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Tim Chuey Weather

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No winner this week. Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time and the correct answer. Define a “fallstreak.” Here is the answer: A fallstreak is another name for “Virga” which is precipitation falling from a cloud, but it evaporates before it reaches the ground. Click for more details. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you starting Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count.

 

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An upper level trough of low pressure (shaded “U”shape in blue arrows) is still pushing subtropical moisture into the Pacific Northwest that is coming from Hawaii (called the “Pineapple Express”). That is why our temperatures have stayed well above normal. A frontal system moved through Oregon and more are on the way. Here is a look at a frontal system that will push in by Tuesday (position shown in Wednesday) to keep the parade of storms going. A happy note for skiers, Mt. Ashland says they will open this Thursday. Hoodoo and Willamette Pass are still closed waiting for more snow.

 

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Advisories:  A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MONDAY ABOVE 3,500 FT. FOR THE NORTH OREGON CASCADES (NOT INCLUDING THE CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY). A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM UNTIL 4 PM TUESDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON CASCADES.  A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THROUGH 10 PM TUESDAY FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with showers tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible), AM showers likely (60%), a good (50%) chance of showers in the afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible) Monday, evening showers likely (60%), rain (0.75 in. of rain possible) late Monday night and breezy (wind: S 5-10 mph increasing to S 15-25 mph late), rain Tuesday (0.90 in. of rain possible, heavy at times in the AM, and windy (wind: S 20-30 mph shifting W 15 mph in the afternoon), evening rain, showers late Tuesday night, showers likely (60%) Wednesday AM, a good (50%) chance of afternoon showers, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday night lows 45-38 highs 50-54 cooling to 48 Wednesday. A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday, partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Friday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of showers Saturday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night, then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday highs 48-45 lows near 37. (seasonal averages high 47 low 35)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with showers (0.50 in. of rain possible) likely (60%) tonight, a (30%) chance of showers Monday (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), evening rain likely (60%), rain late Monday night (0.25 in. of rain possible), rain (0.65 in. of rain possible) Tuesday and breezy (wind: S 15-25 mph gusts to 40 mph in the afternoon), rain Tuesday evening, rain (0.45 in. of rain possible) likely (60%) late at night, a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday evening, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers late Wednesday night lows 43-48 cooling to 38 Wednesday night highs 55-50. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday AM, a slight (20%) chance of showers in the afternoon, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday night, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday through Sunday highs near 48 lows 36-38. (seasonal averages high 49 low 38)

 

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with coastal showers while inland showers (0.15 in. of rain possible) likely (60%) tonight, AM coastal showers likely (60%) Monday with a good (50%) chance of afternoon showers while showers likely (60%) inland (0.10 in. of rain possible) Monday afternoon, rain (0.50 in. of rain possible) Monday night and windy (wind: S 25-35 mph at the shore with S 10-20 mph  inland),  rain (0.75 in. 0f rain possible) and very windy (wind: S 35-50 mph at the shore and S 20-30 mph inland) Tuesday, rain in the evening, showers (0.40 in. of rain possible) likely (60%) late Tuesday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday night lows 46-50 cooling to near 40 Wednesday night highs 55-58 cooling to near 50 Wednesday. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday through Sunday highs 50-53 lows near 39. (seasonal averages high 52 low 40)

 

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1-4 in. of snow possible) and breezy (wind: SW 10-20 mph gusts to 35 mph), mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers Monday AM, rain and snow showers likely (60%) in the afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible, 2 in. of snow possible), evening rain and snow showers, rain and snow late Monday night and breezy (S 15-25 mph), rain and windy (wind: SW 20-30 mph gusts to 45 mph) Tuesday, evening rain, showers late Tuesday  night, rain and snow showers Wednesday, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and    snow showers Wednesday night snow level 3,500 ft. tonight, 4,000 ft. Monday, 5,000 ft. Monday night, 8,000 ft. Tuesday, then 7,000 ft. Tuesday night, 4,500 ft. Wednesday, then 3,000 ft. Wednesday night lows 30-34 cooling to near 28 Wednesday night highs 35-42 cooling back to 35 Wednesday. A mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday through Sunday with partly cloudy skies with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers at night snow level 3,500 ft. Thursday, 3,000 ft. Thursday night, 3,500 ft. Friday and Friday night, 3,000 ft. Saturday, 3,500 ft. Saturday night, then 4,500 ft. Sunday highs 35-37 cooling to 33 Saturday lows 28-32.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

 

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com.

 

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