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Tim Chuey Weather

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The high pressure ridge ( “Arch” shape) that gave us a beautiful has moved to the East and has been replaced by a low pressure trough (“U” shape) that is moving through Oregon now. The low pressure trough has brought in even more rain and cool temperatures today with falling mountain snow levels. There is a chance of thunderstorms, but more often we just end up with small hail without the thunderstorms. After a break Friday another frontal system should be just offshore Sunday morning.

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Advisories:   A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT  UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM  TONIGHT FOR THE NORTH OREGON CASCADES FOOTHILLS, THE FOOTHILLS OF LANE COUNTY, AND THE UPPER HOOD RIVER VALLEY, THE NORTH OREGON CASCADES  INCLUDING THE CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY, AND FOR THE UPPER HOOD RIVER VALLEY.  A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TODAY THROUGH 5 AM THURSDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON CASCADES AND THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS. A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY, AND JACKSON COUNTY.

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Here are your detailed forecasts. **
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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with showers and a slight (20%) chance of evening thunderstorms with small hail, showers tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Thursday and a slight (20%) chance of afternoon thunderstorms (snow level 1,000 ft. in the afternoon, 0.10 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms), mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Thursday evening, patchy fog late at night, AM clouds and fog, partly cloudy Friday afternoon, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday night, then a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday, and rain likely (60%) Saturday night lows 35-30 warming back to 36 by Saturday night highs 50-56. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Sunday and Sunday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Monday through Tuesday  night, then a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday highs 58-50 warming to 59 by Wednesday lows 42-33 rising to near 40 Wednesday. (seasonal  averages high 59 low 38)
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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers with possible thunderstorms this evening, rain and snow showers late tonight (snow level  2,000 ft. falling to 1,000 ft. late, 1 in. of snow possible), rain and snow showers likely (60%) Thursday AM and afternoon with a slight (20%) chance of afternoon thunderstorms (snow level 1,000 ft. rising to 2,000 ft., small hail possible), a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday evening, mostly cloudy at night (snow level 1,500 ft.), partly cloudy Friday and Friday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Saturday, and a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday night lows 34-43 highs 49-55. Mostly cloudy with showers Sunday and Sunday evening, rain and snow showers late Sunday night, then a (50%) chance of showers Monday through Tuesday night, then showers likely (60%) Wednesday highs 60-52 warming to near 60 Wednesday lows 38-33 rising to 42 Tuesday night. (seasonal averages high 63 low 40)
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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with showers and a (30%) chance of evening thunderstorms, showers late tonight (snow level 2,000 ft. falling to 1,500 ft.), with rain and snow showers inland late tonight, AM coastal showers likely (60%) Thursday with AM rain and snow showers likely (60%) inland, then showers likely (60%) with isolated thunderstorms Thursday afternoon (snow level 1,000 ft. rising to 2,000 ft. in the afternoon), a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, mostly cloudy Thursday night, partly cloudy Friday AM, mostly cloudy in the afternoon, partly cloudy Friday night, a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday, rain and breezy Saturday night lows 37-45 highs 50-53. Mostly cloudy with rain Sunday, showers Sunday night, showers likely (60%) Monday, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday night through Tuesday night, then showers likely (60%) Wednesday highs from 52-55 lows 37-44. (seasonal averages high 57 low 42).
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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with snow showers tonight (3-6 in. of snow possible), showers likely (60%) Thursday (2 in. of snow possible), and mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of snow showers Thursday evening, a slight (20%) chance of snow showers at night, a mix of clouds and sun Friday, mostly cloudy with  a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow Friday night, snow level at the surface through Thursday night, 3,000 ft. Friday afternoon and Friday night lows 22-18 highs 29-39 . mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Saturday, then a (40%) chance of rain Saturday night, rain and snow Sunday and Sunday night, cloudy with snow showers likely (60%) Monday and Monday night,  a good (50%) chance of snow showers Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night, then a good (50%) chance of snow and rain Wednesday snow level 4,000 ft. Saturday, 5,000 ft. Saturday night and Sunday, 3,000 ft. Sunday night, at the surface Monday and Monday night, 3,000 ft. Tuesday, then 3,500 ft. Tuesday night and Wednesday highs 44-25 lows 28-20.
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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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