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Tim Chuey Weather

Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column Like The TV Show “Bones,” But For Real.

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Here is my new weekly weather quiz question. What is “Clear Air Turbulence (CAT)?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs.  Good luck.

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An Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (Shaded “U” shape with blue arrows) has taken over continuing the active weather pattern. Another trough will follow closely behind this one. The graphics for days 1-3 show the next frontal system headed our way. The graphics for days 3-7 show the parade of complex frontal systems that are headed our way Sunday and next Tuesday.

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 6 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 74 in the Moderate category measuring Particulate Matter.

Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 0 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

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ADVISORIES:

  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ABOVE 4,000 FT. FOR THE NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES.
  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ABOVE 5,000 FT. FOR THE CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM TODAY FOR JACKSON COUNTY.
  • A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM TODAY ABOVE 5,500 FT. FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES, THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES, AND THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM THURSDAY  FOR THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for the Link and Klamath from Keno Dam to J.C. Boyle Dam (downstream from Keno Dam). Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area.
  • Health Advisory remains in effect for Howard Bay (also known locally as Howards Bay or Howard’s Bay), located in the southwest corner of Upper Klamath Lake including Shoalwater Bay to the north and all of Upper Klamath Lake. These areas of Upper Klamath Lake are located off Oregon Route 140, 15 miles west of Klamath Falls in Klamath County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in Howard Bay. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue green or brownish red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Howard Bay and Shoalwater Bay at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • A Health Advisory HAS BEEN LIFTED for Agency Lake, located just north of Klamath Falls along U.S. Highway 97 in Klamath County. Water monitoring has confirmed the toxin levels have dissipated and are safe for humans. The authorities warn that the water still is not safe for animals, such as dogs, and they should not be allowed to have contact with the water.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for Willow Creek Reservoir, located just east of the town of Heppner in Morrow County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in the reservoir. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue green or brownish red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Willow Creek Reservoir at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • Health Advisory remains in effect for Coffenbury Lake, located at Fort Stevens State Park about five miles northwest of US-101 ALT, Northwest Ridgefield Road near Warrenton in Clatsop County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae that can produce toxins in Coffenbury Lake. These blue-green algae levels are likely to be associated with dangerous cyanotoxin concentrations in the water that can be harmful to humans and animals.  People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur are discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins that can be produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people with skin sensitivities who come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Coffenbury Lake at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • A Permanent Health Advisory remains in effect for the South Umpqua River and Lawson Bar. Pools in the bedrock along the rivers edge are known to develop Blue-green Algae (cyanobacterial) blooms that can be harmful to pets and people if accidental ingestion occurs. Signs have been posted along several access areas along the river.

 

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Your College Football Forecast:

 

November 18th:

Ducks vs Arizona, at Autzen Stadium – Kickoff: 4 PM – Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain, 50, cooling as the game progresses.

November 18th:

Beavers vs Arizona State, at Reser Stadium – Kickoff: 12:00 PM – Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain, 45, warming to 50 by the end of the game.

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • Rain possibly heavy at times this AM, breezy (Wind: S 15-25 mph decreasing to SW 5-10 mph this afternoon) rain and a bit cooler this afternoon (0.75 in. of rain possible), evening rain, showers late tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible) and Thursday AM, showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms and a bit cooler in the afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible), cloudy with showers and a slight (20%) thunderstorms Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of showers Friday AM, a good (50%) chance of rain in the afternoon, then a slight (20%) chance of rain at night.
  • highs 50-47 warming back to 50 Friday lows 40-37.
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) of rain and a bit cooler Saturday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain likely (70%) Sunday and at night,
  • Cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain Monday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of rain Tuesday.
  • highs 49-54 lows near 42. (seasonal averages high 52 low 38)

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Forecast for Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit cooler today (0.50 in. of rain possible) and this evening, showers likely (70%) late tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible, snow level 3,500 ft.),
  • Mostly cloudy showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Thursday (0.25 in. of rain possible, snow level 3,500 ft.), cloudy with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the evening, showers likely (70%) late at night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM rain and snow showers and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday afternoon, then a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday night.
  • highs 53-50 lows 42-38.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday, cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday night and Sunday, rain likely (70%) at night,
  • Cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of rain Monday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday.
  • highs 53-57 lows near 44. (seasonal averages high 53 low 41)

 

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain today (1.00 in. of rain possible) and windy (Wind: SW 20-30 mph at the shore decreasing to  SW 15-20 mph this afternoon while SW 10-20 mph inland this afternoon), evening rain, coastal showers likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms late tonight while inland showers late tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening (0.50 in. of rain possible), showers likely (70%) late at night,
  • A (40%) chance of AM showers, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Friday and Friday night.
  • highs 54-52 warming back to 54 Friday lows 44-42.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday, cloudy a good (50%) chance of rain at night,
  • Rain likely (70%) and a bit warmer Sunday, rain at night,
  • Cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Monday, a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday.
  • highs 56-59 lows near 47. (seasonal averages high 55 Low 43)

 

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

  • Rain and snow today (0.50 in. of rain possible, 3-6 in of snow possible) and breezy (Wind: S 15-25 mph gusts to 35 mph), rain and snow this evening, rain and snow showers late tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible, 5-9 in. of snow possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain and snow showers Thursday (0.50 in. of rain possible, 3-7 in. of snow possible) and Thursday night,
  • A bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday AM, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, then a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow at night.
  • snow level 4,500 ft. today, 5,000 ft. falling to 4,000 ft. late tonight, 3,000 ft. Thursday through Friday night.
  • highs 37-33 lows 28-26.
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow Saturday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance  of rain and snow Saturday night,
  • Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday, rain likely (70%) Sunday night,
  • Cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain Monday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday night,
  • Then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday.
  • snow level 4,500 ft. Saturday, 5,500 ft. Saturday night and Sunday, 7,000 ft. Sunday night, 5,500 ft. Monday, 7,000 ft. Monday night, then 7,500 ft. Tuesday.
  • highs 38-40 lows near 32.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.

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