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No winner this week. Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. What is a “Tail-end Charlie?” Here is the correct answer. “Tail-End Charlie is slang for the thunderstorm at the southernmost end of a squall line or other line or band of thunderstorms. Since low-level southerly inflow of warm, moist air into this storm is relatively unimpeded, such a storm often has a higher probability of strengthening to severe levels than the other storms in the line.” I’ll have another weekly weather quiz question for you starting Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

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An upper level high pressure ridge (the shaded “Arch” shape) has taken over our weather pattern and turned off the rain. The ridge will keep us dry with our standard issue late night and early AM fog through the rest of the weekend into early next week. The ridge will weaken and move allowing upper level low pressure to take over sending storms our way by next Tuesday. A frontal system will approach the Pacific Northwest Tuesday returning the chances for rain. 

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HERE ARE YOUR GROUNDHOG DAY REPORTS FROM AROUND THE COUNTRY

1) Punxsutawney Phil, PA ———- No Shadow.. Early Spring

2) Buckeye Chuck, OH ————– No Shadow…Early Spring

3) General Lee, ATL,GA ————- No Report

4) Staten Island Chuck, NYC ——- No Shadow… Early Spring

5) Sir Walter Wally, NC ————-Saw Shadow…6 More weeks of Winter

6) Sun Prarie Jimmy, WI ————No Shadow… Early Spring

7) Dunkirk Dave, NY —————– No Shadow…Early Spring

8) Mal Verne Mel(Long Island, NY)- Saw Shadow..6 more weeks of Winter

9) Spencer Butte Bob, OR ———— No Shadow…Early Spring

Results:: 6 No Shadow, 2 Saw Shadow, 1 no report = Early Spring

Just remember that this is for fun and has no basis in Meteorology.

Advisories:  AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM TUESDAY FOR CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY, EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY, JACKSON COUNTY,  THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN, EASTERN AND WESTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Partly cloudy this evening, cloudy with patchy fog late tonight and Sunday AM, mostly cloudy with possible sun breaks in the afternoon, then mostly cloudy with areas of fog Sunday night and Monday AM, mostly cloudy in the afternoon with possible sun breaks, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of sprinkles Monday night, rain Tuesday AM, showers likely (60%) in the afternoon, then mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Tuesday night lows 35-38 highs near 48. Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday, a good (50%) chance of rain Wednesday night, rain likely (60%) Thursday, showers likely (60%) Thursday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Friday, a (40%) chance of showers at night, then a mix of clouds and sun Saturday highs 45-43 lows 36-34. (seasonal averages high 49 low 35)

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy with patchy fog late tonight and Sunday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon, mostly cloudy with patchy fog late Sunday night, and Monday AM,  mostly cloudy in the afternoon, patchy fog with a slight (20%) chance of showers late Monday night, AM rain likely (60%), showers in the afternoon, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday night lows 35-38 cooling to 35 Tuesday night highs 46-52. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday, a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday night, rain and snow showers likely (70%) Thursday and Thursday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday and Friday night, then just partly cloudy Saturday highs 50-46 lows 38-33. (seasonal averages high 52 low 37)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Partly cloudy this evening, cloudy with patchy coastal fog and areas of drizzle tonight and Sunday AM, mostly cloudy in the afternoon, mostly cloudy with areas of coastal fog Sunday night, AM coastal fog, mostly cloudy Monday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday night, mostly cloudy with AM rain Tuesday, showers in the afternoon, cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Tuesday night lows 37-42 cooling to 38 Tuesday night highs 49-53 cooling to near 50 Tuesday. Cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday, a good (50%) chance of rain Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with showers Thursday and Thursday night, showers likely (60%) Friday, a (40%) chance of showers Friday night, then partly cloudy Saturday Friday highs 52-46 warming to 50 Friday lows near 40. (seasonal averages high 52 low 40)

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Partly tonight, through Sunday night, a mix of clouds and sun Monday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of sprinkles Monday night, free air freezing level rising to 9,000 ft. tonight, 8,000 ft. Sunday, 7,500 ft. Sunday night, 8,000 ft. Monday, then 7,000 ft. Monday night, rain and snow likely (60%) Tuesday AM, rain and snow showers in the afternoon, then rain and snow showers likely (60%) Tuesday night lows 28-23 warming to 27 Monday night cooling to 23 Tuesday night highs 40-42 cooling to 38 Tuesday. Mostly cloudy with  cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday, a (40%) chance of rain and snow Wednesday night, rain and snow likely (70%) Thursday, rain and snow showers likely (70%) Thursday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of snow showers Friday, partly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers at night, then just partly cloudy Saturday snow level 3,500 ft. Wednesday, 4,000 ft. Wednesday night, 3,000 ft. Thursday and Thursday night, at the surface Friday, 2,500 ft. Friday night, then free air freezing level at the surface Saturday highs 37-32 warming to 35 Tuesday lows 25-22.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com.

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