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Tim Chuey Weather

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Sorry, no winner this week. Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. How many “active” volcanoes are there in the world? Here is the correct answer. The answer to this common question depends upon use of the word “active.” At least 20 volcanoes will probably be erupting as you read these words (Italy’s Stromboli, for example, has been erupting for more than a thousand years); roughly 60 erupted each year through the 1990s; 154 in the full decade 1990-1999; about 550 have had historically documented eruptions; about 1300 (and perhaps more than 1500) have erupted in the Holocene (past 10,000 years); and some estimates of young seafloor volcanoes exceed a million. For more details go to The Global Vulcanism Program website. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you starting Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count.

 

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Advisories:  NONE AT THIS TIME.

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An upper level low (the shaded”U” shape on the jet stream) pushed a frontal system through the Pacific Northwest Friday, returning the clouds and the chance of rain and lowering mountain snow levels down to the passes. This storm could produce the first snowfall of the season at pass levels.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of scattered showers today (0.10 in. of rain possible) showers likely (60%) tonight through Sunday night (0.30 in. of rain  possible through the period), mostly cloudy with scattered showers Monday AM, showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday night highs 54-50 lows 40-36. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday and Tuesday night, showers likely (60%) Wednesday and Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday, then showers likely (60%) Thursday night and Friday highs 54-58 lows near 38. (seasonal averages high 62 low 41)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers this AM, a (40%) chance of isolated showers this afternoon (under 0.01 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy and colder with a (30%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 3,500 ft.), a (60%) chance of showers Sunday AM, showers likely (60%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), showers in the evening, rain late Sunday night (0.15 in. of rain possible) and Monday AM, rain and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon (0.20 in. of rain possible), then showers Monday evening and showers likely (60%) Monday night highs 58-53 lows 40-43. Mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Tuesday and Tuesday night, rain Wednesday, mostly cloudy with a rain likely (60%) Wednesday night, showers likely (60%) Thursday, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Thursday night and Friday highs 50-56 lows 44-46. (seasonal averages high 64 low 44)

 

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of scattered showers today (under 0.01 in. of rain possible) and tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible), showers likely (60%) Sunday AM, showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon (0.30 in. of rain possible), then showers in the evening and rain Sunday night (0.20 in. of rain possible), rain with a slight (20%) chance of coastal thunderstorms Monday AM, AM rain inland with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon (small hail possible), showers in the evening, then showers likely (60%) Monday night highs 58-50 lows 47-43. Mostly cloudy with showers Tuesday, showers likely (60%) Tuesday night, rain Wednesday, rain likely (60%) Wednesday night, showers likely (70%) Thursday, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday night and Friday highs 50-55 lows 44-48. (seasonal averages high 60 low 46)

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with increasing rain and snow showers today (0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with scattered rain and snow showers tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible) and Sunday AM, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Sunday afternoon (0.1. in. of rain possible, 1.00 in of snow possible) and Sunday night, then rain and snow showers Monday, and rain and snow showers likely (60%) Monday night snow level 5,500 ft. falling to 4,000 ft. this afternoon and tonight, 3,500 ft. Sunday, 4,500 ft. Sunday night, 4,000 ft. Monday, then 3,500 ft. Monday night highs 38-24 lows 28-24. Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Tuesday night through Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday, then rain and snow showers likely (60%) Thursday night and Friday snow level 3,500 ft. Tuesday through Wednesday, 4,000 ft. Wednesday night through Thursday night, then 5,000 ft. Friday highs 38-49 lows 24-27.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

 

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

 

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