Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column:
http://eugenedailynews.com/2018/09/give-me-a-break-no-not-that-kind/
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Here is my new weekly weather quiz question. What is the “Gaussian Plume Model?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. Good luck.
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An Upper Level High Pressure Ridge (Shaded “Arch” shape with arrows) will warm us up for a couple of days. The graphics for days 3-7 show frontal activity Friday night and Saturday and a complex frontal system is shown moving in early Monday AM.
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Air Quality Index:
Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 40 in the Good category measuring Ozone.
Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 153 in the Unhealthy category measuring Particulate Matter.
Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 42 in the Good category measuring Ozone.
Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)
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ADVISORIES:
- A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY UNTIL 7 PM TODAY FOR ENTIRE WILLAMETTE VALLEY.
HEALTH ADVISORIES:
- A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KENO DAM RESERVOIR LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KLAMATH FALLS ON OREGON HIGHWAY 66 W IN KLAMATH COUNTY. WATER MONITORING HAS CONFIRMED THE PRESENCE OF CYANOBACTERIA AND THE TOXINS THEY PRODUCE IN KENO DAM RESERVOIR. THE CYANOTOXIN CONCENTRATIONS FOUND CAN BE HARMFUL TO TO HUMANS AND ANIMALS. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH-SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES LIKE WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING IN AREAS OF THE RESERVOIR WHERE CYNOTOXINS ARE IDENTIFIED. ALTHOUGH TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, PEOPLE WHO HAVE SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY EXPERIENCE A PUFFY RED RASH AT THE AFFECTED AREA. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS TOXINS CANNOT BE REMOVED BY ANY TECHNIQUE. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE RESERVOIR AT THIS TIME IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS. ALSO THE TOXINS CAN NOT BE REMOVED BY BOILING, FILTERING OR TREATING WATER WITH CAMPING-STYLE FILTERS.
- A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CULLABY, LOCATED JUST OFF OF HIGHWAY 101 BETWEEN ASTORIA AND SEASIDE IN CLATSOP COUNTY. WATER MONITORING HAS CONFIRMED THE CYANOBACTERIA AND THE TOXINS THEY PRODUCE IN CULLABY LAKE. THE CYNOTOXIN CONCENTRATIONS FOUND CAN BE HARMFUL TO HUMANS AND ANIMALS. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH-SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES LIKE WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING IN AREAS OF THE LAKE WHERE CYNOTOXINS ARE IDENTIFIED. ALTHOUGH TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, PEOPLE WHO HAVE SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY EXPERIENCE A PUFFY RED RASH AT THE AFFECTED AREA. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS TOXINS CANNOT BE REMOVED BY ANY TECHNIQUE. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM CULLABY LAKE AT THIS TIME IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS.
- A PUBLIC HEALTH ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR HIGHER-THAN-NORMAL LEVELS OF BACTERIA IN OCEAN WATERS AT SEAL ROCK STATE PARK BEACH, LOCATED IN LINCOLN COUNTY. WATER SAMPLES INDICATE HIGHER-THAN-NORMAL LEVELS OF FECAL BACTERIA, WHICH CAN CAUSE DIARRHEA, STOMACH CRAMPS, SKIN RASHES, UPPER RESPIRATORY INFECTIONS AND OTHER ILLNESSES. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID DIRECT CONTACT WITH THE WATER IN THIS AREA UNTIL THE ADVISORY IS LIFTED. THIS APPLIES ESPECIALLY TO CHILDREN AND THE ELDERLY, WHO MAY BE MORE VULNERABLE TO WATERBORN BACTERIA. WHILE THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT SEAL ROCK STATE PARK BEACH, VISITORS SHOULD AVOID WADING IN NEARBY CREEKS, POOLS OF WATER ON THE BEACH, OR IN DISCOLORED WATER, AND STAY CLEAR OF WATER RUNNOFF FLOWING INTO THE OCEAN. EVEN IF THERE IS NO ADVISORY IN EFFECT, OFFICIALS RECOMMEND AVOIDING SWIMMING IN THE OCEAN WITHIN 48 HOURS AFTER A RAINSTORM. OTHER BEACH ACTIVITIES ARE SAFE TO ENJOY.
- A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WILLOW CREEK RESERVOIR, LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE TOWN OF HEPNER IN MORROW COUNTY. WATER MONITORING HAS CONFIRMED THE CYANOBACTERIA AND THE TOXINS THEY PRODUCE ARE ABOVE RECREATIONAL VALUES FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE. THE CYNOTOXIN CONCENTRATIONS FOUND CAN BE HARMFUL TO HUMANS AND ANIMALS. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH-SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES LIKE WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING IN AREAS OF THE LAKE WHERE CYNOTOXINS ARE IDENTIFIED. ALTHOUGH TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, PEOPLE WHO HAVE SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY EXPERIENCE A PUFFY RED RASH AT THE AFFECTED AREA. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS TOXINS CANNOT BE REMOVED BY ANY TECHNIQUE.
- A RECREATIONAL HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR UPPER KLAMATH LAKE, LOCATED OFF ROUTE 140, 15 MILES WEST OF KLAMATH FALLS IN KLAMATH COUNTY. WATER MONITORING HAS CONFIRMED THE CYANOBACTERIA AND THE TOXINS THEY PRODUCE ARE ABOVE RECREATIONAL VALUES FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE. THE CYNOTOXIN CONCENTRATIONS FOUND CAN BE HARMFUL TO HUMANS AND ANIMALS. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH-SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES LIKE WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING IN AREAS OF THE LAKE WHERE CYNOTOXINS ARE IDENTIFIED. ALTHOUGH TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, PEOPLE WHO HAVE SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY EXPERIENCE A PUFFY RED RASH AT THE AFFECTED AREA. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS TOXINS CANNOT BE REMOVED BY ANY TECHNIQUE.
- A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.
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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:,
- Clear tonight,
- Mostly sunny and warmer Wednesday, clear Wednesday night,
- Sunny and slightly cooler Thursday, clear in the evening, mostly cloudy late Thursday night,
- AM clouds, a mix of clouds and sun and a bit cooler Friday, becoming cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening rain, then a (30%) chance of rain late Friday night.
- lows 50-53 highs 88-78.
- Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Saturday AM, just mostly cloudy and a bit cooler in the afternoon, partly cloudy Saturday night,
- Partly cloudy Sunday with a slight (20%) chance of afternoon showers, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, a slight (20%) chance of rain at night,
- A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Monday and Tuesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday night.
- highs 76-78 lows 49-52. (seasonal averages high 80 low 49)
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Your College Football Forecast
Saturday September 8th:
Ducks vs Portland State at Autzen Stadium – Kickoff: 11 am PDT- Preliminary Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of AM rain, 62 degrees and warming as the game progresses.
Beavers vs Southern Utah at Reser Stadium – Kickoff: 5 pm PDT- Preliminary Forecast: Mostly cloudy 75 degrees cooling as the game progresses.
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Forecast for Roseburg:
- Clear tonight,
- Sunny and warmer Wednesday, mostly clear at night,
- Sunny and a bit cooler Thursday, mostly clear in the evening, partly cloudy late Thursday night,
- AM clouds, partly cloudy and a bit cooler Friday afternoon, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night.
- lows near 54 highs 90-83.
- Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday, just partly cloudy Saturday night,
- Partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday and Sunday night,
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday and at night,
- Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday afternoon.
- highs near 80 lows near 52. (seasonal averages high 82 low 53)
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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend,
- Mostly clear this evening, partly cloudy with patchy fog late tonight,
- Mostly cloudy with patchy AM coastal fog, sunny and a bit cooler Wednesday afternoon, mostly clear in the evening, mostly cloudy at night with patchy coastal fog late,
- Mostly cloudy with patchy AM coastal fog, mostly sunny and a bit warmer Thursday afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy Thursday night with patchy coastal fog late at night,
- Mostly cloudy with patchy AM fog Friday, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night.
- lows 52-54 highs 62-65.
- Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers and slightly warmer Saturday, partly cloudy in the evening, just mostly cloudy late Saturday night and Sunday AM, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers late Sunday night,
- Mostly cloudy Monday with a (30%) chance of showers, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night and Tuesday.
- highs near 66 lows 52-54. (seasonal averages high 66 low 52)
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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:
- Clear with areas of smoke tonight,
- Mostly sunny and a bit warmer with areas of smoke Wednesday, clear with areas of smoke at night,
- Sunny with areas of smoke and a bit cooler Thursday, mostly clear with areas of smoke Thursday night,
- Partly cloudy and a bit cooler with areas of smoke Friday, mostly cloudy with areas of evening smoke, a slight (20%) chance of rain late Friday night.
- free air freezing level 14,000 ft. tonight through Thursday night, 13,000 ft. Friday, then snow level above 8,000 ft. late Friday night.
- lows 42-46 cooling back to 42 Friday night highs 77-70.
- Mostly cloudy with areas of smoke and a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday AM, just partly cloudy and a bit cooler in the afternoon and evening, partly cloudy late Saturday night and Sunday AM, mostly sunny and a bit warmer in the afternoon, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late at night,
- Then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Monday through Tuesday.
- snow level above 8,000 ft. Saturday AM, free air freezing 12,000 ft rising to 13,000 ft. Saturday afternoon, 12,000 ft. rising to 13,000 ft. late Saturday night, 13,000 ft. Sunday and in the evening, then snow level above 8,000 ft. late Sunday night through Tuesday,
- highs near 65 lows 39-42.
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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.
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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.
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