow level above 8,000 ft. Sunday through Monday, free air freezing level 14,000 ft. Monday night, 15,000 ft. Tuesday and Tuesday night, then snow level above 8,000 ft. Wednesday.
  • highs 50-60 lows 39-37.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.

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