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Tim Chuey Weather

 

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Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not Column We Don’t Have Pets, They Have Us.

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And don’t forget my latest feature story in the continuing series on service club organizations called “Assistance” Is Their First Name.

 

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Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. What is “The Saffir-Simpson Scale?” Here is the correct answer. The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) is a 1 to 5 categorization based on the hurricane’s intensity at the indicated time. The scale provides examples of the type of damage and impacts in the United States associated with winds of the indicated intensity. In general, damage rises by about a factor of four for every category increase. The maximum sustained surface wind speed (peak 1-minute wind at the standard meteorological observation height of 10 m [33 ft] over unobstructed exposure) associated with the cyclone is the determining factor in the scale. The scale does not address the potential for other hurricane-related impacts, such as storm surge, rainfall-induced floods, and tornadoes. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you starting Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

 

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An upper level high pressure ridge (Shaded “Arch” shape) that is keeping our airflow from the north (northwest then northeast)  sent a frontal system through Oregon. A second modified Arctic cold front will be spreading much colder air to us starting Tuesday as we dry out and see more sunshine.

 

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene-Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 15 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter at Amazon Park, Eugene. Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 16 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter at Willamette Activity Center, Oakridge. Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

 

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Home Wood Heating Advisory:

Eugene/Springfield: YELLOW – Burning is Cautioned Against.

Oakridge: YELLOW – Burning is Cautioned Against.

(The use of Pellet stoves is always allowed.)

Advisory Courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

 

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Your College Football Weather Forecast:

January 1st 2015 – Semi-Final Playoff Ducks vs Florida State at the Rose Bowl.

Kickoff: 2 PM – Preliminary Forecast- Mostly sunny 50 warming to 55 then slow cooling as the game progresses.

 

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Advisories:

  • A WIND CHILL WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING ABOVE 3,000 FT. FOR THE NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES.
  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MONDAY FOR THE NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES AND THE CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY.
  • A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST AND THE CURRY COUNTY COAST.
  • A HEALTH ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE PRESENCE OF BLUE-GREEN ALGAE AT LOST CREEK LAKE , LOCATED 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF MEDFORD ON THE ROGUE RIVER IN JACKSON COUNTY AND AT DEVILS LAKE IN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE TOXIC ALGAE BLOOM MEANS THAT PEOPLE SHOULD NOT DRINK OR HAVE DIRECT CONTACT WITH THE AFFECTED WATER AND THAT ALSO GOES FOR ANY PETS.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers this evening, showers likely (70%) late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (70%) Monday AM, a slight (20%) chance of  rain and snow showers in the afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 1,000 ft.),  partly cloudy and colder with patchy freezing fog late at night,
  • Partly cloudy Tuesday AM, sunny and colder in the afternoon, clear and cold Tuesday night,
  • Sunny Wednesday, clear in the evening, partly cloudy with areas of freezing fog late Wednesday night.
  • lows 35-15 warming to 20 Wednesday night highs 42-30 warming to 33 Wednesday.
  • Mostly cloudy with areas of AM freezing fog, mostly cloudy with areas of fog Thursday afternoon (New Year’s Day) and at night,
  • Mostly cloudy a slight (20%) chance of AM rain and freezing rain, a slight (20%) chance of rain with areas of fog Friday afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Saturday through Sunday.
  • highs 35-45 lows 27-38 cooling to 35 Saturday night. (seasonal averages high 45 low 33).

 

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers this evening, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,500 ft. falling to 1,500 ft. late at night),
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (60%) Monday (0.15 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible, snow level 1,500 ft. falling to 1,000 ft. in the afternoon), a slight (20%) chance of evening rain and snow showers, mostly cloudy with areas of freezing fog late Monday night and Tuesday AM with areas of lingering freezing fog in the afternoon and at night,
  • Patchy AM fog and freezing fog Wednesday AM, mostly sunny in the afternoon, mostly clear with patchy freezing fog late Wednesday night
  • lows 38-17 warming to 24 Wednesday night highs 42-32 warming to 35 Wednesday.
  • Patchy freezing fog Thursday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon (New Year’s Day), mostly cloudy at night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with patchy freezing fog Friday AM, a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday afternoon through Saturday, a (30%) chance of rain Saturday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday.
  • highs 40-47 lows 30-36. (seasonal averages high 48 low 36)

 

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers and colder tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,000 ft. late tonight),
  • Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of coastal showers while a (40%) chance of AM showers and a good (50%) chance of afternoon rain and snow showers inland, a (40%) chance of showers Monday afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,000 ft. falling to 1,500 ft.), partly cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly clear late Monday night,
  • Sunny Tuesday and Wednesday, then clear and cold at night,
  • lows 45-27 warming to 32 Wednesday night highs 46-36 warming to 39 Wednesday.
  • Sunny Thursday AM,  partly cloudy in the afternoon (New Year’s Day), mostly cloudy patchy fog Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with patchy fog and freezing fog with a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday through Saturday, a (30%) chance of rain Saturday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday.
  • highs 45-52 lows 36-42. (seasonal averages high 51 low 40)

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

  • Mostly cloudy with snow showers tonight (1-3 in. of snow possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with snow showers Monday (1-2 in. of snow possible), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers in the evening, clear and much colder at night with wind chill temperatures as low as -15 degrees in higher terrain),
  • Sunny, breezy (Wind: E 15-25 mph) and cold Tuesday, clear and cold Tuesday night,
  • Sunny Wednesday, then clear at night.
  • snow level 2,500 ft. this evening, at the surface tonight through Monday night, free air freezing level at the surface Tuesday through Wednesday night.
  • lows 22-3 warming to 19 Wednesday night highs 24-15 warming to 30 Wednesday.
  • Mostly sunny Thursday (New Year’s Day), mostly cloudy at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM rain, and snow, a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow in the afternoon and Friday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow Saturday through Sunday.
  • free air freezing level 6,000 ft. Thursday, 6,500 ft. Thursday night, snow level 4,000 ft. Friday, 4,500 ft. Friday night, 5,000 ft. Saturday, 4,000 ft. Saturday night, then 4,500 ft. Sunday.
  • highs near 35 lows 25-30.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

 

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at EugeneDailyNews.com.

 

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