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The upper air flow is bending more from the west (called Zonal flow) bringing in warmer, but still very moist air into the Pacific Northwest. A frontal system , warm front first, will be pushing into Oregon and that will insure we will see a lot of rain. The enhanced satellite loop over 3 hours shows the moisture coming our way is moving in from the sub-tropics, otherwise known as the “pineapple express.” Remember that, particularly this time of the year, when it’s not raining it is usually fogging.
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Advisories:
From the National Weather Service...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON AND OREGON... WILLAPA RIVER NEAR WILLAPA AFFECTING PACIFIC COUNTY NEHALEM RIVER NEAR FOSS AFFECTING CLATSOP AND TILLAMOOK COUNTIES WILSON RIVER NEAR TILLAMOOK AFFECTING TILLAMOOK COUNTY SILETZ RIVER AT SILETZ AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY SIUSLAW RIVER NEAR MAPLETON AFFECTING LANE COUNTY GRAYS RIVER NEAR ROSBURG AFFECTING WAHKIAKUM COUNTY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAIN AND MELTING SNOW IN... COOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OREGON... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF COOS BAY... CURRY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OREGON... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH... BROOKINGS... DOUGLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OREGON... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SUTHERLIN...ROSEBURG...REEDSPORT... WESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OREGON... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MEDFORD... JOSEPHINE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OREGON... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION... * UNTIL 445 PM PST SUNDAYAN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORY FOR IS IN EFFECT FOR MINOR FLOODING IN DRAINAGE AREAS UNTIL 12:15 PM THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE COUNTIES OF WESTERN OREGON FROM BENTON, LINCOLN, LINN, MARION, AND POLK COUNTIES NORTHWARD TO MULTNOMAH COUNTY TO THE COAST. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE RIVERS AND STREAMS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY FOR ALL OF WESTERN OREGON FROM FLORENCE TO COTTAGE GROVE, THROUGH THE NORTH CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND THE NORTH CASCADES, INCLUDING THE CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY BACK WESTWARD TO THE PACIFIC COAST.
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Here are your detailed forecasts. **
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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Cloudy with rain today (0.75 in. of rain possible), showers likely (60%) tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible), cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers (0.10 in. of rain possible) Monday (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday night (0.10 in. of rain possible) highs 58-52 lows 44-39. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday and Tuesday night , a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, mostly cloudy Thursday, partly cloudy Thursday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Friday and Friday night, then a (40%) chance of showers Saturday highs 52-47 lows 40-36. (seasonal averages highs 46 low 33)
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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg: Cloudy with rain and patchy fog today, rain likely (60%) late tonight, cloudy, patchy AM fog, with a (40%) chance of rain Monday (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day), then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night and a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday, and a (30%) chance of rain Tuesday night highs 60-41 lows 50-42. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Wednesday, just mostly cloudy Wednesday night and Thursday with areas of fog, mostly cloudy Thursday night and Friday, and mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night and Saturday highs 55-52 lows 35-40. (seasonal averages high 50 low 35)
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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Cloudy with fog this AM, rain today and breezy (winds: S 15-25 mph), coastal rain tonight, evening rain then rain late tonight inland, cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers, patchy AM fog Monday (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day), mostly cloudy Monday evening, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain late Monday night highs 58-52 lows 50-40. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday, a (40%) chance of rain Tuesday night, a slight (20%) chance of rain Wednesday, mostly cloudy with patchy fog Wednesday night and Thursday, just mostly cloudy Thursday night and Friday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night, and a (30%) chance of showers Saturday highs from 50-55 and back again lows 44-38 and back again. (seasonal averages high 53 lows 39).
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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with rain, heavy at times, today (2.00 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph gusts to 45 mph along the ridges) and showers tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph gusts to 45 mph along the ridges), showers likely (60%) (little or no snow expected) Monday (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day) and breezy (wind: W 15-25 mph gusts to 45 mph on the ridges), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Monday night snow level rising to above 8,000 ft. today, falling from 7,000 ft. to 6,000 ft. late tonight, 5,500 ft. rising to 6,000 ft. Monday, and falling to 4,500 ft. Monday afternoon, 3,000 ft. Monday night highs 46-40 lows near 35-29. Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Tuesday, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Tuesday night, partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of snow showers Wednesday, a (30%) chance of snow showers Wednesday night, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday, a (40%) chance of snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of rain showers Thursday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Friday and Friday night, and a (40%) chance of showers Saturday snow level 6,500 ft. Tuesday, falling to 3,500 ft, Tuesday night through Wednesday night, rising to 6,000 ft. Thursday, falling to 4,500 ft. Thursday night, rising to 6,000 ft, Friday and Friday night, and rising to 7,000 ft. Saturday highs near 38-40 lows near 28.
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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.