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Tim Chuey Weather

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No winner this week. Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time and the correct answer. Define a “fallstreak.” Here is the answer: A fallstreak is another name for “Virga” which is precipitation falling from a cloud, but it evaporates before it reaches the ground. Click for more details. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you starting Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count.

 

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An upper level trough of low pressure (shaded “U”shape in blue arrows) is still pushing subtropical moisture into the Pacific Northwest that is coming from Hawaii (called the “Pineapple Express.” That is why our temperatures have stayed well above normal. A frontal system moved through Oregon Saturday sending more waves of rain at us and it is being  followed closely by another one today that pushed in from the southwest. A frontal system will push through between Monday night and Tuesday to keep the parade of storms going. A happy note for skiers, Mt. Ashland says they will open this Thursday. Hoodoo and Willamette Pass are still closed waiting for more snow.

 

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Advisories:  A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ABOVE 3,500 FT. FOR THE NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES AND ABOVE 4,000 FT. FOR THE CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT  UNTIL 10 AM TODAY  ABOVE 4,500 FT. FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADES OF OREGON, THE SOUTH CASCADES OF OREGON AND SISKIYOUS MOUNTAINS, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.. A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON COAST. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TODAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES, THE SOUTH CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS MOUNTAINS,THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY. A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY,  AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON COAST, EASTERN CURRY COUNTY,  JOSEPHINE COUNTY, AND UNTIL NOON TODAY FOR THE EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY FOOTHILLS, JACKSON COUNTY, CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON COAST, DOUGLAS COUNTY, JACKSON COUNTY.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with rain this AM, showers this afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible), showers tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible), showers (0.25 in. of rain possible) Monday, rain (0.45 in. of rain possible) Monday night and breezy (wind: S 5-15 mph increasing to S 15-25 mph late), rain Tuesday (0.90 in. of rain possible, heavy at times in the AM, and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph gusts to 35 mph), then showers Tuesday night highs 52-50 warming to 54 Tuesday lows 44-47 cooling to 42 Tuesday night. Mostly cloudy with showers likely (70%) Wednesday, a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday and Thursday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of rain Friday, a (30%) chance of rain Friday night, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Saturday highs 49-46 lows 37-34. (seasonal averages high 47 low 35)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with AM rain and isolated thunderstorms, showers (snow level 3,500 ft, 0.30 in. of rain possible) likely (60%) this afternoon, showers (0.10 in. of rain possible) tonight, a (40%) chance of showers Monday (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), rain likely (60%) in the evening, then rain late Monday night (0.20 in. of rain possible) through Tuesday evening, showers (0.55 in. of rain possible) late at night highs 50-55 lows 43-48 cooling to 44 Tuesday night. Mostly cloudy with showers likely (70%) Wednesday, a good (50%) chance of evening showers, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers late Wednesday night, a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday AM, a slight (20%) chance of showers in the afternoon, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday through Saturday highs 52-48 lows 42-37. (seasonal averages high 49 low 38)

 

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with AM rain and isolated thunderstorms, showers this afternoon (0.20 in. of rain possible), coastal showers (0.25 in. of rain possible) at night, showers in the evening, then showers likely (60%) inland (0.10 in. of rain possible) late tonight, AM coastal showers Monday with AM scattered showers likely (60%) and a good (50%) chance of showers inland Monday afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible), rain (0.50 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: S 15-20 mph increasing to S 20-30 mph at the shore with S 15-20 mph gusts to 40 mph inland late Monday night), then rain (0.60 in. 0f rain possible) and very windy (wind: S 25-40 mph at the shore and S 20-30 mph inland) Tuesday, rain in the evening then showers late Tuesday night highs 52-56 lows 45-50 cooling to 45 Tuesday night. Mostly cloudy with showers likely (70%) Wednesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday night, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday through Saturday highs 54-50 lows 43-40. (seasonal averages high 52 low 40)

 

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with AM rain and snow, rain and snow showers this afternoon (0.50 in. of rain possible, 3-6 in. of snow possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph), mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers (0.25 in. of rain possible, 2-5 in. of snow possible) Sunday night, rain and snow showers Monday, rain and snow Monday night and breezy (wind: S 15-25 mph), rain and windy (wind: SW 20-30 mph gusts to 45 mph) Tuesday, then mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers Tuesday night snow level 3,500 ft. today and tonight, 4,000 ft. Monday, 4,500 ft. Monday night, 8,000 ft. Tuesday, then 7,000 ft. Tuesday night highs 35-42 lows 30-33 cooling to near 30 Tuesday night. Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (70%) Wednesday, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a good (50%) chance of snow showers Thursday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers at night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday snow level 4,500 ft. Wednesday, 3,500 ft. Wednesday night, 4,000 ft. Thursday, 3,000 ft. Thursday night, 4,000 ft. Friday, then 3,500 ft. Friday night and Saturday highs 35-37 cooling to 33 Saturday lows 28-30.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

 

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com.

 

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