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Tim Chuey Weather

Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column Like The TV Show “Bones,” But For Real.

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Here is my new weekly weather quiz question. What is “Clear Air Turbulence (CAT)?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs.  Good luck.

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An Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (Shaded “U” shape with blue arrows) has taken over continuing the active weather pattern. Another trough will follow closely behind this one. The graphics for days 1-3 show the complex frontal system that pushed through and today we’re between fronts. The graphics for days 3-7 show the parade of complex frontal systems that are headed our way Thursday through next Monday.

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 12 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 13 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 14 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

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ADVISORIES:

  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT ABOVE 4,000 FT. FOR THE NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES.
  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT ABOVE 5,000 FT. FOR THE CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM UNTIL 4 PM WEDNESDAY FOR JACKSON COUNTY.
  • A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING ABOVE 5,500 FT. FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES, THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES, AND THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS.
  • A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for the Link and Klamath from Keno Dam to J.C. Boyle Dam (downstream from Keno Dam). Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area.
  • Health Advisory remains in effect for Howard Bay (also known locally as Howards Bay or Howard’s Bay), located in the southwest corner of Upper Klamath Lake including Shoalwater Bay to the north and all of Upper Klamath Lake. These areas of Upper Klamath Lake are located off Oregon Route 140, 15 miles west of Klamath Falls in Klamath County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in Howard Bay. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue green or brownish red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Howard Bay and Shoalwater Bay at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • A Health Advisory HAS BEEN LIFTED for Agency Lake, located just north of Klamath Falls along U.S. Highway 97 in Klamath County. Water monitoring has confirmed the toxin levels have dissipated and are safe for humans. The authorities warn that the water still is not safe for animals, such as dogs, and they should not be allowed to have contact with the water.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for Willow Creek Reservoir, located just east of the town of Heppner in Morrow County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in the reservoir. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue green or brownish red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Willow Creek Reservoir at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • Health Advisory remains in effect for Coffenbury Lake, located at Fort Stevens State Park about five miles northwest of US-101 ALT, Northwest Ridgefield Road near Warrenton in Clatsop County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae that can produce toxins in Coffenbury Lake. These blue-green algae levels are likely to be associated with dangerous cyanotoxin concentrations in the water that can be harmful to humans and animals.  People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur are discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins that can be produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people with skin sensitivities who come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Coffenbury Lake at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • A Permanent Health Advisory remains in effect for the South Umpqua River and Lawson Bar. Pools in the bedrock along the rivers edge are known to develop Blue-green Algae (cyanobacterial) blooms that can be harmful to pets and people if accidental ingestion occurs. Signs have been posted along several access areas along the river.

 

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Your College Football Forecast:

 

November 18th:

Ducks vs Arizona, at Autzen Stadium – Kickoff: 4 PM – Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain, 48, cooling as the game progresses.

November 18th:

Beavers vs Arizona State, at Reser Stadium – Kickoff: 12:00 PM – Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain, 45, warming to 48 by the end of the game.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers this afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening rain, a good (50%) chance of rain late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Rain and a bit cooler Wednesday (0.75 in. of rain possible), then showers at night (0.50 in. of rain possible) and Thursday AM, showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, then cloudy with showers likely (70%) Thursday night.
  • highs 55-48 lows 43-38.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain Friday, a (40%) chance of rain at night,
  • A (40%) of rain and a bit cooler Saturday, rain likely (70%) Saturday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain likely (70%) Sunday through Sunday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Monday.
  • highs 50-48 warming to 52 Monday lows 38-43. (seasonal averages high 53 low 38)

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Forecast for Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers this afternoon and tonight,
  • A good (50%) chance of AM rain, rain and a bit cooler Wednesday afternoon and evening, showers and a bit cooler late Wednesday night and Thursday, then cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers at night.
  • highs 56-50 lows 44-40.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow Friday, a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday night and Saturday, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Sunday through Monday.
  • highs 53-57 lows 39-47. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41)

 

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers this afternoon and breezy (Wind: S 15-25 mph), a (30%) chance of showers tonight, windy (Wind: S 20-30 mph at the shore while S 10-20 mph inland),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain Wednesday and windy (Wind: S 20-30 mph at the shore S 10-20 mph inland, AM gusts to 40 mph), evening rain, then showers late Wednesday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with showers Thursday, cloudy with evening showers likely (70%), then a good (50%) chance of showers at night.
  • highs 56-52 lows 47-43.
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Friday and Friday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday, then rain likely (70%) and a bit warmer Saturday night through Monday.
  • highs 55-58 lows 44-49. (seasonal averages high 55 Low 43)

 

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers decreasing late this afternoon, partly cloudy this evening, becoming mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Rain and snow Wednesday (0.50 in. of rain possible, 3-6 in of snow possible, evening rain and snow, rain and snow  showers late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain and snow showers Thursday and Thursday night.
  • snow level 3,500 ft. today, 4,000 ft. tonight, 5,000 ft. Wednesday, 5,000 ft. falling to 3,500 ft. late Wednesday night, then 3,000 ft. Thursday and Thursday night.
  • highs 36-32 lows 30-25.
  • Cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Friday, mostly cloudy a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow Saturday, a good (50%) chance  of rain and snow Saturday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) and a bit warmer Sunday and Sunday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain Monday.
  • snow level 3,000 ft. Friday, 3,500 ft. Friday night, 4,000 ft. Saturday, 6,000 ft. Saturday night and Sunday, then 6,500 ft. Sunday night and Monday.
  • highs 34-38 lows 26-32.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.

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