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The upper air flow is bending more from the west (called Zonal flow) bringing in warmer, but still very moist air into the Pacific Northwest. A frontal system pushed into Oregon and that will insure we will see a lot of rain. The enhanced satellite loop over 3 hours shows the moisture coming our way is moving in from the sub-tropics, otherwise known as the “pineapple express.” Remember that, particularly this time of the year, when it’s not raining it is usually fogging.
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Advisories: A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE RIVERS AND STREAMS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY FOR ALL OF WESTERN OREGON FROM FLORENCE TO COTTAGE GROVE, THROUGH THE NORTH CASCADE FOOTHILLS AND THE NORTH CASCADES, INCLUDING THE CASCADES OF LANE COUNTY BACK WESTWARD TO THE PACIFIC COAST.
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Here are your detailed forecasts. **
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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis: Cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain this AM, rain this afternoon (0.50 in. of rain possible) and tonight (1.00 in. of rain possible), and rain Sunday (1.00 in. of rain possible), then rain likely (60%) Sunday night (0.25 in. of rain possible) highs 50-54 lows 48-42 . Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers (0.10 in. of rain possible) Monday (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday night, then a good (50%) chance of rain Tuesday and a (40%) chance of showers Tuesday night and (30%) Wednesday, then a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night and Thursday, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Thursday night, and mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Friday highs 52-47 lows 40-36. (seasonal averages highs 46 low 33)
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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including, Roseburg: Cloudy with patchy fog early this AM, rain likely (60%) this AM, rain this afternoon through Sunday, showers Sunday night highs near 57 lows near 47. Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Monday (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day), then cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Tuesday, a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday night, just mostly cloudy Wednesday with a slight (20%) chance of showers, mostly cloudy Wednesday night through Thursday night, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday highs 54- 50 lows 40-34. (seasonal averages high 50 low 35)
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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend: Cloudy with patchy fog and rain likely (60%) this AM, rain in the afternoon and tonight and breezy (wind: S 15-25 mph), rain Sunday and showers Sunday night highs near 57 lows near 50. Scattered showers Monday (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day), cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night, mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday and a (40%) chance Tuesday night, mostly cloudy Wednesday with a slight (20%) chance of showers, mostly cloudy with areas of fog Wednesday night and Thursday, mostly cloudy Thursday night, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday highs 55-52 lows 44-37. (seasonal averages high 53 lows 39).
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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County: Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of AM rain, rain this afternoon (0.50 in. of rain possible), rain, heavy at times, tonight (1-2 in. of rain possible) and breezy (wind: SW 10-15 mph increasing to S 15-25 mph gusts to 45 mph along the ridges late at night), then rain, heavy at times in the AM, Sunday and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph decreasing to 10-15 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 45 mph decreasing to 35 mph in the afternoon) and showers Sunday night (0.50 in. of rain possible) snow level 8,000 ft. today through Sunday, falling to 7,000 ft. late Sunday night highs near 40 lows near 35-32. Mostly cloudy with showers (0.25 in. of rain possible) likely (60%) and breezy (wind: SW 15-25 mph gusts to 40 mph on the ridges) Monday (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Monday night, a (40%) chance of rain Tuesday, rain and snow showers likely (60%) Tuesday night, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of snow showers Wednesday, then partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday night, partly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Thursday, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday night, and mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain Friday snow level 7,000 ft. Monday, 5,000 ft. Monday night, 6,500 ft. Tuesday, falling to 4,000 ft, Tuesday night, 2,500 ft. Wednesday, 3,000 ft. Wednesday night, rising to 6,000 ft. Thursday, 4,500 ft. Thursday night, and 6,000 ft, Friday highs 40-36 lows 30-26.
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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.