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Tim Chuey Weather

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Here is my weekly weather quiz question. I’ll give you a definition and you tell me what I am defining. It is a warmer than normal period after the first frost in the Fall. What have I defined? Please place your answer as comment after the forecasts. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs, Good luck.

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A  high pressure ridge (shaded “Arch” shape in the jet stream over the Northwest) has brought sunshine to the Pacific Northwest and  is still keeping us warmer than normal..  A weak  frontal system offshore fell apart on the way to our area.  A frontal system will push through by early Sunday as an upper level low pressure trough migrates Eastward across Oregon. That will cool us down to more normal temperatures giving us a chance of precipitation.

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Advisories:  NONE AT THIS TIME.

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Here are your detailed forecasts. **

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:  It was cooler than expected Wednesday and again today due to the low clouds and fog hanging around too long. Mostly clear with patchy fog tonight, AM clouds and fog again Friday, mostly sunny in the afternoon, and mostly cloudy with patchy fog late Friday night lows near 50 high 76. AM fog or low clouds, then a mix of clouds and sun Saturday, becoming mostly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Sunday then a good (50%) chance Sunday night through Monday AM, a (30%) chance of showers Monday afternoon and evening,  mostly cloudy Tuesday AM, then a mix of clouds and sun Tuesday afternoon, Wednesday, and Thursday, and partly cloudy at night highs 75-67 lows near 50 . (seasonal averages highs 71 low 43)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg:  The clouds hung around longer than expected Wednesday so it wasn’t as warm as I expected. That won’t be the case today. Clear this evening, partly cloudy with patchy fog late tonight and Friday AM, sunny Friday afternoon, becoming partly cloudy Friday night and Saturday AM, sunny in the afternoon, mostly clear in the evening, then mostly cloudy at night lows near 54-50 highs 80-77. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday afternoon, a (40%) chance of showers Sunday night and Monday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday evening, then partly cloudy Monday night, through Thursday highs from the low 70s Sunday falling to 65 Monday, warming to the low 70s Wednesday and Thursday lows near 50. (seasonal averages high 76 low 47)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly clear this evening, partly cloudy with patchy coastal fog tonight, AM fog then mostly cloudy at the shore, partly cloudy with AM fog inland, then sunny Friday afternoon, mostly cloudy at the shore Friday night,  partly cloudy in the evening inland then mostly clear late, partly cloudy Saturday AM, sunny Saturday afternoon, becoming mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late Saturday night lows 53-50 highs 63. Mostly cloudy Sunday AM, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain in the afternoon, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Sunday night and Monday, a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, then partly cloudy late Monday night through Thursday  highs 63-67 lows near 50. (seasonal averages high 66 lows 48).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly clear tonight, mostly sunny Friday and Saturday, mostly clear Friday night, and partly cloudy Saturday night  free air freezing level 16,000 ft. tonight, back to 15,000 ft. Friday through Saturday, falling to 13,000 ft. Saturday night lows 48-43 highs 73-70. A mix of clouds and sun Sunday AM, mostly cloudy with a  (30%) chance of rain Sunday afternoon through Monday AM, then a (30%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening, a slight (20%) chance of showers late Monday night and Tuesday AM, then a mix of clouds and sun Tuesday afternoon, Wednesday, and Thursday, and partly cloudy each night snow level above 8,000 ft. Sunday and Sunday night, 7,000 ft. Monday, 8,000 ft. Monday night and Tuesday, free air freezing level 12,000 ft. Tuesday night through Wednesday night, falling to 10,000 ft. Thursday highs hovering near 60 cooling to 54 Thursday low near 42.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.


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