_______________

No takers for this week’s question. Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Here is the correct answer. Scientists use a wide variety of techniques to monitor volcanoes, including seismographic detection of the earthquakes and tremor that almost always precede eruptions, precise measurements of ground deformation that often accompanies the rise of magma, changes in volcanic gas emissions, and changes in gravity and magnetic fields. Although not diagnostic individually, these techniques, when used in combination at well-monitored volcanoes, have resulted in successful predictions. At Pinatubo volcano (Philippines) in 1991, a successful forecast saved thousands of lives. For more on predicting volcanic eruptions go to The Global Vulcanism Program website. The USGS website also discusses these monitoring techniques in more detail. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you next Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

A trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows) has moved over us sending waves of moisture our way. Today has been the “calm before the storm” so-to-speak because we are on the backside of the trough and a high pressure ridge (Shaded  ”Arch” shape) will take over for just a short time. The rain returns Sunday as a frontal system approaches. A stronger frontal system will push through the Pacific Northwest early next week increasing the rain chances again.

________________

Advisories: A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE NORTH OREGON COAST AND NEAR THE BEACHES AND HEADLANDS OF THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST.

________________

Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with patchy fog and freezing fog late tonight and Sunday AM, a slight (20%) chance of AM rain, rain (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) likely (60%) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain Sunday night (0.25 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with AM rain likely (60%), scattered showers Monday afternoon (0.20 in. of rain possible) (Veterans Day Federal Holiday) and Monday night, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of  showers Tuesday night lows 35-45 cooking to near 40 Tuesday night highs 48-53. Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, a (40%) chance of showers Thursday and Thursday night, a good (50%) chance of showers Friday and Friday night, then mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Saturday highs near 52 lows 37-43. (seasonal averages high 54 low 38)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers this evening, areas patchy fog late tonight and Sunday AM, cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain Sunday night (0.20 in. of rain possible) and Monday (0.20 in. of rain possible), cloudy with evening showers likely (60%), a good (50%) chance of showers late Monday night through Tuesday night lows 34-45 highs 49-55. Patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday, a slight (20%) chance of rain Wednesday night, patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Thursday through Friday, then cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Friday night and a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday highs 57-53 lows 42-44. (seasonal averages high 55 low 41)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy  tonight, cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM coastal rain with rain likely (60%) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day) while a (30%) chance of rain inland (0.15 in. of rain possible), rain Sunday night (0.35 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: S 15-20 mph rising to 20-30 mph late in the evening with gusts to 40 mph late evening and late night, rain (0.30 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: S 20-30 mph at the shore and S 15-20 mph inland with gusts to 40 mph) Monday (Veterans Day Federal Holiday), cloudy with evening showers likely (60%) then a good (50%) chance of showers late Monday night, mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Tuesday AM, then a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night lows 39-48 highs 52-56. Patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Wednesday and Wednesday night, patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Thursday afternoon and Thursday night, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Friday, then mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Friday night and Saturday highs 57-53 lows 48-44 warming to 48 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 56 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of isolated snow showers this evening, mostly cloudy a (40%) chance of snow in the afternoon Sunday (Veterans Day), rain and snow Sunday night (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1-3 in. of snow possible), AM rain and snow, showers (in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph) Monday afternoon (Veterans Day Federal Holiday), showers likely (60%) Monday night, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Tuesday, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night snow level at the surface tonight, free air freezing level at the surface Sunday AM, snow level 5,000 ft. Sunday night, 6,000 ft. Monday, then 6,500 ft. Monday night, 6,000 ft. Tuesday, then 5,000 ft.Tuesday night lows 23-30 highs 35-40. Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, a (40%) chance of rain Thursday, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Thursday night and Friday, cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Friday night, then mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely (60%) and breezy Saturday snow level 5,500 ft. Wednesday, 6,000 ft. Wednesday night, 5,500 ft. Thursday and Thursday night, 5,000 ft. Friday, 5,500 ft. Friday night, then 5,000 ft. Saturday highs near 42 lows 27-32.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

No takers for this week’s question. Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Here is the correct answer. Scientists use a wide variety of techniques to monitor volcanoes, including seismographic detection of the earthquakes and tremor that almost always precede eruptions, precise measurements of ground deformation that often accompanies the rise of magma, changes in volcanic gas emissions, and changes in gravity and magnetic fields. Although not diagnostic individually, these techniques, when used in combination at well-monitored volcanoes, have resulted in successful predictions. At Pinatubo volcano (Philippines) in 1991, a successful forecast saved thousands of lives. For more on predicting volcanic eruptions go to The Global Vulcanism Program website. The USGS website also discusses these monitoring techniques in more detail. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you next Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

A trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows) has moved over us sending waves of moisture our way. Today will be the “calm before the storm” so-to-speak because we are on the backside of the trough and a high pressure ridge (Shaded  “Arch” shape) will take over for just a short time. The rain returns Sunday as a frontal system approaches. A frontal system will push through the Pacific Northwest Monday continuing a parade of storms that will increase the rain chances again.

________________

Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

________________

Here are your College Football Weather Forecasts for today’s games:

Beavers vs Stanford at Stanford: Kickoff 12:00 PM Sunny 55 warming to 58 by the end of the game, wind-NW 10 mph.

Ducks vs. California at Berkeley: Kickoff 7:30 PM Clear 51 cooling to 48 by the end of the game, wind-NW 5 mph.

________________

Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Patchy AM fog, a mix of clouds and sun this afternoon with a slight (20%) chance of an isolated shower, partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy with patchy fog and freezing fog late tonight and Sunday AM, rain likely (60%) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain likely (70%) in the afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), rain and breezy (wind: SE 15-25 mph) Sunday night (0.35 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with rain (0.40 in. of rain possible) Monday (Veterans Day Federal Holiday), then showers likely (70%) Monday night highs 45-53 lows 34-42. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday, a (40%) chance of  showers Tuesday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Thursday, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Thursday night and Friday highs near 52 lows 39-36 warming to 42 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 54 low 38)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with patchy fog and a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers this AM, partly cloudy with patchy fog late tonight, AM fog with a slight (20%) chance of rain, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain Sunday night (0.20 in. of rain possible) through Monday night highs 48-55 lows 33-45. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday, a (30%) chance of showers Thursday evening, a (40%) chance of rain late Thursday night, then mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Friday highs 53-58 cooling to 54 Friday lows 43-47 cooling to 44 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 55 low 41)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers this AM, mostly cloudy this afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy with patchy fog late tonight, AM fog with a slight (20%) chance of showers, cloudy with rain (0.15 in. of rain possible) likely (70%) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain Sunday night (0.50 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph), rain (0.50 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph) Monday (Veterans Day Federal Holiday), then rain Monday night highs 50-55 lows 39-48. Mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of rain Tuesday night and Wednesday, a good (50%) chance of rain late Thursday and Thursday night, then rain likely (70%) Friday highs 57-53 lows 48-50 cooling to 43 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 56 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: AM clouds, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of isolated snow showers this afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, just partly cloudy late tonight, a mix of clouds and sun Sunday AM (Veterans Day), cloudy with a (40%) chance of snow in the afternoon, rain and snow Sunday night and breezy (wind: Se 15-25 mph gusts to 40 mph), rain Monday (Veterans Day Federal Holiday), then rain and snow showers Monday night snow level at the surface today through Sunday, snow level 5,000 ft. Sunday night, 6,000 ft. Monday, then 6,500 ft. Monday night highs 29-40 lows 21-28. Mostly cloudy with  showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night, a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday through Friday snow level 6,000 ft. Tuesday, 4,500 ft. Tuesday night, 5,000 ft. Wednesday, 5,500 ft. Wednesday night, 4,500 ft. Thursday, then 5,500 ft. Thursday night and 5,000 ft. Friday highs 40-42 lows 24-30.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. This is your last chance this week to win. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

A high pressure (shaded “Arch” shaped area) has moved away from us while a trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows) has moved over us sending waves of moisture our way. A frontal system will push through the Pacific Northwest Monday leading a parade of storms that will increase the rain chances again.

________________

Advisories: A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM SATURDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES, THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY LAKE COUNTY.

________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of scattered showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms with possible small hail this evening, partly cloudy with patchy fog and a slight (20%) chance of isolated showers late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, more in storms), patchy AM fog, a mix of clouds and sun Saturday afternoon, partly cloudy with patchy fog late Saturday night, mostly cloudy with AM fog and a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (70%) in the afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), rain Sunday night (0.35 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), then showers Monday night lows 38-34 warming to near 40 Monday night highs 48-53. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday, a slight (20%) chance of  showers Tuesday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday, mostly cloudy with (30%) chance of showers Wednesday night, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Thursday, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Thursday night and Friday highs near 52 lows 39-36 warming to 42 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 54 low 39)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers tonight (snow level 2,000 ft. rising to 2,500 ft. late, 1 in. of snow possible, under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday, partly cloudy with patchy fog late Saturday night, AM fog with a slight (20%) chance of rain, mostly cloudy with rain (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) likely (60%) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain Sunday night (0.15 in. of rain possible) and Monday, then rain likely (60%) Monday night lows 32-45 highs 48-56. Mostly cloudy with showers likely (70%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday, a (30%) chance of showers Thursday evening, a (40%) chance of rain late Thursday night, then mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Friday highs 53-58 cooling to 54 Friday lows 43-47 cooling to 44 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 56 low 41)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) and Saturday (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers in the evening, mostly cloudy with patchy fog late Saturday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), AM fog with a slight (20%) chance of showers, cloudy with rain (0.15 in. of rain possible) likely (70%) Sunday afternoon (Veterans Day), rain Sunday night (0.50 in. of rain possible), rain and breezy Monday (Federal Holiday), then rain Monday night lows 34-48 highs 50-55.  Mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night through Thursday evening, a good (50%) chance of rain late Thursday night, then rain likely (60%) Friday highs 57-53 lows 48-50 cooling to 43 Thursday night. (seasonal averages high 56 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers this evening, snow showers likely (60%) tonight (1 in. of snow possible), a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Saturday, just partly cloudy Saturday night, a mix of clouds and sun Sunday AM (Veterans Day), cloudy with a (40%) chance of snow in the afternoon, rain and snow Sunday night, rain Monday (Federal Holiday), then rain and snow showers Monday night snow level at the surface tonight and Saturday, free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night, snow level at the surface Sunday, 5,000 ft. Sunday night, 6,000 ft. Monday, then 5,500 ft. Monday night lows 23-20 warming to near 30 Monday night highs 29-40. Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night, a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday and Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Thursday night, then a mix of clouds and sun with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Friday snow level 6,000 ft. Tuesday, 4,500 ft. Tuesday night, 5,000 ft. Wednesday, 5,500 ft. Wednesday night, 4,500 ft. Thursday, then 5,000 ft. Thursday night and Friday highs 40-42  lows 24-30.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. Today is your last day this week to win. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

A high pressure (shaded “Arch” shaped area) has moved away from us while a trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows) has moved over us sending waves of moisture at us. A frontal system will push through the Pacific Northwest Monday leading a parade of storms that will increase the rain chances again.

________________

Advisories: A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TODAY UNTIL 7AM SATURDAY FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, JOSEPHINE COUNTY, FROM 4 PM TODAY UNTIL 9 AM SATURDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES, THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY LAKE COUNTY.

________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with patchy AM fog, a good (50%) chance of showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms this afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms), mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of isolated showers in the evening, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of isolated showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), patchy fog  with a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday AM, partly cloudy late in the afternoon and Saturday night, mostly cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), then rain likely (70%) Sunday night highs 48-53  lows 36-32 warming to 37 Sunday night. Mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Monday night, mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a (40%) chance of  showers Tuesday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday, then partly cloudy with slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday highs 52-49 lows 40-35. (seasonal averages high 54 low 39)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers and isolated thunderstorms this AM, rain and snow showers likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon (snow level 2,000 ft. rising to 2,500 ft.), a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers tonight (snow level 2,500 ft. falling to 2,000 ft. late), mostly cloudy Saturday, partly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), then rain likely (60%) Sunday night highs near 48 lows 38-32 warming to 40 Sunday night.  Mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), rain likely (70%) Monday night, showers likely (70%) Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday highs 54-50 lows 44-40. (seasonal averages high 56 low 41)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of isolated coastal thunderstorms this AM, showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon while showers likely (60%) with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms inland (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), just mostly cloudy Saturday, partly cloudy Saturday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), then mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Sunday night highs 48-53 lows 39-46. Mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday) and Monday night, showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday highs 56-52 lows 46-43. (seasonal averages high 56 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely (60%) today (1 in. of snow possible), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of scattered snow showers tonight, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Saturday, just partly cloudy Saturday night, a mix of clouds and sun Sunday (Veterans Day), then rain and snow likely (60%) Sunday night snow level at the surface today through Saturday, then free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night and Sunday, snow level 3,000 ft. Sunday night highs 29-37 lows 20-25. Mostly cloudy with rain and snow Monday (Federal Holiday), rain and snow likely (60%) Monday night, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday night, then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday free air freezing level at the surface Sunday, snow level 3,000 ft. Sunday night, 4,500 ft. Monday and Monday night, 4,000 ft. Tuesday and Tuesday night, 4,500 ft. Wednesday, 5,000 ft. Wednesday night, then 4,500 ft. Thursday highs 37-42 lows 25-28.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

A high pressure (shaded “Arch” shaped area) is slowly moving away from us while a trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows off Vancouver Island) has moved in behind the ridge sending waves of moisture at us. A disturbance pushed through Oregon today. A frontal system slid through Oregon Wednesday ushering in colder air that dropped our temperatures from well above normal to below normal. Another frontal system, in a series of them, will push into Oregon next Monday with increasing the rain chances again.

________________

Advisories: A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM TONIGHT FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM FRIDAY FOR THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY LAKE COUNTY.

________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of scattered showers tonight with patchy fog late (0.10 in. of rain possible), patchy AM fog, a good (50%) chance of showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, more in thunderstorms), mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of isolated showers in the evening, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of isolated showers Friday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), patchy fog  with a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday AM, partly cloudy late in the afternoon and Saturday night, mostly cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), then rain likely (70%) Sunday night lows 36-32 warming to 37 Sunday night highs 48-53. Mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Monday night, mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a (40%) chance of  showers Tuesday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday, then partly cloudy with slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday highs 52-49 lows 40-35. (seasonal averages high 55 low 39)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms tonight (snow level 2,500 ft. falling to 2,000 ft., 0.15 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible), a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers and isolated thunderstorms in the AM, rain and snow showers likely (70%) with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Friday afternoon (snow level 2,000 ft. rising to 2,500 ft.), a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night (snow level 2,500 ft. falling to 2,000 ft. late), mostly cloudy Saturday, partly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), then rain likely (60%) Sunday night lows 38-32 warming to 40 Sunday night highs near 48.  Mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), rain likely (70%) Monday night, showers likely (70%) Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday highs 54-50 lows 44-40. (seasonal averages high 56 low 41)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms tonight (0.15 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of isolated coastal thunderstorms Friday AM, showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon while showers likely (60%) with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms inland (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Friday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), just mostly cloudy Saturday, partly cloudy Saturday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), then mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Sunday night lows 39-46 highs 48-53. Mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday) and Monday night, showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night and Wednesday, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday highs 56-52 lows 46-43. (seasonal averages high 57 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with rain or snow showers this evening, snow showers likely (60%) late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible, 1-3 in. of snow possible), snow showers likely (60%) Friday (1 in. of snow possible), mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of scattered snow showers Friday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Saturday, just partly cloudy Saturday night snow level at the surface tonight through Saturday, then free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night, a mix of clouds and sun Sunday (Veterans Day), then rain and snow likely (60%) Sunday night lows 20-25 highs 29-37. Mostly cloudy with rain and snow Monday (Federal Holiday), rain and snow likely (60%) Monday night, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday night, then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday free air freezing level at the surface Sunday, snow level 3,000 ft. Sunday night, 4,500 ft. Monday and Monday night, 4,000 ft. Tuesday and Tuesday night, 4,500 ft. Wednesday, 5,000 ft. Wednesday night, then 4,500 ft. Thursday highs 37-42 lows 25-28.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

A high pressure (shaded “Arch” shaped area) is slowly moving away from us while a trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows off Vancouver Island) has moved in behind the ridge sending waves of moisture at us. A disturbance is pushing through Oregon today. A frontal system slid through Oregon Wednesday ushering in colder air that dropped our temperatures from well above normal to below normal. Another frontal system, in a series of them, will push into Oregon next Monday with increasing the rain chances again.

________________

Advisories: A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM TONIGHT FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY UNTIL 10 AM FRIDAY FOR THE KLAMATH BASIN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY LAKE COUNTY.

________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with patchy fog this AM, showers likely (60%) today (0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of scattered showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of showers Friday with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of scattered showers in the evening, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of scattered showers Friday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday AM, then partly cloudy in the afternoon and Saturday night highs 49-46 lows 36-33. Mostly cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night, rain Monday (Federal Holiday), mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Monday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday, a (40%) chance of  showers Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday highs 48-52 lows 37-42 cooling to 38 Tuesday night. (seasonal averages high 55 low 39)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening (snow level 2,500 ft, 1 in. of snow possible), rain and  snow showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms late tonight (snow level 2,000 ft., 0.15 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible), rain and snow showers likely (60%) with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Friday a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night (snow level 2,500 ft. falling to 2,000 ft. late), mostly cloudy Saturday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon and Saturday night highs near 47 lows 38-30. Mostly cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night, rain Monday (Federal Holiday), showers likely (70%) Monday night and Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night, then partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday highs 49-55 lows 41-46 cooling to near 40 Tuesday night. (seasonal averages high 56 low 41)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms today (0.30 in. of rain possible) and tonight (0.15 in. of rain possible), showers likely (60%) with a slight (20%) chance of isolated coastal thunderstorms Friday AM, showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon while showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms inland, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Friday night, just mostly cloudy Saturday, then partly cloudy Saturday night highs near 50 lows near 39. Mostly cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (70%) Sunday night, mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), showers Monday night, showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday highs 53-56 lows 46-50 cooling to near 45 Tuesday night. (seasonal averages high 57 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: A mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers this AM, rain and snow showers this afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible, 2 in. of snow possible), snow showers increasing tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible, 1-3 in. of snow possible), snow showers likely (60%) Friday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of scattered snow showers Friday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Saturday, then just mostly cloudy Saturday evening and partly cloudy at night snow level 3,000 ft. today, at the surface tonight through Saturday, then free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night highs 35-30 warming to 33 Saturday lows near 20. Mostly cloudy Sunday (Veterans Day), rain and snow likely (60%) Sunday night, rain and snow Monday (Federal Holiday), rain and snow showers likely (60%) Monday night, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday snow level at the surface Saturday, free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night and Sunday, 3,500 ft. Sunday night, 4,500 ft. Monday, 5,000 ft. Monday night, 4,500 ft. Tuesday, 4,000 ft. Tuesday night, then 4,500 ft. Wednesday highs 37-42 lows 27-24.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

A high pressure (shaded “Arch” shaped area) is slowly moving away from us while a trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows moving out of the Gulf of Alaska) is moving in behind the ridge sending waves of moisture at us. A frontal system slid through Oregon today ushering in colder air that will drop our temperatures from well above normal to below normal. Another frontal system, in a series of them, will push into Oregon next week with increasing the rain chances again.

________________

Advisories: A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM UNTIL 7 PM THURSDAY FOR EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY.

________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy and colder tonight, showers likely (60%) Thursday (0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the evening, a (40%) chance of showers late Thursday night (0.20 in. of rain possible), a (30%) chance of showers Friday AM, a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday AM, then partly cloudy late afternoon and Saturday night lows 37-35 highs 49-46. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) of showers Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night and Monday (Federal Holiday), mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Monday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday, a (40%) chance of  showers Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday highs 50-53 cooling to near 50 Tuesday and Wednesday lows 42-39. (seasonal averages high 55 low 39)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy and colder with a (30%) chance of showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), rain and snow showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening (1-2 in. of snow possible), rain and  snow showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms late Thursday night (0.15 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible), rain and snow showers likely (60%) with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Friday AM, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon and Saturday night lows 40-33 highs near 47. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night, rain Monday (Federal Holiday), showers likely (70%) Monday night and Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Tuesday night, then partly cloudy Wednesday highs 49-55 lows 42-46 cooling to near 40 Tuesday night. (seasonal averages high 56 low 42)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy with coastal showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms late tonight (0.15 in. of rain possible) while a (40%) chance of inland showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms late tonight, showers and a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Thursday (0.30 in. of rain possible) and Thursday night (0.15 in. of rain possible), showers likely (60%) with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Friday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Friday night, a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday AM, just mostly cloudy Saturday afternoon, then partly cloudy Saturday night lows 42-38 highs 58-50. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (70%) Sunday night, mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), showers Monday night, showers likely (60%) Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday highs 52-45 lows 41-50 cooling to near 45 Tuesday night. (seasonal averages high 57 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy and colder tonight, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday AM, rain and snow showers Thursday afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible, 2 in. of snow possible) , rain and snow showers in the evening, snow showers likely (60%) late Thursday night (0.10 in. of rain possible, 1-3 in. of snow possible), snow showers likely (60%) Friday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of snow showers Friday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Saturday, then just mostly cloudy Saturday night free air freezing level 5,000 ft. falling to 4,000 ft. late tonight, snow level 3,000 ft. Thursday, at the surface Thursday night and Friday, 2,500 ft. Friday night, at the surface Saturday, then free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night lows 25-18 highs near 30. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of snow Sunday (Veterans Day), rain and snow likely (60%) Sunday night and Monday (Federal Holiday), rain and snow showers likely (60%) Monday night, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday snow level at the surface Saturday, free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night, snow level at the surface Sunday, 3,500 ft. Sunday night, 4,500 ft. Monday, 5,000 ft. Monday night, 4,500 ft. Tuesday, 4,000 ft. Tuesday night, then 4,500 ft. Wednesday highs 37-42 lows near 27.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

Short-lived high pressure (shaded “Arch” shaped area) gave us a pretty nice Tuesday, but cooler. A cold front moved into Oregon bringing the temperatures down and the next one (connected to it) has pushed through bringing cooler air with it. A trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows moving out of the Gulf of Alaska) is moving in behind the ridge sending waves of moisture at us. Another  frontal system, in a series of them, will push into Oregon next week with increasing the rain chances again.

________________

Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: A mix of clouds and sun today, mostly cloudy and colder tonight, showers likely (60%) Thursday (0.25 in. of rain possible), cloudy with showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the evening, showers late Thursday night (0.20 in. of rain possible) and Friday AM, showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night highs 54-46 lows near 36. A mix of clouds and sun Saturday, partly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) of showers Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night and Monday (Federal Holiday), then mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Monday night and Tuesday highs 48-52 lows 37-42. (seasonal averages high 55 low 39)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain this AM, mostly cloudy and cooler this afternoon, mostly cloudy and colder tonight with showers and a slight (20%) chance of showers late (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), rain and snow showers  with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Thursday and Thursday evening (0.15 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,500 ft.), rain and snow showers late Thursday night (0.15 in. of rain possible), rain and snow showers likely (60%) Friday, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night highs 60-46 lows 40-36. Mostly cloudy Saturday and Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night and Monday (Federal Holiday), and Monday night, then mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Tuesday highs 49-55 lows 35-48. (seasonal averages high 56 low 42)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy  today with a slight (20%) chance of coastal rain this AM, a slight (20%) of showers this afternoon (0.15 in. of rain possible), a slight (20%) chance of evening coastal showers with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms inland late tonight (0.15 in. of rain possible), showers with a slight (20%) chance of coastal thunderstorms, coastal rain with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Thursday (0.30 in. of rain possible), showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms at the shore while evening showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms inland Thursday night and showers late at night (0.15 in. of rain possible), showers with a sight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Friday, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Friday night highs 56-50 lows 43-40. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday, just mostly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (70%) Sunday night, mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), showers Monday night, then mostly cloudy with rain likely (60%) Tuesday highs 52-56 lows 41-50. (seasonal averages high 57 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Cloudy with a (40%) chance of isolated AM rain and snow showers, cloudy this afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy and colder tonight, a mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday AM, rain and snow showers Thursday afternoon (0.10 in. of rain possible, 2 in. of snow possible) , rain and snow showers in the evening, snow showers likely (60%) late Thursday night, rain and snow showers Friday, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of snow showers Friday night snow level 4,500 ft. today, 5,000 ft. falling to 4,000 ft. late tonight, 3,000 ft. Thursday, 2,500 ft. Thursday night through Friday night highs 40-28 lows 25-18 warming to 22 Thursday night. A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Saturday, just mostly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of snow Sunday (Veterans Day), rain and snow likely (60%) Sunday night and Monday (Federal Holiday), rain and snow showers likely (60%) Monday night and Tuesday snow level at the surface Saturday, free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night, snow level at the surface Sunday, 3,500 ft. Sunday night, 4,500 ft. Monday, then 5,000 ft. Monday night and Tuesday highs 30-40 lows 22-28.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

Short-lived high pressure (shaded “Arch” shaped area) brought out the sunshine Sunday warming us up more than I expected, Monday was pretty nice too but cooler, and should hold off more wet weather until tonight. A cold front moved into Oregon bringing the temperatures down and the next one (connected to it) is right behind and moves in as we speak. A trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows moving out of the Gulf of Alaska) will move in behind the ridge sending waves of moisture at us. Another  frontal system, in a series of them, will push into Oregon next week with increasing waves of rain.

________________

Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Mostly cloudy with rain developing this evening, a good (50%) chance of scattered showers late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy Wednesday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), showers likely (60%) Thursday (0.15 in. of rain possible), cloudy with showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the evening, showers late Thursday night (0.20 in. of rain possible) and Friday AM, showers likely (60%) and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night lows 45-35 highs 54-46. A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday, partly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) of showers Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night and Monday (Federal Holiday), then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday night and Tuesday highs 48-52 lows 37-42. (seasonal averages high 55 low 39)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers this evening, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers late tonight, just mostly cloudy and cooler Wednesday, mostly cloudy and colder Wednesday night with showers and a slight (20%) chance of showers late (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), rain and snow showers  with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Thursday and Thursday evening (0.15 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,500 ft.), rain and snow showers late Thursday night (0.15 in. of rain possible), rain and snow showers likely (60%) Friday, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night lows 47-36 highs 60-46. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday, just mostly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night, Monday (Federal Holiday), and Monday night, then mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Tuesday highs 49-55 lows 35-48. (seasonal averages high 57 low 42)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with  a (30%) chance of showers tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy Wednesday with a slight (20%) chance of coastal showers (0.15 in. of rain possible), a slight (20%) chance of evening coastal showers with showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms inland late Wednesday night (0.15 in. of rain possible), showers with a slight (20%) chance of coastal thunderstorms, coastal rain with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Thursday (0.30 in. of rain possible), showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms at the shore while evening showers and a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms inland Thursday night and showers late at night (0.15 in. of rain possible), showers with a sight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Friday, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Friday night lows 49-40 highs 54-50. Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday, just mostly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (70%) Sunday night, mostly cloudy with rain Monday (Federal Holiday), showers Monday night, then mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Tuesday highs 52-56 lows 41-50. (seasonal averages high 57 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain this evening, rain and colder late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible), cloudy with a (40%) chance of isolated AM showers, cloudy Wednesday afternoon, partly cloudy in the evening, mostly cloudy and colder Wednesday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday AM, rain and snow showers Thursday afternoon, snow showers likely (60%) late Thursday night, rain and snow showers Friday, then mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of snow showers Friday night snow level above 8,000 ft. tonight, 6,500 ft. Wednesday AM, 5,000 ft. falling to 4,500 ft. Wednesday afternoon, 5,000 ft. falling to 4,500 ft. Wednesday night, 3,000 ft. Thursday and Thursday night, then 2,500 ft. Friday and Friday night lows 34-18 highs 40-28. A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Saturday, just mostly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of snow Sunday (Veterans Day), rain and snow likely (60%) Sunday night and Monday (Federal Holiday), rain and snow showers likely (60%) Monday night, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday snow level at the surface Saturday, free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night, snow level at the surface Sunday, 3,500 ft. Sunday night, 5,000 ft. Monday and Monday night, then 4,500 ft. Tuesday highs 30-40 lows 22-29.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________

_______________

Here is my weekly weather quiz question. How do scientists forecast volcanic eruptions? Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

________________

Short-lived high pressure (shaded “Arch” shaped area offshore) brought out the sunshine Sunday warming us up more than I expected, Monday was pretty nice too but cooler, and should hold off more wet weather until tonight. A cold front moved into Oregon bringing the temperatures down and the next one (connected to it) is right behind and moves in as we speak. A trough of low pressure (Shaded “U” shaped area with blue arrows in the Gulf of Alaska) will move in behind the ridge sending waves of moisture at us. A frontal system (position shown is Thursday) will push into Oregon Wednesday with more behind it bringing increasing waves of rain.

________________

Advisories: NONE AT THIS TIME.

________________
Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Cloudy with patchy fog this AM, a mix of clouds and sun this afternoon, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain in the evening, a good (50%) chance of showers late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Wednesday (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) and Wednesday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday AM, then showers likely (60%) afternoon (0.20 in. of rain possible) and Thursday night highs 63-50 lows 45-36 warming to near 40 Thursday night. Mostly 0.20 in. of rain possible) cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Friday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday, partly cloudy Saturday night, rain likely (60%) Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night and Monday (Federal Holiday) highs 48-52 lows 37-42. (seasonal averages high 55 low 39)

_______________

Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg: Sunny after patchy fog this AM, sunny this afternoon, becoming mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain in the evening, a (30%) chance of showers tonight, a (30%), showers and cooler Wednesday, mostly cloudy and colder with a good (50%) chance of showers in the evening, rain (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) and colder with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms Wednesday night, showers with a slight (20%) chance of thunderstorms in the AM, rain and snow showers Thursday (, 0.25 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,500 ft.), rain and snow showers in the evening, then rain and snow showers late Thursday night highs 66-46 lows 47-36. Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night and Saturday, just mostly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (60%) Sunday night, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday (Federal Holiday) highs 49-55 cooling to 52 Monday lows 36-40. (seasonal averages high 57 low 42)

_________________

Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Mostly cloudy with patchy fog this AM, mostly cloudy this afternoon at the shore while AM clouds then sunny in the afternoon inland, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain in the evening, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers late tonight, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday (0.15 in. of rain possible), cloudy with a good (50%) chance of evening showers, rain Wednesday night (0.15 in. of rain possible) with a slight (20%) chance of coastal thunderstorms, rain with a slight (20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms Thursday (0.25 in. of rain possible), then showers Thursday night highs 65-47 lows 50-42 warming to 45 Thursday night. Mostly cloudy with showers likely (70%) Friday, a (30%) chance of showers Friday night, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday, just mostly cloudy Saturday night, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Sunday (Veterans Day), rain likely (70%) Sunday night, then mostly cloudy with showers likely (60%) Monday (Federal Holiday) highs 50-55 lows 43-40. (seasonal averages high 57 low 44)

_______________

Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly sunny today, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain this evening, a (40%) chance of showers and colder late at night (0.10 in. of rain possible), a (40%) chance of AM showers, a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers and cooler Wednesday afternoon, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday night, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Thursday, then rain and snow showers Thursday night free air freezing level 13,000 ft. falling to 12,000 ft. this afternoon, snow level above 8,000 ft. tonight, 6,500 ft. falling to 5,000 ft. Wednesday afternoon, 4,500 ft. Wednesday night, then 3,000 ft. Thursday and Thursday night highs 63-30 lows 34-24. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of snow showers Friday, a (40%) chance of snow showers at night, a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of snow showers Saturday, just mostly cloudy Saturday night,  mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of snow Sunday (Veterans Day), rain and snow likely (60%) at night, then rain and snow likely (60%) Monday (Federal Holiday) snow level at the surface Friday through Saturday free air freezing level at the surface Saturday night, snow level at the surface Sunday, 4,000 ft. Sunday night, then 5,000 ft. Monday highs 30-37 lows 23-28.

________________

**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

________________

Get your local Eugene-Springfield news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com

______________