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Tim Chuey Weather
Oct
04.
Comments Off on A new week and a new weather quiz plus an up and down forecast (down first). [Updated 9AM]
Category: Uncategorized

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It’s time for a new weekly weather quiz. Here is this week’s question. Major flooding occurred along the Northeast Coast of the U.S. in the summer of 1972 causing a 500-year flood in Elmira, New Your and other locations. What was the main cause of this flooding? You’ll get extra praise if you can explain a secondary cause for all of the rain that fell. Please place your answer as a comment after the forecasts on this page. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. Good luck

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A  high pressure ridge (shaded “Arch” shape over the Northwest) is moving away from us and a trough of low pressure (the shaded “U” shape along the coast) is moving in behind the ridge. A frontal system will move through Oregon. As the upper level low pressure trough migrates Eastward across Oregon the chance of rain will also increase for a while, then later in the week more high pressure returns the sunshine and warmer temperatures.

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Advisories:  NONE AT THIS TIME.

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Here are your detailed forecasts. **

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:  Mostly cloudy today with a slight (20%) chance of rain this afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy tonight, AM clouds then a mix of clouds and sun and warmer Tuesday, and mostly clear Tuesday night with patchy fog late and Wednesday AM highs 65-70 lows 44-44. A mix of clouds and sun Wednesday through Friday, partly cloudy nights,  and partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday night and Sunday highs hovering between 74-68  lows 46-50. (seasonal averages highs 70 low 43)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg:  Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers today, mostly cloudy  tonight and Tuesday morning, sunny and warmer in the afternoon, and partly cloudy Tuesday night  high 66-68 lows near 46. Partly cloudy Wednesday through Friday night, and mostly cloudy Saturday through Sunday highs hovering between 72-75  and back to 72 lows 45-48. (seasonal averages high 74 low 46)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers today, mostly cloudy tonight and Tuesday morning, then partly cloudy Tuesday afternoon and night  highs 60-67 lows 49-52. Partly cloudy Wednesday through Thursday night, and mostly cloudy Friday through Sunday highs hovering from 67-64 lows near 52. (seasonal averages high 65 lows 48).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers and thunderstorms this morning (mainly South near the crest), a slight (20%) chance of rain (mainly to the North) in the afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of showers at night, a mix of clouds and sun and warmer Tuesday and mostly clear Tuesday night snow level falling to 6,000 ft. today and back up to 6,500 ft. tonight, free air freezing level rising to 11,000 ft. Tuesday afternoon, rising to 12,000 ft at night highs 52-60 lows 35-40. A mix of clouds and sun Wednesday through Friday with partly cloudy nights free air freezing level  13,000 ft. Wednesday, 12,000 ft. Wednesday night, falling to 11,000 ft. Thursday and Friday highs 63-56-62 lows near 42. Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday night and Sunday snow level above 8,000 ft.  highs 63-57 low 43.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.


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