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Tim Chuey Weather

Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column:

http://eugenedailynews.com/2018/09/give-me-a-break-no-not-that-kind/

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Here is my weekly weather quiz question. What is the “Gaussian Plume Model?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. Good luck.

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An Upper Level High Pressure Ridge (Shaded “Arch” shape with arrows) warmed us up for a couple of days. Now a surface thermal low pressure trough moves and cools us a bit. The graphics for days 1-3 show the front that will move through the Pacific Northwest between today and another front approaching Sunday. The graphics for days 3-7  show frontal activity Sunday night and Monday and yet another frontal system just to our north next Friday.

Note: There’s only a slight chance of morning rain for the Duck game and this afternoon should be dry for the Beaver game.

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 18 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 23 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 19 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

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ADVISORIES:

HEALTH ADVISORIES:

  • A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KENO DAM RESERVOIR LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KLAMATH FALLS ON OREGON HIGHWAY 66 W IN KLAMATH COUNTY. WATER MONITORING HAS CONFIRMED THE PRESENCE OF CYANOBACTERIA AND THE TOXINS THEY PRODUCE IN KENO DAM RESERVOIR. THE CYANOTOXIN CONCENTRATIONS FOUND CAN BE HARMFUL TO TO HUMANS AND ANIMALS. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH-SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES LIKE WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING IN AREAS OF THE RESERVOIR WHERE CYNOTOXINS ARE IDENTIFIED. ALTHOUGH TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, PEOPLE WHO HAVE SKIN  SENSITIVITIES MAY EXPERIENCE A PUFFY RED RASH AT THE AFFECTED AREA. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS TOXINS CANNOT BE REMOVED BY ANY TECHNIQUE. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE RESERVOIR AT THIS TIME IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS. ALSO THE TOXINS CAN NOT BE REMOVED BY BOILING, FILTERING OR TREATING WATER WITH CAMPING-STYLE FILTERS.
  • A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CULLABY, LOCATED JUST OFF OF HIGHWAY 101 BETWEEN ASTORIA AND SEASIDE IN CLATSOP COUNTY.   WATER MONITORING HAS CONFIRMED THE CYANOBACTERIA AND THE TOXINS THEY PRODUCE IN CULLABY LAKE. THE CYNOTOXIN CONCENTRATIONS FOUND CAN BE HARMFUL TO HUMANS AND ANIMALS. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH-SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES LIKE WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING IN AREAS OF THE LAKE WHERE CYNOTOXINS ARE IDENTIFIED. ALTHOUGH TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, PEOPLE WHO HAVE SKIN  SENSITIVITIES MAY EXPERIENCE A PUFFY RED RASH AT THE AFFECTED AREA. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS TOXINS CANNOT BE REMOVED BY ANY TECHNIQUE. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM CULLABY LAKE AT THIS TIME IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS.
  • A PUBLIC HEALTH ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR HIGHER-THAN-NORMAL LEVELS OF BACTERIA IN OCEAN WATERS AT SEAL ROCK STATE PARK BEACH, LOCATED IN LINCOLN COUNTY. WATER SAMPLES INDICATE HIGHER-THAN-NORMAL LEVELS OF FECAL BACTERIA, WHICH CAN CAUSE DIARRHEA, STOMACH CRAMPS, SKIN RASHES, UPPER RESPIRATORY INFECTIONS AND OTHER ILLNESSES. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID DIRECT CONTACT WITH THE WATER IN THIS AREA UNTIL THE ADVISORY IS LIFTED. THIS APPLIES ESPECIALLY TO CHILDREN AND THE ELDERLY, WHO MAY BE MORE VULNERABLE TO WATERBORN BACTERIA. WHILE THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT SEAL ROCK STATE PARK BEACH, VISITORS SHOULD AVOID WADING IN NEARBY CREEKS, POOLS OF WATER ON THE BEACH, OR IN  DISCOLORED WATER, AND STAY CLEAR OF WATER RUNNOFF FLOWING INTO THE OCEAN. EVEN IF THERE IS NO ADVISORY IN EFFECT, OFFICIALS RECOMMEND AVOIDING SWIMMING IN THE OCEAN WITHIN 48 HOURS AFTER A RAINSTORM. OTHER BEACH ACTIVITIES ARE SAFE TO ENJOY.
  • A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WILLOW CREEK RESERVOIR, LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE TOWN OF HEPNER IN MORROW COUNTY.   WATER MONITORING HAS CONFIRMED THE CYANOBACTERIA AND THE TOXINS THEY PRODUCE ARE ABOVE RECREATIONAL VALUES FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE. THE CYNOTOXIN CONCENTRATIONS FOUND CAN BE HARMFUL TO HUMANS AND ANIMALS. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH-SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES LIKE WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING IN AREAS OF THE LAKE WHERE CYNOTOXINS ARE IDENTIFIED. ALTHOUGH TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, PEOPLE WHO HAVE SKIN  SENSITIVITIES MAY EXPERIENCE A PUFFY RED RASH AT THE AFFECTED AREA. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS TOXINS CANNOT BE REMOVED BY ANY TECHNIQUE.
  • A RECREATIONAL HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR UPPER KLAMATH LAKE, LOCATED OFF ROUTE 140, 15 MILES WEST OF KLAMATH FALLS IN KLAMATH COUNTY.  WATER MONITORING HAS CONFIRMED THE CYANOBACTERIA AND THE TOXINS THEY PRODUCE ARE ABOVE RECREATIONAL VALUES FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE. THE CYNOTOXIN CONCENTRATIONS FOUND CAN BE HARMFUL TO HUMANS AND ANIMALS. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH-SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES LIKE WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING IN AREAS OF THE LAKE WHERE CYNOTOXINS ARE IDENTIFIED. ALTHOUGH TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, PEOPLE WHO HAVE SKIN  SENSITIVITIES MAY EXPERIENCE A PUFFY RED RASH AT THE AFFECTED AREA. DRINKING WATER DIRECTLY FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS TOXINS CANNOT BE REMOVED BY ANY TECHNIQUE.
  • A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE  RIVER.

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:,

  • Cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain this AM, partly cloudy and a bit cooler this afternoon and tonight,
  • Partly cloudy Sunday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening rain, a good (50%) chance of rain late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of AM showers, a slight (20%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Monday afternoon and evening, then a (30%) chance of showers late Monday night.
  • highs 77-73 lows 50-54 cooling to 52 Monday night.
  • Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Tuesday and at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit cooler with a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of showers and a bit warmer Thursday, partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of evening showers, a slight (20%) chance of showers late at night,
  • Then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Friday.
  • highs 70-74 cooling back to 70 Friday lows 52-48. (seasonal averages high 79 low 49)

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Your College Football Forecast    

Saturday September 8th:

Ducks vs Portland State at Autzen Stadium – Kickoff: 11 am PDT- Preliminary Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of AM rain, 62 degrees, clearing to partly cloudy this afternoon and warming slowly as the game progresses.

Beavers vs Southern Utah at Reser Stadium – Kickoff: 5 pm PDT- Preliminary Forecast: Partly cloudy 76 degrees cooling as the game progresses.

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Forecast for Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain this AM, just mostly cloudy and a bit cooler this afternoon, partly cloudy tonight,
  • Partly cloudy Sunday AM, mostly sunny and a bit warmer in the afternoon, mostly clear in the evening, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late Sunday night and Monday AM, then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler Monday afternoon and Monday night.
  • highs 78-80 cooling to 74 Monday lows 50-54 cooling back to 50 Monday night.
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers and slightly cooler Tuesday and Tuesday night,
  • A (30%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Wednesday and at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Thursday, then mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday night and Friday.
  • highs 70-74 lows 52-48. (seasonal averages high 81 low 53)

 

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend,

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain this AM,  areas of coastal drizzle this afternoon while just mostly cloudy inland this afternoon, areas of coastal drizzle tonight and patchy fog late while just mostly cloudy inland tonight,
  • Partly cloudy in the AM, mostly sunny Sunday afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late Sunday night,
  • Mostly cloudy Monday with a (40%) chance of AM rain, then just mostly cloudy in the afternoon and at night.
  • highs near 65 lows 50-55 cooling to 52 Monday night.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday and Tuesday night,
  • A (40%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Wednesday and at night,
  • Mostly cloudy Thursday with a slight (20%) chance of showers in the afternoon and Thursday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday.
  • highs near 64 lows 53-50. (seasonal averages high 66 low 51)

 

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain this AM, partly cloudy and a bit cooler this afternoon and tonight,
  • AM sun, partly cloudy and a bit warmer Sunday afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late Sunday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, a bit cooler with a (30%) chance of showers Monday afternoon, then a (30%) chance of showers late at night.
  • snow level 8,000 ft. today, free air freezing 13,000 ft. tonight and Sunday, snow level above 8,000 ft. Sunday night, 8,000 ft. Monday, then 8,000 ft. falling to 7,000 ft. late Monday night.
  • highs 65-58 lows 42-38.
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Tuesday night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of  showers Wednesday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of evening showers, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers late at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday night and Friday.
  • snow level 7,000 ft. Tuesday through Friday.
  • highs 55-59 lows near 38.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.

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