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Tim Chuey Weather

Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not column:

http://eugenedailynews.com/2018/10/the-last-time-this-year-i-hope/

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Here is my weekly weather quiz question. What is a “Growing Degree Day?” The first person to post the correct answer as a comment on this page will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. Good luck.

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An Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (Shaded “U” shape with arrows) is controlling our normal Fall weather pattern. Much cooler air just moved in from the north. The graphics for days 3-7  show surface disturbances sliding through Oregon. There is a possibility of some serious rainfall, particularly at the coast, coming to us from moisture moving across the Pacific Ocean from two tropical disturbances.

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 33 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 12 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 16 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

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ADVISORIES:

HEALTH ADVISORIES:

  • A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE  RIVER.

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • Partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy late tonight,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit cooler Thursday and at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit cooler Friday (0.25 in. of rain possible) and Friday night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • AM clouds with a slight (20%) of showers, then partly cloudy and a bit warmer Saturday afternoon and at night.
  • lows 40-50 cooling to 43 Saturday night highs 66-59 warming back to 66 Saturday.
  • A mix of clouds and sun Sunday, becoming mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday night,
  • Cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and a bit cooler Monday (Columbus day), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a (40%) chance of rain Tuesday, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night,
  • Then a mix of clouds and sun and a bit cooler with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday.
  • highs 66-62 lows 47-43. (seasonal averages high 70 low 43)

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Your College Football Forecast    

Saturday October 6th:

Ducks have a bye week.

Beavers vs Washington State at Reser Stadium – Kickoff: 6 pm PDT- Partly cloudy 63,  slow cooling as the game progresses.

 

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Forecast for Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy tonight,
  • Some AM clouds, sunny and a bit cooler Thursday afternoon, partly cloudy Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM rain, rain and a bit cooler Friday afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible), rain likely (70%) at night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers and a bit warmer Saturday, then partly cloudy Saturday night.
  • lows 45-43 warming to 50 Friday night cooling to 46 Saturday night highs 66-60 warming to 64 Saturday.
  • Some AM clouds, clouds increasing to mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Sunday afternoon, mostly cloudy in the evening, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers late Sunday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday (Columbus Day) and Monday night,
  • A (40%) chance of rain and a bit cooler Tuesday, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday (a bit warmer).
  • highs 67-62 warming to 66 Wednesday lows near 46. (seasonal averages high 72 low 47)

 

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend,

  • Mostly cloudy tonight,
  • Partly cloudy Thursday and at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain Friday, rain and a bit cooler in the afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible), coastal rain at night while evening inland rain and inland rain likely (70%) late Friday night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy Saturday with a (30%) chance of AM showers, just mostly cloudy and a bit warmer in the afternoon, then partly cloudy Saturday night.
  • lows 47-53 warming back to 47 Saturday night highs 62-57 warming back to 62 Saturday.
  • Partly cloudy Sunday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday (Columbus Day) and Monday night,
  • A good (50%) chance of rain and a bit cooler Tuesday, then mostly cloudy with a (%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday (a bit warmer).
  • highs 62-59 warming back to 62 Wednesday lows 50-52 cooling back to 50 Tuesday night. (seasonal averages high 63 low 47)

 

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

  • Partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy late tonight,
  • A mix of clouds and sun in the AM, mostly sunny and a bit cooler Thursday afternoon, partly cloudy at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with good (50%) chance of AM rain, rain and a bit cooler Friday afternoon and Friday night,
  • AM showers likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of showers and a bit warmer Saturday afternoon, a (40%) chance of evening showers, just partly cloudy late at night.
  • free air freezing level 11,000 ft. falling to 10,000 ft. late tonight, 8,000 ft. falling to 7,500 ft. Thursday afternoon, 7,500 ft. Thursday night, snow level 6,500 ft. Friday, 7,500 ft. Friday night, 7,000 ft. Saturday, then 6,000 ft. Saturday night.
  • lows 38-33 warming to 38 Friday night cooling back to 33 Saturday night highs 46-44 warming back to 46 Saturday.
  • Partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Sunday AM, a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers in the afternoon, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Monday (Columbus Day), a (40%) chance of showers at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a (40%) chance of rain Tuesday, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday.
  • Free air freezing level 7,500 ft. Sunday, 7,000 ft. Sunday night, above 8,000 ft. Monday, 7,500 ft. Monday night, 6,500 ft. Tuesday, 6,000 ft. Tuesday night, then 5,000 ft. Wednesday.
  • highs 50-46 lows 36-32.

 

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at eugenedailynews.com.

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