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Tim Chuey Weather

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I apologize for not updating my forecasts for the last couple of days, but there was an internet provider failure over which I had no control. Thank you for your patience.

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Sorry, no winner this week. Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. What does “ECMWF” stand for? Hint: it represents a very necessary weapon in the meteorologist’s weather forecasting arsenal. Here is the correct answer. “ECMWF stands for European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Operational references in forecast discussions typically refer to the ECMWF’s medium-range numerical forecast model, which runs out to 10 days. This is one of the computer models used to forecast your weather. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you starting Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

 

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An upper level high pressure ridge (shaded “Arch”shape) will keep dry weather with us for the rest of the weekend into Monday, except for a weak disturbance that could drop a sprinkle or two on us this morning. A frontal system will bring back the chance of rain Tuesday.

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Advisories:  A FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM TODAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL  OREGON COAST.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with patchy AM fog and freezing fog, a mix of clouds and sun this afternoon, partly cloudy tonight, a mix of clouds and sun Monday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of showers at night, showers likely (70%) Wednesday, then mostly cloudy with a a good (50%) chance of Wednesday night highs 58-62 lows 34-46. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday, a (40%) chance of showers Thursday night through Friday night, then a mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of showers Saturday highs 58-65 lows near 43. (seasonal averages high 58 low 38)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy today and tonight, partly cloudy Monday AM, mostly cloudy in the afternoon, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night, a (40%) chance of showers Tuesday (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of showers at night, showers Wednesday, then showers likely (60%) Wednesday night highs near 62 lows 36-44. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday, then a (40%) chance of showers Thursday night through Saturday highs 59-63 lows near 42. (seasonal averages high 59 low 40)

 

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Areas of frost this AM, mostly cloudy this afternoon and evening, partly cloudy late tonight and Monday AM, mostly cloudy in the afternoon, a (30%) chance of showers Monday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a (40%) chance of showers Tuesday (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), showers likely (60%) Tuesday night, showers likely (70%) Wednesday, then showers likely (60%) Wednesday night highs near 55 lows 40-47. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday, then a (40%) chance of showers Thursday night through Saturday highs 54-58 lows 44-42. (seasonal averages high 54 low 42)

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: A mix of clouds and sun today, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of  rain and showers tonight, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Monday, a (30%) chance of evening rain and snow showers, a (40%) chance of showers Monday night, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers at night, showers likely (70%) Wednesday, then rain and snow showers likely (60%) Wednesday night free air freezing level 4,500 ft. rising to 5,000 ft. this afternoon, 5,000 ft. tonight, snow level 5,500 ft. Monday, 6,000 ft. Monday night, 5,000 ft. Tuesday, 6,000 ft. Tuesday night and Wednesday, then 5,000 ft. Wednesday night highs 45-50 lows 26-33. Mostly cloudy a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday, a good (50%) chance of showers at night, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday, a (40%) chance of showers Friday night, then a mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of showers Saturday snow level 4,500 ft. Thursday, 6,000 ft. at night, 5,500 ft. Friday, then 6,000 ft. Friday night and Saturday highs 43-48 lows 30-32.

 

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

 

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com.

 

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