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Tim Chuey Weather

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Here is my new weekly weather quiz question. What is the “Urban Heat Island” effect?  Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

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Advisories:  A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH FORK OF THE COQUILLE RIVER NEAR MYRTLE POINT AND THE SOUTH FORK OF THE COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.  FOR UPDATED DETAILED FLOOD INFORMATION GO TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER WARNINGS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM TONIGHT UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR THE NORTH AND CENTRAL OREGON COAST. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY UNTIL 5 AM FRIDAY FOR THE NORTH OREGON CASCADES, NOT INCLUDING THE CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON COAST. A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM  TONIGHT THROUGH 1 PM THURSDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON COAST.  A HIGH SURF WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON COAST.

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trough of low pressure (“U” shape on the jet stream) is heading our way. A frontal system moved through Oregon as it leads a parade of storms, like the one shown offshore on the previous graphic,  approach the Pacific Northwest by Thursday and another frontal system that will move in Saturday, then another will follow Sunday.

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Here are your detailed forecasts.**

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain this evening, rain late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with rain and breezy (wind: S 15-25 mph) Thursday (0.55 in. of rain possible), rain (0.65 in. of rain possible) Thursday night, mostly cloudy with rain Friday (0.80 in. of rain possible) and Friday night (1.00 in. of rain possible), rain Saturday, then rain likely (60%) Saturday night lows 42-45 cooling to near 38 Saturday night highs near 50.  Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Sunday, a good (50%) chance of showers Sunday night and Monday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday highs near 50 lows 36-39. (seasonal averages high 58 low 38)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg:  Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers this evening, rain late tonight (snow level 3,500 ft. late, under 0.10 in. of rain possible) and breezy (S 15-25 mph), mostly cloudy with rain Thursday (0.30 in. of rain possible) and windy (wind: S 20-30 mph), mostly cloudy with rain (0.50 in. of rain possible Thursday night and again Friday) Thursday night through Friday night, showers Saturday, rain and snow showers and colder Saturday night lows 44-48 cooling to 38 Saturday night highs 54-57 cooling to near 50. Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (60%) Sunday, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Sunday night, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Monday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Monday night through Tuesday night, then rain likely (60%) Wednesday highs 53-56 lows near 38.  (seasonal averages high 59 low 40)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with coastal showers this evening, inland evening showers likely (60%), rain likely (60%) late tonight (0.20 in. of rain possible), windy (wind: S 25-40 mph at the shore and to S 20-30 mph inland late tonight), mostly cloudy with rain and very windy (wind: S 30-45 mph decreasing to S 25-35 mph late Thursday afternoon at the shore, S 25-35 mph decreasing to S 20-25 late in the afternoon inland) Thursday (0.90 in. of rain possible), rain Thursday night (1.00 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph gusts to 40), then mostly cloudy with rain Friday (1 in. of rain possible), and Friday night (1.50 in. of rain possible), then showers Saturday and Saturday night lows 43-47 cooling to 40 Saturday night highs near 52. Mostly cloudy with showers Sunday, showers likely (60%) Sunday night, mostly cloudy with a chance of rain Monday through Tuesday, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of  rain Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Wednesday highs 49-53 cooling to 50 Wednesday lows near 40. (seasonal averages high 54 low 42).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow this evening, rain and snow (2 in. of snow possible, 0.10 in. of rain possible) tonight, mostly cloudy with rain and snow (3-7 in. of snow possible) Thursday and windy (wind: S 20-30 mph gusts to 45 mph, 0.50 in. of rain possible), evening rain, rain and snow (1-3 in. of snow possible, 1.00 in. of rain possible) late Thursday night, rain Friday and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph gusts to 40 mph decreasing to SW 10-15 mph in the afternoon), rain Friday night, mostly cloudy with rain and snow Saturday, then snow Sunday night snow level 4,000 ft. tonight, 5,500 ft. Thursday and 6,000 ft. Thursday night, 6,500 ft. Friday and, Friday night, 4,500 ft. Saturday, then 2,500 ft. Saturday night lows 30-32 cooling to 22 Saturday night highs 38-40 cooling to 36 Saturday. Mostly cloudy with snow Sunday, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Sunday night, snow showers likely (60%) Monday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Monday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%)  chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday and Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (60%) Wednesday snow level at the surface Sunday, 3,500 ft. Sunday night, at the surface Monday, 5,000 ft. Monday night through Tuesday night, then 4,500 ft. Wednesday highs 37-44 cooling to 38 Wednesday lows 24-30.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com.

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