Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column:
http://eugenedailynews.com/2018/02/first-dont-succeed-repeat-forecast/
__________
Here is my weekly weather quiz question. What is a “Derecho?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. Good luck.
________________
Another Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (Shaded “U” shape with arrows) continues to control our weather with temperatures well below normal, but the snow seems to be staying in the mountains. The graphics for days 1-3 show the front that moved in Thursday and another disturbance that will move in today. The graphics for days 3-7 show the a strong storm system headed toward the Pacific Northwest by next Thursday.
Note: It looks like Willamette Pass Ski, due to a lack of snow, is still not operating, but Hoodoo is open Wednesday through Sunday from 9 AM- 4 PM. Mt. Ashland is open and report all lifts are operating. They will also be open 9 AM until 4 pm March 24th through April 1st for Spring break. Check their websites for details on days of operation and ski conditions.
Note: Daylight Saving Time begins at 2 AM Sunday March 11th. That’s not this weekend, but the one after that.
________________
Air Quality Index:
Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 5 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 37 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 6 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)
__________________
Home Wood Heating Advisory:
(Posted Daily)
Eugene-Springfield: GREEN – Burning is Allowed.
Oakridge: GREEN – Burning is Allowed.
*Note: Pellet stoves may be used anytime if they produce no visible emissions.
Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)
________________
Advisories:
- A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST AND THE CURRY COUNTY COAST. HIGH SURF WITH BREAKER HEIGHTS 16 TO 21 FEET THROUGH 10 PM TONIGHT.
- A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM TODAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST AND THE CURRY COUNTY COAST.
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM TODAY FOR CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY.
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY, AND JACKSON COUNTY.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY, THE KLAMATH BASIN.
- A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.
________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:
- Mostly cloudy with sun peeks and showers likely (70%) and a bit warmer this afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 500 ft., 1 in. of snow possible above 500 ft.), evening showers likely (70%), a (40%) chance of showers late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible),
- Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain and snow showers, a good (50%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Saturday afternoon (AM snow level 1,000 ft.), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers at night,
- Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of AM snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of showers, a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of showers Sunday afternoon, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Sunday night.
- highs 48-46 warming back to 48 Sunday lows 32-34.
- A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a (20%) chance of showers Monday, partly cloudy at night and Tuesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday night,
- Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday and Wednesday night,
- Then cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain Thursday.
- highs 52-55 lows 34-39. (seasonal averages high 54 low 36)
_________________
Forecast for Roseburg:
- Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) rain and snow showers of rain and snow showers and a bit warmer this afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible, little or no snow accumulation expected lower elevations while 1 in. of snow above 1,500 ft., snow level 800 ft.), evening rain and snow showers likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, little or no snow accumulation expected lower elevations while 1-2 in. of snow possible above 1,500 ft., snow level 1,500 ft. falling to 1,000 ft. late tonight),
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain and snow showers likely (70%), rain and snow showers likely (70%) Saturday afternoon (little or no snow accumulation expected lower elevations while 1-2 in. of snow possible above 1,500 ft.,snow level 600 ft. rising to 1,500 ft. in the afternoon), a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night (snow level 2,000 ft. falling to 1,500 ft.),
- Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers and a bit warmer Sunday (snow level 800 ft. rising to 1,500 ft.), a slight (20%) chance of evening rain and snow shower, then just mostly cloudy late at night.
- highs 46-50 lows near 35.
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday, partly cloudy Monday night and Tuesday (a bit warmer), a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday night,
- Then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Wednesday through Thursday,
- highs 53-56 lows 36-42. (seasonal averages high 56 low 38)
_____________________
Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:
- Coastal showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit warmer today while inland showers, snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit warmer this afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible) and breezy (Wind: S 15-25 mph gusts to 40 mph), coastal showers likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms tonight while inland evening showers likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms then rain and snow showers likely (70%) late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible, no snow accumulation expected, snow level 1,500 ft.),
- Cloudy with AM coastal showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms then a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Saturday afternoon while inland rain and snow showers and a bit warmer in the afternoon (snow level 1,500 ft.), a (40%) chance coastal showers at night while a (40%) chance of evening inland showers likely (70%), a (30%) chance of inland rain and snow showers late Saturday night (snow level 2,000 ft. falling to 1,500 ft. late at night),
- Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of coastal showers Sunday while a (30%) chance of inland rain and snow showers in the afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of showers in the evening, just mostly cloudy Sunday night.
- highs 46-50 lows 38-36.
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday, just partly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday night and Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance rain Tuesday night and Wednesday, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance rain Wednesday night and Thursday.
- highs 53-55 cooling back to 53 Thursday lows 38-43. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41)
________________
Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:
- Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with snow showers this afternoon (1-2 in. of snow possible), mostly cloudy and cold with snow showers likely (70%) tonight (1 in. of snow possible),
- Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) of AM snow showers, a bit cooler with snow showers likely (70%) Saturday afternoon (1-2 in. of snow possible), a good (50%) chance of snow showers at night (1 in. of snow possible),
- A bit warmer with a (30%) chance of snow showers Sunday, then a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Sunday night.
- snow level at the surface tonight through Sunday night.
- highs 30-32 lows near 20.
- A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers and a bit warmer Monday, partly cloudy Monday night and Tuesday (a bit warmer), partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain or snow Tuesday night,
- Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow Wednesday and Wednesday night,
- Then mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely (70%) Thursday.
- snow level 3,000 ft. Monday, free air freezing level 4,500 ft. Monday night and Tuesday, snow level 4,000 ft. Tuesday night, then 4,000 ft. Wednesday, then 4,500 ft. Wednesday night and Thursday.
- highs 34-38 lows 22-28.
________________
**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.
________________
Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.
________________