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Tim Chuey Weather

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Yes, we have a winner. Congratulations to Amy Buchmeier Here is this week’s weather quiz question for the last time. This is a very basic weather question. What is a “rain shadow?” For extra ah ha points how does it work in Oregon weather? Here is her answer: “A rain shadow is the dry side of the mountain…caused by the moisture in the air being release on the windy side or the top of the mountain. By the time the clouds reach the “backside” of the mountain, most of the moisture is gone leaving a dry area…also known as a rain shadow? In Oregon, I would guess the east side of the Cascades are rain shadowed as the moisture leaves the coast and travels over the mountain range.” I’ll have another weekly weather quiz question for you starting Monday.  The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs.

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A quick peek at the College Football Forecasts for Saturday:

The Beavers vs. Washington State in Corvallis: Kickoff 1 PM Mostly cloudy 48 warming to 52 with a slight (20%) chance of a shower.

The Ducks vs. Cal in Berkeley: Kickoff 4 :30 PM Sunny 72 cooling to the 60s

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An upper level trough of low pressure (“U” shaped shaded area) has moved Eastward and a weak ridge of high pressure (“Arch” shaped shaded area) has cleared us up just a bit. Another trough of low pressure  follows close behind with a surface frontal system is bringing the rain chance back quickly. High pressure will slide back in drying us again Friday lasting for at least part of the weekend.

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Advisories:  NONE AT THIS TIME.

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Here are your detailed forecasts. **

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) this evening, a good (50%) chance of showers tonight, AM fog then mostly cloudy Friday, partly cloudy Friday night with patchy fog late, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday AM, a (30%) chance of rain in the afternoon and Saturday night, a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday, then just mostly cloudy Sunday night lows hovering near 40 highs 50-55. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with and a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night and a good (50%) chance  Thursday highs 55-47 lows 42-37. (seasonal averages highs 53 low 38)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain this evening, a slight (20%) chance of showers late tonight, just mostly cloudy Friday,  mostly cloudy Friday night with patchy fog late, patchy AM fog then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday and a (40%) chance of rain Saturday night, then patchy fog late lows 39-45 highs 54-49. AM fog, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday, mostly cloudy with patchy fog late Sunday night, and Monday AM, partly cloudy Monday afternoon, mostly cloudy with areas of fog Monday night and Tuesday,  partly cloudy with areas of fog late Tuesday night and Wednesday AM, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Wednesday afternoon, rain likely (60%) Wednesday night and Thursday highs fluctuating between 53-57 lows  39 to 46. (seasonal averages high 57 low 40)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) this evening,  a slight (20%) chance of showers late tonight, just mostly cloudy Friday and Friday night with patchy fog late at night and early Saturday AM, mostly cloudy with  rain likely (60%) Saturday and Saturday night, patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday and  Sunday night with patchy fog again late Sunday night lows 42-46 highs near 56. AM and late night fog and mostly cloudy Monday and Monday night, AM and late night clouds and fog Tuesday and Tuesday night, then just mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Wednesday afternoon, with a (30%) chance of rain in the evening, then breezy with rain likely (60%) late Wednesday night and rain likely (60%) Thursday highs 56-50 lows bouncing between 47-42. (seasonal averages high 57 lows 43).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County:  Mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) tonight (1-3 in. of snow possible), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance snow showers Friday, and partly cloudy Friday night, mostly cloudy with a (%) chance of rain Saturday and Saturday night snow level 5,500 ft. tonight, 3,500 ft. Friday, and a free air freezing level of 4,500 ft. rising to 5,000 ft. late Friday night, a snow level 6,000 ft. rising to above 8,000 ft.  Saturday afternoon, and 8,000 ft. Saturday night lows 30-33 highs 37-42. Cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Sunday, just mostly cloudy Sunday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday, a (40%) chance of showers Monday night and Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night through Wednesday night, showers likely (60%) Thursday snow level 8,000 ft. Sunday, free air freezing level 11,000 ft. Sunday night, snow level above 8,000 ft. Monday. 8,000 ft. Monday night, 5,000 ft. Tuesday, 4,500 ft. Tuesday night, and 4,000 ft. Wednesday  and Wednesday night, and 4,000 ft. Thursday highs 40-46 cooling to 36 Wednesday and 34 Thursday lows 34-24.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.


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