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Tim Chuey Weather

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. What is the “Numerical Weather Prediction?”

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Upper Level High Pressure (“Arch” shape) is now moving toward us. An atmospheric river will be aimed at us bringing rain. The graphics for days 1-3  show the a complex frontal system moving through the Pacific Northwest Saturday with another following behind it. The graphics for days 3-7   Tuesday through Saturday show a cold front moving in Monday and a complex frontal system will be pushing toward the coast next Friday.

Note: Don’t forget to turn your clocks back tonight at bedtime. Standard time begins officially at 2 am Sunday. We Fall Back! Also, the authorities say you should check your Smoke Alarm, CO2 Alarm, and your Radon Alarm to make sure the batteries are still charged. Replace if necessary.

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Air Quality Index:
Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 76 in the Moderate category measuring Particulate Matter.
Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 17 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Cottage Grove: The Air Quality is 57 in the Moderate category measuring Particulate Matter.
Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA)
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ADVISORIES:
  • A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM TODAY NEAR BEACHES AND HEADLANDS  FOR THE NORTH OREGON COAST AND THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM UNTIL 11 PM TODAY FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
  • A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON  MDT TODAY FOR MALHEUR COUNTY.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM UNTIL 11 PM TODAY FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
  • A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE  THIS AFTERNOON FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY (SMITH RIVER COMPLEX BURN SCAR).

HEALTH ADVISORIES:

  • A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE  EWAUNA IN KLAMATH COUNTY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A CYANOBACTERIA BLOOM. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES, SUCH AS WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING, IN AREAS OF THE LAKE AND SLOUGH WHERE BLOOMS ARE, AS THE MAJOR ROUTE OF EXPOSURE IS INGESTION OF WATER. TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, HOWEVER, THOSE WITH SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY GET A PUFFY RED RASH. THE OREGON HEALTH AUTHORITY ENCOURAGES PEOPLE TO VISIT THE AREA AND ENJOY ACTIVITIES SUCH AS FISHING, CAMPING, HIKING, BILKING, PICNICKING, BIRD WATCHING, CANOEING, AND KAYAKING. BOATING IS SAFE AS LONG AS SPEEDS DO NOT CREATE EXCESSIVE WATER SPRAY. SPRAYS COULD LEAD TO THE RISK OF INHALING CYANOTOXINS.DO NOT DRINK THE WATER.
  • A PUBLIC HEALTH ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR UNSAFE LEVELS OF FECAL BACTERIA IN OCEAN WATERS AT HARRIS BEACH IN CURRY COUNTY. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID DIRECT CONTACT WITH THE WATER IN THIS AREA UNTIL THE ADVISORY IS LIFTED. UNSAFE LEVELS OF FECAL BACTERIA CAN CAUSE DIARRHEA, STOMACH CRAMPS, SKIN RASHES, UPPER RESPIRATORY INFECTIONS AND OTHER ILLNESSES. CHILDREN, THE ELDERLY, AND THOSE WITH A COMPROMISED IMMUNE SYSTEM SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION AS THEY ARE MORE VULNERABLE TO TO ILLNESSES FROM WATERBORNE BACTERIA. VISITORS SHOULD AVOID WADING IN NEARBY CREEKS, POLS OF WATER ON THE BEACH, OR IN DISCOLORED WATER, AND STAY CLEAR OF WATER RUNOFF FLOWING INTO THE OCEAN.
  • A PUBLIC HEALTH ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR UNSAFE LEVELS OF FECAL BACTERIA IN OCEAN WATERS AT BEVERLY BEACH IN LINCOLN COUNTY. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID DIRECT CONTACT WITH THE WATER IN THIS AREA UNTIL THE ADVISORY IS LIFTED. UNSAFE LEVELS OF FECAL BACTERIA CAN CAUSE DIARRHEA, STOMACH CRAMPS, SKIN RASHES, UPPER RESPIRATORY INFECTIONS AND OTHER ILLNESSES. CHILDREN, THE ELDERLY, AND THOSE WITH A COMPROMISED IMMUNE SYSTEM SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION AS THEY ARE MORE VULNERABLE TO TO ILLNESSES FROM WATERBORNE BACTERIA. VISITORS SHOULD AVOID WADING IN NEARBY CREEKS, POLS OF WATER ON THE BEACH, OR IN DISCOLORED WATER, AND STAY CLEAR OF WATER RUNOFF FLOWING INTO THE OCEAN.
  • A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXPANDED FOR THE AREA FROM THE ROSS ISLAND LAGOON TO RIVERPLACE MARINA IN MULTNOMAH COUNTY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A CYANOBACTERIA BLOOM. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES, SUCH AS WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING, IN AREAS OF THE LAKE AND SLOUGH WHERE BLOOMS ARE, AS THE MAJOR ROUTE OF EXPOSURE IS INGESTION OF WATER. TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, HOWEVER, THOSE WITH SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY GET A PUFFY RED RASH. THE OREGON HEALTH AUTHORITY ENCOURAGES PEOPLE TO VISIT THE AREA AND ENJOY ACTIVITIES SUCH AS CATCH AND RELEASE FISHING, CAMPING, HIKING, BILKING, PICNICKING, BIRD WATCHING, CANOEING, AND KAYAKING. BOATING IS SAFE AS LONG AS SPEEDS DO NOT CREATE EXCESSIVE WATER SPRAY. SPRAYS COULD LEAD TO THE RISK OF INHALING CYANOTOXINS. DRINKING WATER FROM THE LAKE IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS.
  • A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WILLAMETTE RIVER FROM ROSS ISLAND DOWNSTREAM (NORTH) TO THE AREA NEAR CATHEDRAL PARK IN PORTLAND, IN MULTNOMAH COUNTY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A CYANOBACTERIA BLOOM. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES, SUCH AS WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING, IN AREAS OF THE LAKE AND SLOUGH WHERE BLOOMS ARE, AS THE MAJOR ROUTE OF EXPOSURE IS INGESTION OF WATER. TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, HOWEVER, THOSE WITH SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY GET A PUFFY RED RASH. THE OREGON HEALTH AUTHORITY ENCOURAGES PEOPLE TO VISIT THE AREA AND ENJOY ACTIVITIES SUCH AS FISHING, CAMPING, HIKING, BILKING, PICNICKING, BIRD WATCHING, CANOEING, AND KAYAKING. BOATING IS SAFE AS LONG AS SPEEDS DO NOT CREATE EXCESSIVE WATER SPRAY. SPRAYS COULD LEAD TO THE RISK OF INHALING CYANOTOXINS.DO NOT DRINK THE WATER.
  • A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR ARRONS LAKE, BUT HAS BEEN LIFTED FOR PETE’S SLOUGH AND STURGEON LAKE ON SAUVIE ISLAND DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A CYANOBACTERIA BLOOM. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES, SUCH AS WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING, IN AREAS OF THE LAKE AND SLOUGH WHERE BLOOMS ARE, AS THE MAJOR ROUTE OF EXPOSURE IS INGESTION OF WATER. TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, HOWEVER, THOSE WITH SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY GET A PUFFY RED RASH. THE OREGON HEALTH AUTHORITY ENCOURAGES PEOPLE TO VISIT THE AREA AND ENJOY ACTIVITIES SUCH AS FISHING, CAMPING, HIKING, BILKING, PICNICKING, BIRD WATCHING, CANOEING, AND KAYAKING. BOATING IS SAFE AS LONG AS SPEEDS DO NOT CREATE EXCESSIVE WATER SPRAY. SPRAYS COULD LEAD TO THE RISK OF INHALING CYANOTOXINS.
  • A RECREATIONAL USE HEALTH ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR AGENCY LAKE AND EXTENDED THE ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF UPPER KLAMATH LAKE, FROM HOWARD’S BAY SOUTH TO THE LINK RIVER DAM  IN KLAMATH COUNTY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A CYANOBACTERIA BLOOM. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID SWIMMING AND HIGH SPEED WATER ACTIVITIES, SUCH AS WATER SKIING OR POWER BOATING, IN AREAS OF THE RESERVOIR WHERE BLOOMS ARE, AS THE MAJOR ROUTE OF EXPOSURE IS INGESTION OF WATER. TOXINS ARE NOT ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN, HOWEVER, THOSE WITH SKIN SENSITIVITIES MAY GET A PUFFY RED RASH. THE OREGON HEALTH AUTHORITY ENCOURAGES PEOPLE TO VISIT AND ENJOY ACTIVITIES SUCH AS FISHING, CAMPING, HIKING, BILKING, PICNICKING, BIRD WATCHING, CANOEING, AND KAYAKING. BOATING IS SAFE AS LONG AS SPEEDS DO NOT CREATE EXCESSIVE WATER SPRAY. SPRAYS COULD LEAD TO THE RISK OF INHALING CYANOTOXINS.
  • A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE  RIVER.

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • Mostly cloudy with AM rain and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms, showers this afternoon (0.50 in. of rain possible, more in storms), evening showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms, showers likely (70%) late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, more in storms) (Fall Back at bedtime),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with showers Sunday, showers at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and breezy with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit cooler Monday, then showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Monday night.
  •  highs 65-56 lows 49-44.
  • Mostly cloudy with showers and a bit cooler Tuesday, evening showers likely (70%), partly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers late Tuesday night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday, just partly cloudy at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a bit cooler with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday afternoon, a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers Friday.
  • highs 55-53 lows 40-36 warming to 38 Thursday night (seasonal averages high 57 low 39)

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Your Local College Football Games Weather Forecast:

Saturday November 4th

Ducks vs. University of California Bears at Autzen Stadium- Kickoff 2:30 pm – Weather forecast – Mostly cloudy, rain 64 degrees, cooling as the game progresses, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Beavers vs Colorado Buffaloes at Folsom Stadium, Boulder Colorado – Kickoff 7:00 pm – Weather forecast – Partly cloudy 58 degrees, cooling as the game progresses.

 

 

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Forecast for the Umpqua Valley including Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms today and this evening, a good (50%) chance of rain late tonight (Fall Back at bedtime),
  • Mostly cloudy with AM rain likely (70%), rain and a bit cooler Sunday afternoon and evening, showers with a slight (20%) thunderstorms late Sunday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and breezy Monday, then rain Monday night.
  • highs 63-56 lows 50-52 cooling to 45 Monday night.
  • Mostly cloudy with AM showers, showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms  and a bit cooler Tuesday afternoon, evening showers likely (70%), a slight (20%) chance of showers late Tuesday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) of rain late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday afternoon, a (30%) chance of showers Thursday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a (40% ) chance of showers Friday.
  • highs near 55 lows 42-37 warming back to 42 Friday (seasonal averages high 58 low 42)

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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with showers (AM local heavy rain possible) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms, breezy (Wind: S 15-25 mph, gusts to 40 mph shifting to SW 10-15 mph late) today, evening coastal rain with a slight (20%) of thunderstorms while inland while inland showers with a slight (20%) of thunderstorms, rain likely (70%) late tonight (Fall Back at bedtime),
  • Mostly cloudy with coastal rain and a bit cooler Sunday while inland AM rain likely (70%) and inland rain and a bit cooler Sunday, showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Sunday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with showers and windy Monday and Monday night.
  • highs 67-62 lows 52-47.
  • Mostly cloudy with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Tuesday, evening showers likely (70%), a slight (20%) chance of showers late Tuesday  night,
  • Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Thursday afternoon, a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday night,
  • Then showers likely (70%) Friday.
  • highs near 62 lows 42-44 (seasonal averages high 59 low 45)

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Forecast for the Northern Oregon Cascades including the Cascades in Lane County:

  • Mostly cloudy with AM rain,  showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit cooler this afternoon and evening, showers likely (70%) late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible, more in storms) (Fall Back at bedtime),
  • Mostly cloudy with showers and a bit cooler Sunday, showers at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain and snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Monday (snow possibly heavy at times) rain and snow showers late Monday night.
  • snow level above 8,000 ft. today, 6,500 ft. tonight , 6,000 ft. Sunday, 6,500 ft. Sunday night, 5,500 ft. Monday, then 5,000 ft. Monday night.
  • highs 50-38 lows 35-29.
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers and a bit cooler Tuesday and in the evening, a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers late Tuesday night,
  • Clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of AM rain and snow showers, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers and a bit warmer Wednesday afternoon, just partly cloudy at night,
  • Clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, a mix of clouds and sun with slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers and a bit warmer Thursday afternoon, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain and snow showers likely (70%) Friday.
  • snow level 4,500 ft. Tuesday, 4,000 ft. Tuesday night and Wednesday, free air freezing level 7,500 ft.Wednesday night, then snow level 4,500 ft. Thursday through Friday.
  • highs 36-42 cooling to 39 Friday lows 26-24 warming back to 26 Thursday night.

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For all of your Eugene-Springfield and Lane County News, Weather, and Sports go to: EugeneDailyNews.com


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