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Tim Chuey Weather

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It’s Monday and time for a new weekly weather quiz question. Who worked on mathematical models for weather prediction providing the basis for the first successful numerical (computer) forecasting models? He is also credited with predicting the existence of jet streams and developing the main theories describing their behavior. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized  weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

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Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

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An upper level trough of low pressure (“U” shape) has moved in along the coast and will keep us alternating between periods of  clouds and cooler temperatures, and rain or drizzle and even a thunderstorm thrown in for good measure, then back to less cloudy and slightly warming temperatures until late next week. A frontal system will be approaching the Pacific Northwest by midweek which would indicate the that there seems to be no end to this wet “Springlike” weather pattern soon. We could see a change over next weekend, but it is too soon to get too excited about it until there is some hard evidence it is possible.

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Here are your detailed forecasts.**

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with patchy fog this AM, a mix of clods and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms this afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms, showers likely (60%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms),  mostly cloudy and cooler Tuesday with a good (50%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening (under 0.25 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms), partly cloudy Tuesday night and Wednesday AM, a mix of clouds and sun Wednesday afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night highs 76-70 warming to 76 Wednesday lows 54-50. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday AM, partly cloudy Thursday afternoon and evening, then mostly cloudy Thursday night and Friday AM, then partly cloudy Friday afternoon through Saturday AM, mostly sunny Saturday afternoon and Sunday, mostly clear Saturday night highs 75-82 lows near 49. (seasonal averages high 82 low 51)

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The Pollen forecast for the Eugene/Springfield Area is for trees and weeds to be low, and Grass to be moderate. (Provided by Allergy and Asthma Research Group)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of AM showers, a good (50%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, showers likely (60%) late tonight with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms, mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Tuesday AM, a (40%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, a slight (20%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, then just mostly cloudy late Tuesday night through Wednesday night highs  76-72 warming to 77 Wednesday lows 60-53. Mostly cloudy Thursday AM, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday afternoon and Thursday evening with patchy fog late at night and Friday AM, then just partly cloudy Friday afternoon through Sunday highs 78-86 lows near 54. (seasonal averages high 86 low 55)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with patchy coastal fog this AM, a (30%) chance of coastal showers, a (40%) chance of showers inland in the AM, then a (40%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms inland this afternoon and evening, showers likely (60%) late at night and early Tuesday AM, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday afternoon and a slight (20%) chance of inland thunderstorms, a slight (20%) chance of showers in the evening, then just mostly cloudy Wednesday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon and evening, then mostly cloudy with patchy fog late Wednesday night highs 68-60 warming to 65 Wednesday lows 56-50. Mostly cloudy with patchy AM fog Thursday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of  showers Thursday afternoon and evening, becoming mostly clear with a slight (20%) chance of showers with a slight (20%) chance of rain or drizzle late Thursday night, mostly sunny with a slight (20%) chance of rain and drizzle Friday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and drizzle Friday night and Saturday AM, mostly sunny with a slight (20%) chance of rain and drizzle Saturday afternoon and evening, then just partly cloudy late Saturday night and Sunday highs near 65 lows 54-50. (seasonal averages high 67 low 53).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers this AM, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms this afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms), mostly cloudy with a  showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms late tonight (0.25 in,. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms, a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, then mostly cloudy with  showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Tuesday  AM, a (good (50%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, partly cloudy Tuesday night through Wednesday evening,  then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers late Wednesday night snow level above 8,000 ft. today through Wednesday night highs 64-60 lows 45-40. Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Thursday AM, a mix of clouds and sun Thursday afternoon, partly cloudy Thursday night through Friday AM,  mostly sunny Friday afternoon through Sunday, partly cloudy at night except mostly clear Saturday night snow level above 8,000 ft. Thursday, free air freezing level 13,000 ft. Thursday night and Friday, 14,000 ft. Friday night and Saturday, then 15,000 ft. Saturday night and Sunday highs 62-72 lows near 40.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at EugeneDailyNews.com.

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