Nov
16.
Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. What is a “Texas Hooker “? (No, not that kind of hooker.) Here is the correct answer. A Texas Hooker – Same as Panhandle Hook – low pressure systems that originate in the panhandle region of Texas and Oklahoma which initially move east and then “hook” or recurve more northeast toward the upper Midwest or Great Lakes region. In winter, these systems usually deposit heavy snows north of their surface track. Thunderstorms may be found south of the track.
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A strong Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (“U” shape) is slowly moving eastward encouraging frontal systems to come our way with rain and wind. The graphics for days 1-3 show the warm front moving through Oregon today and its trailing cold front pushing through the Pacific Northwest Sunday. The graphics for days 3-7 Wednesday through Sunday show complex frontal activity through the period.
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Air Quality Index:
Eugene/Springfield: The Air Quality Index is 33 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Oakridge: The Air Quality Index is 16 the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Cottage Grove: The Air Quality Index is 44 in the Good category measuring Particulate Matter.
Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA.org)
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ADVISORIES:
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY ABOVE 4,000 FT. FOR THE NORTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY ABOVE 2,500 FT. FOR THE NORTH OREGON CASCADES, THE CASCADES OF MARION AND LINN COUNTIES, AND THE CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE EAST SLOPES OF THE OREGON CASCADES.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES, THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS, AND THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY ABOVE 2,500 FT. FOR THE EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY FOOTHILLS.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY.
- A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR ABOVE 4,000 FT. THE NORTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON AND THE NORTHWEST BLUE MOUNTAINS.
- *A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE CENTRAL COAST OF OREGON.
- A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE CLAPSOP COUNTY COAST AND THE TIILLAMOOK COUNTY COAST.
- A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR TIDAL OVERFLOW FLOODING FOR THE CLAPSOP COUNTY COAST AND THE TIILLAMOOK COUNTY COAST.
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HEALTH ADVISORIES:
- A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.
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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:
- Mostly cloudy rain tonight (0.50 in. of rain possible),
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain, showers and a bit warmer with Sunday with a slight (20%) chance of afternoon thunderstorms (1.00 in. of rain possible, more in storms), showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Sunday night (0.50 in. of rain possible, more in storms),
- Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Monday (0.25 in. of rain possible showers at night (0.10 in. of rain possible),
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain likely (70%) Tuesday, then rain Tuesday night.
- lows 43-36 warming to 42 Tuesday night highs 55-47 warming to 50 Tuesday.
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain Wednesday and Thursday, rain both nights,
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain likely (70%) Friday, rain likely (70%) Friday night,
- Then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain Saturday.
- highs 52-57 cooling to 55 Saturday lows 43-45 cooling back to 43 Saturday. (seasonal averages high 53 low 38)
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Your College Football Weather Forecast:
Saturday November 16th:
Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, Wisconsin- Game time: 4:30 pm- The Ducks squeaked by the Wisconsin Badgers 16-13. Still undefeated.
Beavers vs Air Force Falcons at Falcon Stadium, US Air Force Academy, CO: Game time 12:30 pm- The Beavers were crushed by The Air Force Falcons 28-0.
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HOME WOOD HEATING ADVISORY:
Eugene & Springfield: GREEN – Fireplace and wood stove use permitted.
Oakridge and Westfir: GREEN – Fireplace and wood stove use permitted.
The use of pellet stoves is always allowed.
Data courtesy of Lane Regional Air Protection Agency (LRAPA.org)
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Forecast for the Umpqua Valley including Roseburg:
- Mostly cloudy with early evening rain, late evening rain likely (70%), rain late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible),
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain, showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit warmer Sunday (0.50n in. of rain possible, afternoon snow level 3,000 ft.), evening showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms, rain showers, snow showers a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and light freezing rain late Sunday night (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible, snow level 2,500 ft.),
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain showers, snow showers, a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and light freezing rain (snow possibly heavy at times), showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit cooler Monday afternoon (0.25v in. of rain possible, snow level 2,000 ft.), evening showers and snow with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms, a (40%) chance of rain with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms late at night (0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,500 ft.),
- Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain, rain and a bit warmer Tuesday afternoon, then rain Tuesday night.
- lows 44-38 warming to 44 Tuesday night highs 55-47 warming to 50 Tuesday.
- Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit warmer Wednesday, rain Wednesday night,
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain Thursday and in the evening, rain likely (70%) late at night,
- Mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Friday, rain Friday night,
- Then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain Saturday,
- highs 52-58 cooling to 54 Saturday lows 47-49 cooling to 45 Friday night. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41)
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Forecast for The South Oregon Coast Including Coos Bay and North Bend:
- Mostly cloudy with early evening coastal rain likely (70%) and a (40%) chance of late evening coastal rain with coastal rain late tonight while inland evening rain likely (70%) and a (30%) chance of drizzle and inland rain and drizzle likely (70%) late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible),
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain, showers and warmer with a (30%) chance of thunderstorms Sunday afternoon (1.00 in. of rain possible), showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Sunday night (0.50 in. of rain possible),
- Mostly cloudy with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms and a bit cooler Monday (0.50 in. of rain possible), evening showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms, coastal showers likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms at night while inland rain likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms late at night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain likely (70%), rain and a bit warmer Tuesday afternoon, then rain and windy Tuesday night.
- lows 44-40 warming to 45 Tuesday night highs 62-55 warming to 58 Tuesday.
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain and windy Wednesday, evening rain, rain and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms late Wednesday night,
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms, showers and a slight (20%) of thunderstorms and a bit warmer Thursday afternoon, evening showers with a slight (20% ) chance of thunderstorms, rain late at night,
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain likely (70%), rain Friday night,
- Then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain Saturday.
- highs 60-64 cooling to 62 Saturday lows 47-50 cooling to 46 Friday night. (seasonal averages high 56 low 43)
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Forecast for the Northern Oregon Cascades including the Cascades in Lane County:
- Mostly cloudy with rain tonight (1.50 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible),
- Mostly cloudy with AM rain, rain and snow and a bit warmer Sunday afternoon (2 in. of rain possible), evening showers and snow showers, snow showers late Sunday night (0.75 in. of rain possible, 6-10 in.of snow possible, snow possibly heavy at times),
- Mostly cloudy and cooler with snow showers Monday (snow possibly heavy at times), then snow showers at night,
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with snow and rain likely (70%) Tuesday, then rain and snow Tuesday night.
- snow level above 8,000 ft. tonight, 7,500 ft. falling to 4,500 ft. Sunday afternoon, 2,500 ft. Sunday night and Monday, 2,000 ft. Monday night, 3,000 ft. Tuesday, then 4,500 ft. Tuesday night.
- lows 32-20 warming to 28 Tuesday night highs 39-27 warming to 30 Tuesday.
- Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain and snow Wednesday (snow possibly heavy at times), rain with a slight (20%) chance of snow Wednesday night (snow possibly heavy at times),
- Mostly cloudy with rain and a bit warmer Thursday, rain at night,
- Rain and a bit warmer Friday, rain and snow Friday night,
- Then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain and snow Saturday.
- snow level 5,500 ft. Wednesday, 6,500 ft. Wednesday night, 8,000 ft. Thursday and Thursday night, 7,500 ft. Friday, 6,500 ft. Friday night, then 5,500 ft. Saturday.
- highs 35-42 cooling to 38 Wednesday lows 33-35 cooling to 32 Friday night.