We have a winner!

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Here is my new weekly weather quiz question one last time. This one is also a movie trivia question. In the 1941 movie “Sergeant York” Gary Cooper plays Alvin York who was a bit of a rascal who kept getting into trouble. A particular weather event changes his life forever bringing him to turn to God and become a conscientious objector when he has go into the U.S. Army during World War I . What was that weather event? Congratulations to Chris Flaherty for posting the winning answer lightning which struck York’s rifle while he was riding his mule in a storm. Chris wins a week of free personalized weather forecasts. I’ll have another weekly weather quiz starting next Monday. The first person to post the correct answer will win one free week of personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs.

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A trough of low pressure has moved away from us (See “U” shape ) and now high pressure (See “Arch” shape”) will keep us very warm for one more day, then a low pressure trough and a cold front (map shows position Friday after it passed through) will be moving through Oregon between Wednesday and Thursday to bring temperatures back down again.

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Advisories:  A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE I-5 CORRIDOR FROM THE WASHINGTON BORDER TO SOUTH OF COTTAGE GROVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE CASCADES FOR HIGH HEAT, HIGH WINDS , AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. ALL OF THOSE FACTORS COMBINE TO CREATE A SERIOUS FIRE DANGER. BE VERY CAREFUL WITH COMBUSTIBLE MATERIALS IN THE AFFECTED AREAS.

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The summer Pollen Count Forecast season for the Eugene-Springfield area is over. From Allergy and Asthma Research Group.

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Here are your detailed forecasts. **

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Clear tonight,sunny and hot Wednesday, clear in the evening and partly cloudy Wednesday night, mostly cloudy Thursday with with a slight (20%) chance of AM drizzle, then partly cloudy and much cooler Thursday afternoon with a slight (20%) chance of showers, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy at night and Friday AM, then a mix of clouds and sun Friday afternoon lows 54-46 highs 94-70. Partly cloudy Friday evening, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers late Friday night, AM clouds then a mix of clouds and sun Saturday with a slight (20%) chance of showers low 46 high 76. Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of  showers Saturday night through through Monday evening, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night, AM clouds then a mix of clouds and sun and warmer Tuesday with a slight (20%) chance of showers lows 47-51 highs 73-77. (seasonal averages high 81 low 50)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg: Clear tonight, sunny and hot Wednesday, clear in the evening, then mostly cloudy at night with a slight (20%) chance of showers, AM clouds then partly cloudy and cooler Thursday with a slight (20%) chance of showers, partly cloudy in the evening then mostly cloudy and cooler Thursday night lows 60-50 highs 98-77. Partly cloudy  Friday and Friday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday afternoon through Sunday night highs 73-79 lows near 50. Mostly cloudy Monday through Tuesday highs 78-82 lows near 50. (seasonal averages high 86 low 54)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly clear tonight with patchy fog late at night at the shore, AM clouds and coastal fog then sunny Wednesday low 52 high 65. Mostly  clear in the evening, mostly cloudy at night and Thursday AM with a slight (20%) chance of showers, mostly cloudy Thursday afternoon and night with patchy fog late Thursday night lows 56-50 high 56. AM clouds and fog Friday then sunny and warmer,  mostly clear in the evening, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night through Sunday night, just mostly cloudy Monday through Tuesday highs 65-60 lows near 50. (seasonal averages high 68 low 53).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County:   Clear tonight and mostly clear Wednesday night, and sunny Wednesday free air freezing level 16,000 ft. tonight, and Wednesday, and 15,000 ft. Wednesday night lows 60-49 high 88. A mix of clouds and sun and much cooler with a slight (20%) chance of afternoon showers Thursday, partly cloudy in the evening with a slight (20%) chance of showers, mostly cloudy at night, AM clouds then a mix of clouds and sun Friday afternoon, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers late Friday night through Saturday evening, snow level above 8,000 ft. Thursday and Thursday night, free air freezing level 9,000 ft. Friday then a snow level above 8,000 ft. Friday night through Saturday highs 65-60 lows 47-38. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday night, AM clouds then a mix of clouds and sun Sunday with a slight (20%) chance of showers, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday night and Monday AM, then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday afternoon, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night and Tuesday AM, then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday afternoon snow level 7,000 ft. through Sunday, 8,000 ft. Sunday night and above 8,000 ft. Monday through Tuesday lows near 40 highs 60-65.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.