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Tim Chuey Weather

Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column Like The TV Show “Bones,” But For Real.

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Here is my new weekly weather quiz question. What is a“Closed Low?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs.  Good luck.

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An Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (Shaded “U” shape with blue arrows) gave way to a short-lived high pressure ridge (“Arch” shape in blue arrows) but another trough takes over returning the chance for rain. The graphics for days 1-3 show the frontal system moving through the Pacific Northwest, then moving back to the north as a warm front. The graphics for days 3-7 show the series of complex frontal systems  that are headed our way Thursday through next Monday.

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 25 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 33 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 78 in the Moderate category measuring Particulate Matter.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

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ADVISORIES:

  • A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT  THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE CURRY COUNTY COAST, EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for the Link and Klamath from Keno Dam to J.C. Boyle Dam (downstream from Keno Dam). Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area.
  • Health Advisory HAS BEEN LIFTED for Howard Bay (also known locally as Howards Bay or Howard’s Bay), located in the southwest corner of Upper Klamath Lake including Shoalwater Bay to the north and all of Upper Klamath Lake. These areas of Upper Klamath Lake are located off Oregon Route 140, 15 miles west of Klamath Falls in Klamath County. Please remember that blooms can still come and go, so OHA advises pet owners to avoid areas where the water is foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish red in color, or if a thick mat of blue-green algae is visible in the water, or bright green cells are suspended in the water column.
  • A Health Advisory remains in effect for Willow Creek Reservoir, located just east of the town of Heppner in Morrow County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae and the toxins they produce in the reservoir. These toxin concentrations can be harmful to humans and animals. People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue green or brownish red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur is discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified, or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins being produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people who have skin sensitivities that come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Willow Creek Reservoir at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • Health Advisory remains in effect for Coffenbury Lake, located at Fort Stevens State Park about five miles northwest of US-101 ALT, Northwest Ridgefield Road near Warrenton in Clatsop County. Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae that can produce toxins in Coffenbury Lake. These blue-green algae levels are likely to be associated with dangerous cyanotoxin concentrations in the water that can be harmful to humans and animals.  People should always avoid areas with visible scum that looks foamy, scummy, thick like paint, pea-green, blue-green or brownish-red. Swimming and high-speed water activities such as water skiing or power boating where ingestion and inhalation exposure can occur are discouraged. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets as a result of these water activities in areas where a bloom has been identified or an advisory issued, can expose people to the toxins that can be produced. Although toxins are not absorbed through the skin, people with skin sensitivities who come into contact with a bloom may experience a puffy, red rash at the affected area. Drinking water directly from Coffenbury Lake at this time is especially dangerous. OHA Public Health Division officials advise campers and other recreational visitors that toxins cannot be removed by boiling, filtering or treating water with camping-style filters.
  • A Permanent Health Advisory remains in effect for the South Umpqua River and Lawson Bar. Pools in the bedrock along the rivers edge are known to develop Blue-green Algae (cyanobacterial) blooms that can be harmful to pets and people if accidental ingestion occurs. Signs have been posted along several access areas along the river.

 

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Your College Football Forecast:

 November 25th: The Civil War Game

Ducks vs Beavers, at Autzen Stadium – Kickoff: 4 PM – Too early for a preliminary weather forecast.

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain this afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible), rain tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy with rain likely (70%) and a bit warmer Tuesday (0.25 in. of rain possible), rain likely (70%) at night (0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and a bit cooler Wednesday, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Wednesday night.
  • highs 56-62 lows 50-54 cooling to 52 Wednesday night.
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit cooler Thursday (Thanksgiving Day) and at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers Friday, a (30%) chance of showers Friday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a (40%) chance of showers Saturday, then rain likely (70%) Saturday night and Sunday.
  • highs 58-53 lows 45-42. (seasonal averages high 51 low 37)

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Forecast for Roseburg:

  • Cloudy with rain and a bit warmer this afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible) and evening, rain likely (70%) late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of rain Tuesday (0.10 in. of rain possible) and at night (0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Wednesday, then a (30%) chance of rain Wednesday night.
  • highs 58-63 lows near 52.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a rain Thursday (Thanksgiving Day), rain likely (60%) Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain, a good (50%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Friday afternoon, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain evening rain, rain late Friday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday, rain likely (60%) Saturday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday.
  • highs 62-55 lows 47-45. (seasonal averages high 52 low 40)

 

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain this afternoon (0.50 in. of rain possible), coastal rain tonight while inland evening rain and inland rain likely (70%) late tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy rain likely (70%) and a bit warmer Tuesday and in the evening, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain late Tuesday night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy and a bit cooler with a (30%) chance of rain and a bit cooler Wednesday, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Wednesday night.
  • highs 60-65 cooling to 63 Wednesday lows near 54.
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit cooler Thursday (Thanksgiving Day),  rain likely (70%) at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with AM rain, a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers Friday afternoon, a (40%) chance of rain Friday night,
  • Rain likely (70%) Saturday and at night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday.
  • highs 59-56 lows 49-47. (seasonal averages high 54 Low 42)

 

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

  • Mostly cloudy with rain this afternoon (0.75 in. of rain possible), rain tonight (0.75 in. of rain possible),
  • Cloudy with rain likely (70%) and a bit warmer Tuesday, evening rain likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of rain late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain, a slight (20%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Wednesday afternoon, a (40%) chance of evening rain, then a slight (20%) chance of rain Wednesday night.
  • snow level above 8,000 ft. today through Wednesday night.
  • highs 44-50 lows 38-42.
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit cooler Thursday (Thanksgiving Day) and Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday, a (40%) chance of showers at night and Saturday (a bit warmer), then rain likely (70%) at night and Sunday.
  • snow level above 8,000 ft. Thursday, 7,000 ft. Thursday night, 5,000 ft. Friday, 6,000  ft. Friday night, 7,500 ft. Saturday and Saturday night, then 6,500 ft. Sunday.
  • highs 47-42 lows near 34.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.

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