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Tim Chuey Weather

Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column:

http://eugenedailynews.com/2018/02/first-dont-succeed-repeat-forecast/

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Here is my weekly weather quiz question. What is a “Derecho?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs.  Good luck.

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Another Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (Shaded “U” shape with arrows) continues to control our weather with temperatures well below normal, but the snow seems to be staying in the mountains. The graphics for days 1-3 show the warm front moving in today and the cold front behind it Thursday. The graphics for days 3-7 show the disturbances headed toward the Pacific Northwest Sunday and a strong storm approaching the coast next Wednesday morning.

Note: It looks like Willamette Pass Ski, due to a lack of snow, is still not operating, but Hoodoo is open Wednesday through Sunday from 9 AM- 4 PM. Mt. Ashland is open and report all lifts are operating. They will also be open 9  AM until 4 pm March 24th through April 1st for Spring break. Check their websites for details on days of operation and ski conditions.

 

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 12 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 28 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 25 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

 

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Home Wood Heating Advisory:

(Posted Daily)

Eugene-Springfield:  GREEN – Burning is Allowed.

OakridgeGREEN – Burning is Allowed.

*Note: Pellet stoves may be used anytime if they produce no visible emissions.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

 

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Advisories:

  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY ABOVE 4,000 FT. FOR THE NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES.
  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY ABOVE 5,000 FT. FOR THE CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY.
  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TODAY UNTIL 1 PM THURSDAY ABOVE 2,000 FT. FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST, THE CURRY COUNTY COAST, CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY, EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY, THE EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY FOOTHILLS, AND JACKSON COUNTY.
  • A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY UNTIL 1 PM THURSDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES.
  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY UNTIL 1PM THURSDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES, THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES, THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS, THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
  • A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE  RIVER.

 

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • Mostly cloudy with rain this afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible) and tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Showers Thursday (0.25 in. of rain possible), rain and snow showers likely (70%) Thursday night (0.10 in. of rain possible, no snow accumulation expected, snow level 1,000 ft.),
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain and snow showers, showers and a bit warmer Friday afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible), then a good (50%) chance of showers Friday night.
  • highs 45-47 lows 35-32.
  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance  of AM rain and snow showers, a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of showers Saturday afternoon (snow level 500 ft.), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night through Sunday night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Monday (snow level 1,000 ft.), partly cloudy with a slight(20%) chance of showers at night,
  • Then a mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer Tuesday.
  • highs 46-52 lows 32-34. (seasonal averages high 53 low 36)

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Forecast for Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with rain this afternoon and evening (0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 1,500 ft. rising to 3,500 ft.), rain and snow late tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible, 3-4 in. of snow possible, snow level 2,000 ft. late tonight),
  • Mostly cloudy with showers, snow showers and a bit cooler with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Thursday (0.25 in. of rain possible, 2-4 in. of snow possible, snow level 1,500 ft.), rain and snow showers in the evening, rain and snow showers likely (70%) late Thursday night (0.25 in. of rain possible, snow level 1,500 ft. falling to 1,000 ft. late at night),
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (70%) Friday (0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 200 ft. rising to 1,500 ft. in the afternoon), then a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night.
  • highs 49-45 lows 35-32.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday and Saturday night,
  • A slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers and a bit warmer Sunday and at night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday and Monday night,
  • Then just mostly cloudy and a bit cooler Tuesday.
  • highs 46-54 cooling to 52 Tuesday lows 32-34. (seasonal averages high 56 low 38)

 

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy with rain this afternoon (0.50 in. of rain possible) and breezy (Wind: SW 20-30 mph at the shore while SW 10-20 mph inland, gusts to 40 mph), evening rain, showers tonight (0.75 in. of rain possible, snow level 1,500 ft. late tonight) and windy (Wind: SW 20-30 mph at the shore decreasing to SW 10-15 mph late tonight while S 10-20 mph inland),
  • Mostly cloudy with coastal showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit cooler Thursday afternoon while inland showers, snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon (0.50 in. of rain possible, 2-3 in. of snow possible, snow level 1,500 ft. falling to 1,000 ft. in the afternoon), coastal showers and a slight (20%) chance of evening thunderstorms with coastal showers likely (70%) and a slight (20%) chance of coastal thunderstorms late Thursday night while inland evening rain and snow showers and inland rain and snow showers likely (70%) late Thursday night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Rain and snow showers likely (60%) and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of  thunderstorms Friday (0.25 in. of rain possible, snow level 700 ft. rising to 1,500 ft. in the afternoon), then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night.
  • highs 49-44 warming to 47 Friday lows 40-35.
  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday through Sunday (a bit warmer), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday night through Monday night,
  • Then just mostly cloudy Tuesday.
  • highs 47-53 lows 35-37 cooling back to 35 Monday night. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41)

 

 

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

  • Mostly cloudy with rain and snow and a bit cooler this afternoon (0.50 in. of rain possible, 2-5 in.of snow possible), rain and snow tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible, 4-8 in. of snow possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with snow showers Thursday (1-3 in. of snow possible) and Thursday night (1-2 in. of snow possible),
  •  A good (50%) chance of AM snow showers, a bit cooler with snow showers likely (70%) Friday afternoon (1 in. of snow possible), then mostly cloudy and cold cloudy with a good (50%) chance of snow showers Friday night (2 in. of snow possible).
  • snow level 3,000 ft. this afternoon,  3,500 ft. falling to 3,000 ft. late tonight, 2,500 ft. Thursday AM, then at the surface Thursday night and Friday.
  • highs 34-30 lows 25-18.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of snow showers Saturday, a (30%) chance of snow showers at night,
  • A  mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Sunday, partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers at night and Monday, just partly cloudy Monday night,
  • Then a mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer Tuesday.
  • snow level at the surface Saturday through Monday, then free air freezing level 3,500 ft. Monday night and Tuesday.
  • highs 28-36 lows 16-22.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.

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