Here is my weekly weather quiz question. What are “Instrument Flight Rules (IFR)?

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An Upper Level High Pressure Ridge  (“Arch” shape) is slowly warming up the Pacific Northwest. There will be frontal activity returning by Friday, but not of the bitter cold airflow nature. The graphics for days 1-3 show our next frontal system moving in today. The graphics for days 3-7 show more frontal activity moving our way Monday through Friday.

NOTE:

HERE ARE YOUR GROUNDHOG DAY REPORTS FROM AROUND THE COUNTRY – FEBRUARY 2, 2023.

1) Punxsutawney Phil, PA ———- Shadow.. 6 more weeks of Winter
2) Buckeye Chuck, OH ————– Shadow…6 more weeks of Winter
3) General Lee, ATL,GA ————- No Shadow… Early Spring
4) Staten Island Chuck, NYC ——- No Shadow… Early Spring
5) Sir Walter Wally, NC ——————No Report….. Retired
6) Snerd (Wally’s Replacement) —- Shadow.. 6 more weeks of Winter
7) Sun Prairie Jimmy, WI ————Shadow.. 6 more weeks of Winter
8) Dunkirk Dave, NY —————– No Shadow…Early Spring
9) Mal Verne Mel (Long Island, NY)-No Shadow… Early Spring
10) Holtsville Hal (Long Island, NY)-Shadow.. 6 more weeks of Winter
11) Spencer Butte Bob, OR ————Shadow.. 6 more weeks of Winter*
Results:: 4 No Shadow, 6 Saw Shadow, 1 no report = 6 more weeks of winter.
*My own groundhog “Spencer Butte Bob” saw his shadow for 6 more weeks of Winter. If this is Winter weather now I don’t think we will mind it so much.
Just remember that this is for fun and has no basis in Meteorology.

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Air Quality Index:

Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 97 in the Moderate category measuring Particulate Matter.

Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 85 in the Moderate category measuring Particulate Matter.

Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 67 in the Moderate category measuring Particulate Matter.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

NOTE: Outdoor burning remains temporarily prohibited for the following areas: Eugene-Springfield, Florence, Lowell, Oakridge and UGB, and Springfield and UGB.

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ADVISORIES:

• A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TODAY FOR CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY AND THE EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY FOOTHILLS.
• A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM TODAY FOR THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
• A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM TODAY  FOR THE GRANDE RONDE VALLEY.
• A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TODAY FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY, AND JACKSON COUNTY.
• AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM MST (MOUNTAIN STANDARD TIME) TODAY FOR HARNEY COUNTY, BAKER COUNTY, MALHEUR COUNTY, AND THE OREGON LOWER TREASURE VALLEY.

Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

• Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain, a bit warmer with rain this afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of evening rain, rain late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
• Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Saturday, a good (50%) chance of evening rain, rain late at night (0.10 in. of rain possible),
• Mostly cloudy with AM rain, showers and a bit cooler Sunday afternoon, evening showers likely (70%), a (30%) chance of rain late Sunday night.
• highs 52-57 cooling to 48 Sunday lows 42-38.
• Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday night,
• Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Tuesday, rain likely (70%) at night,
• Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night,
• Then a mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday.
• highs 50-52 cooling to 48 Wednesday lows 37-39 cooling to 35 . (seasonal averages high 50 low 35)

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Home Wood Heating Advisory:

Posted Daily

Eugene-Springfield: GREEN– Burning is Allowed.

Oakridge: GREEN– Burning is Allowed.

*Note: Pellet stoves may be used anytime if they produce no visible emissions.

Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Valley including Roseburg:

• Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) today (AM snow level 3,500 ft.), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
• Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday afternoon, showers Saturday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 3,500 ft.m late at night),
• Mostly cloudy with showers and a bit cooler Sunday, then a good (50%) chance of showers Sunday night.
• highs 52-58  cooling to 47 Sunday lows 42-35.
• Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, just mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy late Monday night,
• Partly cloudy start, mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday afternoon, a (30%) chance of evening rain, a (40%) chance of showers late at night,
• Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain and snow showers, a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, just mostly cloudy late Wednesday night,
• Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, then partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday afternoon.
• highs 52-54 cooling to 50 Wednesday warming to 53 Thursday lows 38-42 cooling to 37 Wednesday night. (seasonal averages high 52 low 37)

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:

• Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit warmer today (0.25 in. of rain possible) and breezy (Wind: S 15-25 mph, AM gusts to 40 mph), a (40%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) and breezy (Wind: S 10-20 mph),
• Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Saturday afternoon, showers Saturday night (0.25 in. of rain possible) and breezy (Wind: S 15-25 mph),
• Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with showers Sunday, then showers Sunday night.
• highs 54-58 cooling 50 Sunday lows near 43.
• Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, just mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy late Monday night,
• Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers at night,
• Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night,
• Then partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday.
• highs 53-55 cooling to 52 Wednesday warming back to 55 Thursday lows 39-40 cooling to 37 Wednesday night. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41)

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Forecast for the Cascades in Lane County:

• Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain or snow, a bit cooler with a rain or snow at times this afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1-4 in. of snow possible), evening rain or snow, a good (50%) chance of rain or snow tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1-4 in. of snow possible),
• Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain or snow Saturday (1-2 in. of snow possible), rain or snow  Saturday night (2-5 in. of snow possible),
• Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain or snow Sunday (3-8 in. of snow possible), then showers likely (70%) Sunday night.
• snow level 5,000 ft. tonight, 4,000 ft. Friday through Saturday, 4,500 ft. Saturday night, 4,000 ft. Sunday, then 3,500 ft. Sunday night.
• highs 36-39 cooling to 32 Saturday lows 28-26.
• Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday, a (40%) chance of showers Monday night,
• Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain or snow likely (70%) Tuesday, rain and snow likely (70%) Tuesday night,
• Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday, a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday night,
• Then partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday.
• snow level 3,500 ft. Monday through Tuesday, 4,000 ft. Tuesday night, then 3,000 ft. Wednesday through Thursday.
• highs 34-40 cooling to 35 Wednesday warming to 38 Thursday lows 26-23.

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