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“Punxsutawney Phil” did not see his shadow Wednesday. That is supposed to give a forecast of an early spring. I surveyed reports from 15 groundhogs across the country (most of them in the Northeast and one in Ontario, Canada) and 10 did not see their shadows while 5 did. That means 10 predicted an early spring and 5 said we’ll see 6 more weeks of winter. What does all of this mean? Not much, but it is a diversion from the stormy weather across over half of the United States.

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The jet stream shows a high pressure ridge (shaded “arch” shape) has been aiming the airflow straight South toward the Pacific Northwest. The ridge is slowly moving Eastward which will allow our temperatures to moderate a bit. A weak disturbance will slip in bringing at least a slight chance of rain. Remember that, particularly this time of the year, often when it’s not raining it is usually fogging.

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Advisories:  AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MONDAY FOR CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY INCLUDING ROSEBURG, EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY, JACKSON COUNTY, THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND CENTRAL, EASTERN, AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY.

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Here are your detailed forecasts. **

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Patchy fog and freezing fog this AM, a mix of clouds and sun this afternoon, partly cloudy tonight, patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy Friday, a slight (20%) chance of rain in the evening, just mostly cloudy Friday night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday and Saturday night highs 54-57 lows 36-42. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday, mostly cloudy Sunday night, a mix of clouds and sun Monday and Tuesday, partly cloudy at night, then mostly sunny Wednesday highs 57-49 lows 37-32. (seasonal  averages high 49 low 34)

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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg:  Patchy fog this AM, sunny this afternoon, mostly clear in the evening, partly cloudy tonight, AM fog then partly cloudy Friday, mostly cloudy Friday night, AM fog, mostly cloudy Saturday and Saturday night highs 55-59-55 lows 35-45. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday AM, then just mostly cloudy Sunday afternoon, partly cloudy Sunday night through Tuesday, mostly clear Tuesday night, and mostly sunny Wednesday highs 62-52 lows 40-34. (seasonal averages high 53 low 36)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Partly cloudy this AM, sunny this afternoon, partly cloudy tonight and Friday, then mostly cloudy Friday night through Saturday night highs 57-54 lows near 45. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday AM, mostly cloudy Sunday night,  partly cloudy Monday and Monday night, and mostly sunny Tuesday and Wednesday, with mostly clear skies Tuesday night highs 59-52 lows 43-37. (seasonal averages high 54 low 40).

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: A mix of clouds and sun today, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Friday (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) through Saturday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday night free air freezing level rising to 10,000 ft. today, snow level falling to 8,000 ft. tonight and Friday, 6,500 ft. Friday night, 6,000 ft. Saturday, and 6,500 ft. Saturday night highs 47-50 lows 27-30. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday, a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday night and Monday, partly cloudy Monday night, a mix of clouds and sun Tuesday, mostly clear Tuesday night, and mostly sunny Wednesday snow level 6,500 ft. Sunday and Sunday night, 7,000 ft. Monday, a free air freezing at 10,000 ft. Monday night,  9,000 ft. Tuesday, 10,000 ft. Tuesday night, and 9,000 ft Wednesday highs 44-40 lows 25-29.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.