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May

15.

The thermometer will be going up and down an up again with practically no chance of rain until the end of the weekend.

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It’s time for my weekly weather quiz question. This week’s question is: what is the “Heat Index” and why is it important to know what it is? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

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Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

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A high pressure ridge (“Arch” shape on orange line) is still over the Pacific Northwest, but an upper level closed low (orange circle over Northern California) is moving eastward through Northern California increasing onshore airflow bringing in some more clouds with the chance of precipitation mainly in the foothills and Cascades. A weak frontal system will fall apart as it moves into Oregon late Wednesday into Thursday continuing the cool-down, but I don’t see any precipitation being produced from it locally. The chance of rain will sneak in late Sunday night and Monday.

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly clear tonight, partly cloudy Wednesday and Wednesday evening, mostly cloudy Wednesday night and Thursday AM, partly cloudy Thursday afternoon and evening, then mostly cloudy Thursday night and Friday AM, then partly cloudy Friday afternoon and Friday night lows 44-37 highs 73-63. A mix of clouds and sun Saturday and Sunday, partly cloudy Saturday night and mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late Sunday night, mostly cloudy Monday with a slight (20%) chance of AM rain, a (30%) chance of afternoon rain, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Monday night and Tuesday highs 69-75 cooling to 64 Tuesday lows 40-48 cooling to near 44 Monday night. (seasonal averages high 67 low 43)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly clear this evening, mostly cloudy tonight and Wednesday AM, mostly sunny Wednesday afternoon, becoming mostly cloudy Wednesday night and Thursday AM, mostly sunny Thursday afternoon, mostly clear in the evening, then partly cloudy Thursday night through Friday night lows 50-40 highs 78-66. Partly cloudy Saturday and Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday and Sunday night, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Monday afternoon through Tuesday highs 74-78 cooling to near 68 Tuesday lows 46-50. (seasonal averages high 70 low 47)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Partly cloudy this evening, becoming mostly cloudy with patchy coastal fog late tonight and Wednesday AM, mostly sunny in the afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy Wednesday night and Thursday AM, mostly sunny in the afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy Thursday night, then just partly cloudy Friday and Friday night lows 47-40 warming to 43 Friday highs 60-53. Partly cloudy Saturday and Saturday evening, mostly cloudy Saturday night, through Sunday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday AM, a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday afternoon, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Monday night and Tuesday highs 59-62 cooling to 57 Tuesday lows 46-50. (seasonal averages high 59 low 47).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly clear tonight, mostly sunny Wednesday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy Wednesday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday afternoon, then partly cloudy Thursday night through Friday night free air freezing level 11,000 ft. tonight, 10,000 ft. Wednesday, 9,000 ft. Wednesday night, snow level 6,000 ft. Thursday, free air freezing level 7,000 ft. Thursday night, 6,500 ft. Friday, then 7,500 ft. Friday night lows 37-30 highs 60-50. Partly cloudy Saturday and Saturday night, a mix of clouds and sun Sunday, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late Sunday night and early Monday AM, a mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of rain in the afternoon, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Monday night and Tuesday free air freezing level 7,500 ft. Saturday, 9,000 ft. Saturday night, 10,000 ft. Sunday night, snow level above 8,000 ft. Monday and Monday night, then 8,000 ft. Tuesday highs 58-65 cooling to 65 Tuesday lows 34-40 cooling to 36 Monday night.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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