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Sorry, but no winner this week. Here is the question one last time. On average how many tornadoes hit the United States in a year?  The answer is the United states averages about 1,200 tornadoes per year. I’ll have another weekly weather quiz question for you starting on Monday. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs.

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Another  trough of low pressure has moved in offshore to set us up for more storms.  A frontal system pushed through the Pacific Northwest. A warm front will bring heavy rain to the area Saturday with a large pool of warm moist air moving in. More frontal systems will be hitting Oregon toward the weekend and beyond.

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Advisories: A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM SATURDAY FOR THE NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE UPPER HOOD RIVER VALLEY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM UNTIL NOON SATURDAY FOR THE CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY.  A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY UNTIL 1 AM SUNDAY ABOVE  5,000 FT. FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY. FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN OREGON FROM FLORENCE THROUGH COTTAGE GROVE AND EUGENE TO SWEET HOME NORTH THROUGH HOOD RIVER TO WOODLAND NORTH INTO THE STATE OF WASHINGTON AND WEST TO THE COAST.

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Here are your detailed forecasts. **

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers this evening, then patchy fog with rain late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible), rain, heavy at times, Saturday particularly in the afternoon (1.50-2.0 in. of rain possible), rain in the evening, and a (60%) chance of rain at night (0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy and warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday (0.10 in. of rain possible), rain likely (60%) Sunday evening, then rain late Sunday night (0.50 in. of rain possible) lows 42-50 highs 54-62. Mostly cloudy with rain Monday through Tuesday, then rain likely (60%) Tuesday night through Friday highs 55-44 lows 44-34. (seasonal averages highs 46 low 34)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg:  Cloudy with a  (60%) chance of showers this evening, rain late tonight, rain and windy (wind: SE 10-15 mph increasing to S 20-30 mph late AM and afternoon) Saturday, rain likely (60%) Saturday  evening, rain at night,  patchy AM fog with a slight (20%) chance of showers, mostly cloudy with a (20%) chance of rain Sunday afternoon, a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday night, AM rain likely (60%),  rain Monday afternoon and night lows 43-48 high 60-65-59. Rain and cooler Tuesday,  rain Tuesday night,  then rain and snow Wednesday, rain Wednesday night,  rain and snow likely (60%) Thursday, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Thursday night, then rain likely (60%) Friday  highs 50-44  lows 40-36. (seasonal averages high 49 low 35)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend:  Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain this evening, rain late tonight, rain and windy (wind: SE 15-20 mph increasing to S 25-35 mph gusts to 50 mph late AM and in the afternoon) Saturday, and rain likely (60%) and windy (wind: S 20-30 mph gusts to 45 mph in the evening) at the shore Saturday night, rain likely (60%) inland in the evening, then a good (50%) chance of rain late at night,  patchy AM fog and a good (50%) chance of showers, cloudy and breezy (wind: S 15-25 mph) with rain likely (60%) Sunday afternoon, mostly cloudy Sunday night with evening coastal rain likely (60%), then rain late at night, inland a good (50%) chance of rain in the evening and rain likely (60%) late at night,  AM rain likely (60%) Monday, rain in the afternoon and Monday night lows 47-50 highs 56-53. Mostly cloudy with rain Tuesday through Wednesday night, and rain likely (60%) Thursday and Thursday night, and rain Friday highs 52-42 lows 44-40. (seasonal averages high 53 lows 40).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County:  Mostly cloudy with snow decreasing this evening, rain or snow redeveloping late tonight (2 in. of snow possible) Saturday AM, then rain, heavy at times, Saturday afternoon (6-10 in. of snow possible before changing to rain), evening rain, then a good (50%) of rain and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph) late Saturday night (1.50 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Sunday (0.10 in. of rain possible), then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Sunday night (0.10 in. of rain possible), rain  likely (60%) Monday, and rain Monday night snow level falling to 4,000 ft. tonight, 4,500 ft. Saturday AM, rising to 8,000 ft. Saturday afternoon, and 9,000 ft. Saturday night, and Sunday, 8,000 ft. Sunday night, 7,000 ft. Monday,  falling to 5,500 ft. Monday night lows 28-39 highs  42-49-42. Rain or snow and breezy Tuesday and Tuesday night, then rain or snow Wednesday, and rain or snow likely (60%) Wednesday night through Friday snow level  falling to 4,000 ft. Tuesday, 3,000 ft. Tuesday night, and 3,500 ft. Wednesday, falling to 2,500 ft. Wednesday night through Friday highs 34-30 lows 25-20-24.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.