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May

17.

It will be cooler today with some clouds and some sunshine too. It should stay dry until very late in the weekend.

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It’s time for my weekly weather quiz question. This week’s question is: what is the “Heat Index” and why is it important to know what it is? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

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Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

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A high pressure ridge (“Arch” shape on orange line) is moving eastward away from as an upper level low pressure trough (“U” shape on orange line) moves up increasing onshore airflow bringing in some more clouds with the chance of precipitation mainly in the foothills and Cascades. I don’t see any measurable precipitation being produced from it locally. The chance of rain will sneak in late Sunday night and Monday as a parade of frontal systems heads our way. For you skywatchers there will be an annular eclipse of the Sun on Sunday evening. Western Oregon is off the path of best viewing, but you should be able to see the moon covering the lower 2/3 of the Sun. For viewing instructions go to this address

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy this AM, partly cloudy and cooler this afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy tonight and Friday AM, partly cloudy Friday afternoon through Saturday night highs 65-62 warming to near 70 Saturday lows 36-40. A mix of clouds and sun Sunday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late Sunday night and Monday, cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Monday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of showers Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday night, then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain Wednesday highs 75-62 lows 49-45. (seasonal averages high 67 low 44)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy this AM, mostly sunny this afternoon, mostly clear in the evening, mostly cloudy tonight and Friday AM, partly cloudy Friday afternoon and Friday evening, mostly clear Friday night, then partly cloudy Saturday and Saturday night highs 67-74 lows 43-40 warming to 47 Saturday night. Partly cloudy Sunday AM, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday afternoon and Sunday night, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Monday afternoon, cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Monday night, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday and Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday highs 77-65 lows 52-48. (seasonal averages high 70 low 48)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy this AM, mostly sunny this afternoon, partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy tonight and Friday, partly cloudy Friday night through Saturday evening, then mostly cloudy Saturday night highs 55-60 lows 42-45. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and warmer Sunday afternoon and Sunday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Monday and Monday night, then a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday through Wednesday highs 62-55 lows 50-53 cooling to 48 Tuesday night. (seasonal averages high 59 low 47).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers this afternoon, partly cloudy tonight through Friday night, partly cloudy and warmer Saturday, then partly cloudy Saturday night snow level 7,000 ft. today, free air freezing level 7,500 ft. falling to 7,000 ft. tonight, 6,000 ft. Friday, 7,000 ft. rising to 7,500 ft. late Friday night, 9,000 ft. Saturday, then 11,000 ft. Saturday night highs 52-48 warming to near 60 Saturday lows 30-37. A mix of clouds and sun Sunday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday night and early Monday AM, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain in the afternoon, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Monday night, a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday and Tuesday night, then a mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of rain Wednesday free air freezing level 11,000 ft. Sunday, snow level above 8,000 ft. Sunday night and Monday, 8,000 ft. Monday night and Tuesday, 7,500 ft. Tuesday night, then 6,500 ft. Wednesday highs 67-47 warming to 52 Wednesday lows 39-36.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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