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Tim Chuey Weather

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It’s Monday and time for a new weekly weather quiz question. Who worked on mathematical models for weather prediction providing the basis for the first successful numerical (computer) forecasting models? He is also credited with predicting the existence of jet streams and developing the main theories describing their behavior. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized  weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

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Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

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An upper level trough of low pressure (“U” shape) has moved in along the coast and will keep us alternating between periods of  clouds and cooler temperatures, and rain or drizzle and even a thunderstorm thrown in for good measure, then back to less cloudy and slightly warming temperatures until late next week. A frontal system is approaching the California coast and will slowly move in. We could see a change in our weather pattern over next weekend, but it is too soon to get too excited about it until there is some hard evidence it is possible. A new frontal system aims at the Pacific Northwest on Sunday. That would put a “damper” on the potential sunshine and warmer weather for all of next weekend.

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Here are your detailed forecasts.**

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms this evening and a (40%) chance of  showers late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms) and Tuesday AM, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers in the afternoon  (0.10 in. of rain possible), partly cloudy Tuesday night, a mix of clouds and sun Wednesday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers late Wednesday night, partly cloudy Thursday and Thursday night lows 54-49 highs 72-76 cooling to 72 Thursday. Partly cloudy Friday through Saturday AM, mostly sunny Saturday afternoon, mostly clear Saturday night, then mostly sunny Sunday and Monday with mostly clear nights highs 76-80 lows48-52. (seasonal averages high 82 low 51)

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The Pollen forecast for the Eugene/Springfield Area is for trees and weeds to be low, and Grass to be moderate. (Provided by Allergy and Asthma Research Group)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms this evening, scattered showers  with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms tonight and Tuesday AM, a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon, just mostly cloudy late Tuesday night and Wednesday AM, mostly sunny in the afternoon, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and drizzle Wednesday night through Thursday night lows 60-53 highs 74-78 cooling to 72 Thursday. Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and drizzle Friday AM, then just partly cloudy Friday afternoon through Monday highs 85-89 cooling to near 80 Monday lows 54-58. (seasonal averages high 86 low 55)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with scattered coastal showers tonight, showers inland this evening then scattered showers late tonight, isolated coastal showers and scattered showers inland Tuesday AM, mostly cloudy Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night, partly cloudy Wednesday AM, mostly sunny in the afternoon, mostly clear in the evening, then mostly clear with a slight (20%) chance of coastal rain and drizzle and fog late Wednesday night, partly cloudy with patchy fog and a slight (20%) chance of rain and drizzle Thursday AM, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of  showers Thursday afternoon and evening, becoming mostly clear with a slight (20%) chance of rain and drizzle late Thursday night lows 56-52 highs near 65. Mostly sunny with a slight (20%) chance of rain and drizzle Friday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy late Friday night,  then partly cloudy Saturday through Monday highs near 65 lows 52-55. (seasonal averages high 67 low 53).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms this evening and tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms), mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Tuesday AM,  a (30%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening (0.25 in,. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms), partly cloudy late Tuesday night, a mix of clouds and sun Wednesday with a slight (20%) chance of showers in the afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of showers in the evening, a (30%) chance of showers late Wednesday night, partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Thursday and Thursday night snow level above 8,000 ft. tonight through Tuesday, free air freezing level 11,000 ft. Tuesday night, snow level Wednesday through Thursday night lows 45-40 highs 60-62. Partly cloudy Friday through Saturday AM, then mostly sunny Saturday afternoon through Monday with mostly clear nights free air freezing level 13,000 ft. Friday and Friday night, 14,000 ft. Saturday, 15,000 ft. Saturday night, then 14,000 ft. Sunday through Monday highs 64-72 lows 40-45.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at EugeneDailyNews.com.

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