Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column:
http://eugenedailynews.com/2018/02/first-dont-succeed-repeat-forecast/
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Here is my weekly weather quiz question. What is a “Derecho?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. Good luck.
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Another Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (Shaded “U” shape with arrows) continues to control our weather with temperatures well below normal, but the snow seems to be staying in the mountains. The graphics for days 1-3 show the front that moved in today and another disturbance that will move in Friday. The graphics for days 3-7 show the a strong storm system headed toward the Pacific Northwest by next Thursday.
Note: It looks like Willamette Pass Ski, due to a lack of snow, is still not operating, but Hoodoo is open Wednesday through Sunday from 9 AM- 4 PM. Mt. Ashland is open and report all lifts are operating. They will also be open 9 AM until 4 pm March 24th through April 1st for Spring break. Check their websites for details on days of operation and ski conditions.
Note: Daylight Saving Time begins at 2 AM Sunday March 11th. That’s not this weekend, but the one after that.
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Air Quality Index:
Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 6 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 10 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 5 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)
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Home Wood Heating Advisory:
(Posted Daily)
Eugene-Springfield: GREEN – Burning is Allowed.
Oakridge: GREEN – Burning is Allowed.
*Note: Pellet stoves may be used anytime if they produce no visible emissions.
Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)
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Advisories:
- A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST AND THE CURRY COUNTY COAST. HEAVY SURF WITH BREAKER HEIGHTS 18 TO 20 FEET INCREASING TO 25 FT. TONIGHT, FALLING TO20 FT. FRIDAY EVENING.
- A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM UNTIL 4 PM FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST AND THE CURRY COUNTY COAST.
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY ABOVE 1,000 FT. FOR THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST, THE CURRY COUNTY COAST, CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY, EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY, THE EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY FOOTHILLS, AND JACKSON COUNTY.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY,. THE KLAMATH BASIN, .
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM TODAY ABOVE 2,000 FT. FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST, THE CURRY COUNTY COAST, AND CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM TODAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES.
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES, THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES, AND THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS.
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY FOR THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY, THE GRANDE RONDE VALLEY, THE NORTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON, THE SOUTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON, THE JOHN DAY BASIN, AND THE EAST SLOPES OF THE OREGON CASCADES.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY FOR WALLOWA COUNTY, THE OCHOCO, AND THE JOHN DAY HIGHLANDS.
- A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.
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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:
- Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers this evening, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible, snow level 1,500 ft. late tonight),
- Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (70%) and a bit warmer Friday (0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 500 ft. to 1,000 ft. rising to 1,000 ft. to 1,500 ft., little or no snow accumulation expected), evening showers likely (70%), a (40%) chance of showers late Friday night (0.10 in. of rain possible),
- Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain and snow showers, a good (50%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Saturday afternoon (AM snow level 1,000 ft.), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers at night,
- Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of AM snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of showers, a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of showers Sunday afternoon, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Sunday night.
- lows near 33 highs 48-46 warming back to 48 Sunday.
- A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a (20%) chance of showers Monday, partly cloudy at night and Tuesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday night,
- Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday and Wednesday night,
- Then cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain Thursday.
- highs 52-55 lows 34-39. (seasonal averages high 54 low 36)
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Forecast for Roseburg:
- Cloudy with showers, snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms this evening, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible, 1-2 in. of snow at lower elevations while 3-4 in. of snow above 1,500 ft., snow level 600 ft.),
- Cloudy with AM rain and snow showers, rain and snow showers likely (70%) and a bit warmer Friday afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible, 1-2 in. of snow possible lower elevations while 2-4 in. of snow above 1,500 ft., snow level 200 ft. rising to 1,500 ft. in the afternoon), evening rain and snow showers likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers late Friday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, 1-2 in. of snow possible, snow level 1,500 ft. falling to 1,000 ft. late at night),
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain and snow showers likely (70%), a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday afternoon (snow level 1,000 ft. rising to 1,500 ft. in the afternoon), a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night,
- Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers and a bit warmer Sunday and in the evening, the just mostly cloudy at night.
- lows near 35 highs 46-50.
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday, partly cloudy Monday night and Tuesday (a bit warmer), then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Tuesday night through Thursday,
- highs 53-56 lows 36-42. (seasonal averages high 56 low 38)
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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:
- Mostly cloudy with coastal showers, snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms this evening with coastal showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms late this evening and tonight while inland showers and snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of evening thunderstorms with inland rain and snow showers late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible, 2-3 in. of snow possible, snow level 800 ft.) and windy (Wind: S 10-15 mph increasing to S 20-30 mph late tonight),
- Coastal showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit warmer Friday while inland AM rain and snow showers with inland showers, snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit warmer in the afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1-2 in. of snow possible, snow level 1,000 ft. rising to 1,500 ft. in the afternoon) and windy (Wind: S 20-30 mph gusts to 45 mph decreasing and shifting SW 10-20 mph in the afternoon), coastal showers likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms at night while inland evening showers likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms then rain and snow showers likely (70%) late Friday night (0.10 in. of rain possible, no snow accumulation expected, snow level 2,000 ft.),
- Cloudy with AM coastal showers likely (70%) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms then a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon while inland AM rain and snow showers likely (70%) Saturday, a good (50%) chance of inland rain and snow showers and a bit warmer in the afternoon (snow level 2,000 ft. falling to 1,500 ft. in the afternoon), a (30%) chance coastal showers at night while a (40%) chance of evening inland showers and a (30%) chance of inland rain and snow showers late Saturday night (snow level 2,000 ft. falling to 1,500 ft. late at night),
- Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM rain and snow showers, a (30%) chance of showers Sunday afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of showers in the evening, just mostly cloudy Sunday night.
- lows near 36 highs 46-50.
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday, just partly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday night and Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance rain Tuesday night and Wednesday, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance rain Wednesday night and Thursday.
- highs 53-55 cooling back to 53 Thursday lows 38-43. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41)
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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:
- Mostly cloudy with snow showers tonight (1-3 in. of snow possible),
- A good (50%) chance of AM snow showers, a bit cooler with snow showers Friday afternoon (1 in. of snow possible), mostly cloudy and cold with snow showers likely (70%) Friday night,
- Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) of AM snow showers, a bit cooler with snow showers likely (70%) Saturday afternoon (1 in. of snow possible), a good (50%) chance of snow showers at night,
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of snow showers Sunday, then a (30%) chance of snow showers Sunday night.
- snow level at the surface tonight through Sunday night.
- lows 18-20 highs 30-32.
- A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers and a bit warmer Monday, partly cloudy Monday night and Tuesday (a bit warmer), partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and a slight (20%) chance of snow Tuesday night,
- Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow Wednesday and Wednesday night,
- Then mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely (70%) Thursday.
- snow level at the surface Monday, free air freezing level 5,000 ft. Monday night and Tuesday, snow level 4,500 ft. Tuesday night, 4,000 ft. Wednesday, the 4,500 ft. Wednesday night and Thursday.
- highs 34-38 lows 22-28.
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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.
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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.
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