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Tim Chuey Weather

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Did you ever wonder why weather disasters seem to stay away from Western Oregon? Check out my EDN Feature Story Why Not Here? It’s Time To Explain. Don’t miss my Weather Or Not column To My Surprise Groucho Marx Had It Wrong.

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Here is my new weekly weather quiz question. What is the first thing you would notice at the beach when a Tsunami was approaching and what should you do?  Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

 

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An upper level low (Shaded “U” shape) is just offshore and will hold there for another day or so. A short-lived ridge of high pressure will start clearing us up late in the week through weekend, then low pressure moves in off the coast early next week. A frontal system will stall offshore and eventually fall apart as it is caught in the southerly flow of the low stuck along the coast. For the 4th of July it looks like the upper level low will stay to our northwest over the Pacific Ocean while high pressure will strengthen in from the Great Basin. That should keep the sunny and hot conditions with us through Independence Day. There will be a delicate balancing act between the high and low. If the high weakens enough or pushes just a bit to the east we could see the low start to take over returning the clouds and the chance of precipitation. So far I’m betting on something in between. I hope I haven’t totally confused you. It looks like the low will start cooling us off with some more clouds and cooler temperatures between Wednesday and Thursday the 4th. So far I think high temperatures will be in the 80s for the 4th of July Holiday. As we get closer that forecast could change.

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The Grass Pollen Count is listed as Low at 3 and Tree pollen is Moderate at 31 according to Oregon Allergy Associates.

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Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) and Thursday AM, a mix of clouds and sun and warmer Thursday afternoon, partly cloudy at night, then mostly sunny Friday and Saturday with mostly clear nights lows 58-55 warming to 58 Saturday night highs 82-89 cooling a bit to 87 Saturday. Mostly sunny Sunday through Tuesday with mostly clear nights, mostly sunny Wednesday AM, then partly cloudy in the afternoon highs 88-92 (Wow! Did I say 92?) cooling to near 90 Wednesday lows 58-54. (seasonal averages high 77 low 49)

 

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers tonight, mostly cloudy Thursday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon, mostly clear Thursday night, then sunny Friday and Saturday with mostly clear nights lows 58-62 cooling to near 60 Saturday night highs 88-92. Mostly sunny and very warm Saturday through Tuesday with mostly clear nights, then partly cloudy and cooler Wednesday highs 92-96 (Double WOW! Did I say 96? Yep.) cooling to 87 Wednesday lows 63-65. (seasonal averages high 78 low 53)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday AM, partly cloudy Thursday afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), partly cloudy with patchy coastal fog late Thursday night and Friday AM, sunny in the afternoon, mostly clear in the evening, partly cloudy Friday night and Saturday AM, sunny in the afternoon, then mostly clear Saturday night lows near 57 highs 70-73. Mostly sunny Sunday through Tuesday with mostly nights, then partly cloudy Wednesday AM and sunny in the afternoon highs 69-72 cooling back to 66 Wednesday lows 58-55. (seasonal averages high 63 low 51)

 

 

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers this evening, mostly cloudy late tonight, partly cloudy Thursday and Thursday night, mostly sunny and warmer Friday and Saturday with mostly clear nights snow level above 8,000 ft. tonight, free air freezing level 13,000 ft. Thursday, then 15,000 ft. Thursday night through Saturday night lows 45-52 highs 70-80 cooling to 77 Saturday. Mostly sunny Sunday through Tuesday with clear nights, then partly cloudy Tuesday night and Wednesday free air freezing level 15,000 ft. Sunday 15,000 ft. rising to 16,000 ft. Sunday night, then 16,000 ft. Monday through Wednesday highs 79-83 lows 56-52.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

 

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com.

 

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