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Tim Chuey Weather

Here is this week’s weather quiz question. Hot air ballooning began on June 4, 1783 as two brothers demonstrated the first free balloon flight. Give me the last name of the brothers and for extra credit tell me where the flight took place. Please place your answer as a comment after the forecasts on this page. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. Good luck.

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The stormy wet weather is far from over with more rain possible with a slight break mid week. We will all see rain and the mountains will see snow in the higher elevations down to pass levels and below.

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The upper level airflow has turned from the west and northwest and has changed our weather to very wet with bursts of windy.  A second strong frontal system pushed through Oregon Sunday bringing some heavy amounts of rain and strong winds with it, not to mention mountain slow levels that fell to pass levels dropping measurable snow on the roadways. It’s not over yet.  A frontal system will push through Oregon Thursday and yet another frontal system will move in Saturday.

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Advisories: A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 AM TUESDAY ABOVE 4,000 FT. FOR THE NORTH OREGON CASCADES INCLUDING THE CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY.  A HIGH SURF WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH OREGON COAST.

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Here are your detailed forecasts. **

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Cloudy with showers (up to 0.50 in.) tonight and a slight (20%) chance of evening thunderstorms, showers Tuesday AM decreasing throughout the afternoon (another 0.25 in. possible), mostly cloudy with a (20%) chance of showers Tuesday evening, AM fog or low clouds then a mix of clouds and sun Wednesday afternoon, cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday evening, then rain likely (60%) late Wednesday night lows 40-36-40 highs 55-49. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Thursday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Thursday night through Friday night, rain likely (60%) Saturday, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday night, and (40%) Sunday through Monday highs 54-57 lows 38-42. (seasonal averages highs 61 low 39)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg:  Mostly cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms tonight, showers Tuesday AM,  showers likely (60%) in the afternoon (snow level 3,500 ft.), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday evening,  partly cloudy Tuesday night and Wednesday AM with patchy fog and scattered frost, partly cloudy  Wednesday, becoming mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Wednesday night and Thursday AM, rain in the afternoon, then showers likely Thursday night lows 42-35 highs 54-63. Mostly cloudy with  a (40%) chance of rain Friday and Friday night, mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Saturday, cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Saturday night, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Sunday through Monday (breezy Monday)  highs 55-52 lows 42-48. (seasonal averages high 65 low 42)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms tonight, mostly cloudy with showers Tuesday AM,showers likely (60%) in the afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly cloudy, a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday evening, areas of coastal fog and frost late Tuesday night and early Wednesday AM, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Wednesday afternoon, rain likely (60%) Wednesday night, rain Thursday, and showers likely (60%) Thursday night lows 44-37-47 highs 56-61-55. Mostly cloudy and breezy Friday and Friday night with rain likely (60%) ,rain likely (60%) Saturday, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Saturday night, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and windy Sunday through Monday highs 57-59 lows 47-50. (seasonal averages high 61 lows 45).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County:  Rain and snow showers and breezy (winds: W 15-25 mph gusts to 45 mph over the ridges) tonight ( 7-13 in. of snow), rain and snow showers Tuesday (4-8 in. of snow), mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers  likely (60%) in the evening, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night (2 in. of snow), a mix of clouds and sun Wednesday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain in the evening, rain likely (60%) late Wednesday night (1-4 in of snow), and rain likely (60%) Thursday and Thursday night snow level 3,000 ft. tonight, rising to 3,500 ft. Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night, free air freezing level 5,000 ft. Wednesday rising to 6,000 ft. in the afternoon,  snow level 6,000 ft. Wednesday night and Thursday, 5,500 ft. Thursday night lows 34-44 highs 36-45. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Friday and Friday night, with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Sunday and Sunday night, and a (40%) chance of rain Monday snow level 6,000 ft. Friday, 7,000 ft. Friday night,  6,500 ft. Saturday, falling to 5,500 ft. Saturday night, and 4,500 ft. Sunday and Sunday night, and 6,000 ft. Monday highs 34-50 lows 25-39.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.


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